Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Nov 2026
Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Predictions
We’d be surprised if Liberty don’t exceed a -21.5 spread against Mid Tenn. That is why the bet has to be for them to cover the line at -100.
Our experts have identified their Best Bet for Mid Tenn vs Liberty, along with a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Each section takes a closer look at the reasoning behind the picks.
Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Preview
Mid Tenn go up against Liberty at Williams Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, November 14.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders previous game saw them claim a 51-42 home win over Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Floyd Stadium.
Liberty Flames won their last game 30-14, making it eight on the bounce. This was a road victory at Aggie Memorial Stadium against New Mexico State.
H2H: Liberty 37-17 Winners in Last H2H Battle
The last matchup between Liberty and Mid Tenn saw the former win. It was a 37-17 scoreline at Floyd Stadium. Liberty have won all of the past 3 H2H meetings.
Best Bet
Liberty can finish well clear in this college football battle and that means we’re going for them against the spread. There is -100 on offer that the favorites are able to cover a -21.5 line.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate CFB picks.
Liberty -21.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 50% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
There’s the chance to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your spread pick by taking an alternative betting view.
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Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Liberty -21.5 on the spread, along with Under 53.5 and a Touchdown to be scored first.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same football game. You can go through the available betting lines and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
13
-
38
Liberty
Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Flames can be backed speculatively to achieve a 38-13 victory.
Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Liberty are massive -2000 favorites. They are regarded as 95% likely to win this college game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Middle Tennessee are trading at +1060.
There is a spread of 21.5 and total points has a line of 53.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you fancy Under 53.5, then the odds are -110.
There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to college football. The best betting apps offer a wide variety of team props and game lines for each game, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.
Liberty Keep Piling Up Home Wins
Liberty have strung together four in a row at Williams Stadium. They have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, averaging 34.80 points on offense and surrendering 21.50 on defense.
Mid Tenn own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 games away from home, scoring 19.00 points per contest and conceding 30.50.
Liberty beat Mid Tenn 42-35 when they last met at Williams Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O53.5 | U53.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liberty Home Stats |
7-3 | 56.30 | 34.80 | 21.50 | 5 | 5 | |
 Middle Tennessee Away Stats |
3-7 | 49.50 | 19.00 | 30.50 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
- U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Middle Tennessee Stats
Liberty Flames Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +21.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +21.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -21.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -21.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 57.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 53.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.30 pts and allowed 30.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.00 pts and allowed 30.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 51.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 56.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 53.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.20 pts and allowed 17.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.80 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 home games
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Liberty
|
8 | 1 | 300 | 122 | 178 | 4-0 | 4-1 | 8W |
Jacksonville State
|
7 | 2 | 262 | 173 | 89 | 5-0 | 2-2 | 6W |
|
Mid Tenn
|
5 | 4 | 242 | 279 | -37 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 1W |
Delaware
|
4 | 5 | 273 | 262 | 11 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
FIU
|
4 | 5 | 174 | 183 | -9 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 1W |
Kennesaw State
|
3 | 6 | 226 | 243 | -17 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 2W |
Missouri State
|
3 | 6 | 215 | 270 | -55 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 1L |
New Mexico State
|
3 | 6 | 186 | 232 | -46 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 2L |
Western Kentucky
|
3 | 6 | 212 | 300 | -88 | 2-1 | 1-5 | 2L |
Sam Houston
|
1 | 8 | 158 | 248 | -90 | 1-3 | 0-5 | 6L |
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