New Mexico State vs Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Aug 2026
College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico State vs Florida State
New Mexico State battle Florida State in a Week 0 matchup at Doak Campbell Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, August 29.
Our prediction is that New Mexico State might not be beaten heavily by Florida State. The underdogs have been afforded a generous +32.5 and we recommend backing them at odds of -115.
New Mexico State closed out the 2025 regular season with a 31-24 overtime home loss to Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders at Aggie Memorial Stadium.
Florida State Seminoles ended the 2025 regular season with a 40-21 road loss to rival Florida Gators at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Trey Hedden
Ashton Daniels
New Mexico State vs Florida State Prediction & Picks
Join us as we dissect the best New Mexico State vs Florida State betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
We like the look of the underdogs +32.5 at odds of -115. We think New Mexico State can take on the big favorites and put up a strong showing in this college football matchup.
The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.
Key New Mexico State vs Florida State stats:
NM State +32.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It's why we think it’s worth placing this college wager.
Selling points can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.
Before placing your bets, take advantage of our guide packed with up-to-date free bets and the latest bonus offers.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Micahi Danzy (FSU) to make it to the end zone are +105. We believe there’s merit in backing him for an Anytime Touchdown Scorer prop wager, meaning we need him to punch it in.
The odds for Ousmane Kromah (NM State) to record fewer than 75.5 rushing yards stand at -114. He may fall short of the Player Rushing Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: New Mexico State +32.5, Under 53.5 points and Micahi Danzy (Florida State) to record a touchdown.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
10
-
35
Florida State
We’re going for the Seminoles to claim a 35-10 victory and the good news is that there are huge odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.
New Mexico State vs Florida State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -10000 about Florida State which reflects they have a 99% chance of winning this college game. New Mexico State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +2500.
The spread is currently 31.5, with the total points line at 54.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. Those who wager Under 54.5 can get -114.
Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on college football, the top betting apps let you feast on a wide range of team props and game lines. The selections are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many options at your fingertips.
The First TD Scorer favorite is Ousmane Kromah at +330. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to record the last touchdown.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
FSU Have Picked Up Six Wins From Last Ten Home Games
FSU own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 36.60 points on offense and surrendering 18.60 on defense.
NM State have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, scoring 18.50 points per matchup and conceding 37.20.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O53.5 | U53.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida State Home Stats |
6-4 | 55.20 | 36.60 | 18.60 | 3 | 7 | |
 New Mexico State Away Stats |
2-8 | 55.70 | 18.50 | 37.20 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
- U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
New Mexico State Stats
Florida State Seminoles Stats
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +32.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +32.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -32.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -32.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 53.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 55.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 53.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.90 pts and allowed 31.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.50 pts and allowed 37.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 53.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 53.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.80 pts and allowed 24.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 36.60 pts and allowed 18.60 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
7 | 0 | 343 | 107 | 236 | 4-0 | 3-0 | 7W |
SMU
|
6 | 1 | 255 | 148 | 107 | 5-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
Wake Forest
|
6 | 1 | 262 | 136 | 126 | 2-1 | 4-0 | 4W |
Virginia Tech
|
6 | 2 | 280 | 164 | 116 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 2W |
Louisville
|
4 | 3 | 271 | 192 | 79 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2W |
Duke
|
5 | 2 | 209 | 112 | 97 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 1W |
Boston College
|
4 | 3 | 171 | 165 | 6 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2W |
Clemson
|
4 | 3 | 150 | 149 | 1 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
4 | 3 | 171 | 146 | 25 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1L |
Pittsburgh
|
5 | 3 | 253 | 167 | 86 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3L |
Stanford
|
4 | 4 | 159 | 284 | -125 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2W |
Virginia
|
4 | 4 | 226 | 157 | 69 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 2L |
California
|
3 | 5 | 187 | 253 | -66 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2L |
|
Florida State
|
3 | 4 | 221 | 195 | 26 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2L |
NC State
|
3 | 4 | 226 | 197 | 29 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2L |
Georgia Tech
|
2 | 5 | 187 | 212 | -25 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 4 | 221 | 184 | 37 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacksonville State
|
6 | 2 | 215 | 159 | 56 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 5W |
Liberty
|
6 | 1 | 221 | 98 | 123 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 6W |
Delaware
|
4 | 4 | 233 | 220 | 13 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2W |
Mid Tenn
|
4 | 4 | 191 | 237 | -46 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 1L |
Missouri State
|
3 | 5 | 195 | 247 | -52 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 1W |
|
New Mexico State
|
3 | 5 | 172 | 202 | -30 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 1L |
Western Kentucky
|
3 | 5 | 170 | 249 | -79 | 2-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
FIU
|
3 | 4 | 141 | 114 | 27 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2L |
Kennesaw State
|
2 | 6 | 184 | 203 | -19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1W |
Sam Houston
|
1 | 7 | 144 | 201 | -57 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 5L |
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