South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Oct 2026
South Alabama vs Arkansas State Predictions
Arkansas State look great value on the Moneyline and our prediction is that they will claim a victory over South Alabama. We’re happy to take the -118 that they win.
Our South Alabama vs Arkansas State betting preview outlines our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Full breakdowns and the reasoning behind the picks are available below.
South Alabama vs Arkansas State Preview
South Alabama face Arkansas State at Centennial Bank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Thursday, October 8.
South Alabama Jaguars have lost back-to-back on the road. In their previous game, it was a 52-35 home win over Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Hancock Whitney Stadium.
Arkansas State Red Wolves have landed back-to-back home victories. In their last game, it was a 23-20 road defeat against Louisiana Ragin Cajuns at Cajun Field.
H2H: 5 Wins for South Alabama in Last 7 H2H Encounters
Arkansas State have beaten South Alabama in the last two matchups. A 18-16 victory at Centennial Bank Stadium was followed by a 15-14 win at Hancock Whitney Stadium. The previous 7 games featuring these teams have resulted in five South Alabama victories.
Best Bet
We are having a wager on Arkansas State in this college football matchup and they could prove too strong. You can back our pick at -118on the Moneyline and we think this offers good value.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
We keep a close eye on team news and our CFB handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.
Arkansas State Moneyline Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.
Fancy Arkansas State to win but want more juice in the odds? Why not take a look at the spread and consider them to cover one of the available lines.
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Same Game Parlay Pick
The same game parlay pick is Arkansas State on the moneyline, Under 58.5 and Touchdown as first score method.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
South Alabama vs Arkansas State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Moneyline odds are -118 that Arkansas State win, while South Alabama have been chalked up at -102. The leading sportsbooks give the hosts a 54% chance of success.
The spread is calculated to be 1.5, while total points comes in at 58.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to bet Under 58.5, there are odds of -110.
The top sportsbooks cover every college football matchup with a great mix of game lines and team props. Whether you prefer to bet before kickoff or during the action, make sure to explore all available options.
If you have a view on Passing Attempts, Interceptions or Receiving Yards, then the player props could be an option. It’s a great way of betting on a player or a quarterback to perform well and the best gambling sites provide lots of alternatives.
There are lots of exciting college football micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.
Arkansas State Have Six Wins From Last Ten Home Games
Arkansas State have six wins and four losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 30.30 points on average and giving up 24.50.
South Alabama have been beaten three consecutive times away from home. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, averaging 26.10 points on offense and surrendering 30.20 on defense.
In their last matchup at Centennial Bank Stadium, Arkansas State came out on top 18-16 against South Alabama. From the last 3 head-to-head meetings at Centennial Bank Stadium, South Alabama have claimed two wins, with Arkansas State posting one.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O58.5 | U58.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arkansas State Home Stats |
6-4 | 54.80 | 30.30 | 24.50 | 5 | 5 | |
South Alabama Away Stats |
4-6 | 56.30 | 26.10 | 30.20 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
- U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points
- NCAAF: 15/10 2025 Arkansas State 15 South Alabama 14
- NCAAF: 06/10 2024 South Alabama 16 Arkansas State 18
- NCAAF: 11/11 2023 Arkansas State 14 South Alabama 21
- NCAAF: 29/10 2022 South Alabama 31 Arkansas State 3
- NCAAF: 30/10 2021 Arkansas State 13 South Alabama 31
- NCAAF: 28/11 2020 South Alabama 38 Arkansas State 31
- NCAAF: 29/11 2019 Arkansas State 30 South Alabama 34
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
South Alabama Jaguars Stats
Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 64.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 58.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.10 pts and allowed 31.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.10 pts and allowed 30.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 50.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 56.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 58.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.80 pts and allowed 24.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.90 pts and allowed 25.20 pts in the last 10 home games
| Sun Belt | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Madison
|
5 | 0 | 224 | 66 | 158 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
Georgia State
|
4 | 1 | 197 | 95 | 102 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 2W |
Georgia Southern
|
2 | 3 | 124 | 119 | 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1W |
Louisiana
|
4 | 1 | 146 | 97 | 49 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 3W |
South Alabama
|
3 | 2 | 177 | 158 | 19 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 1W |
Troy
|
3 | 2 | 140 | 120 | 20 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 1W |
Louisiana Tech
|
2 | 2 | 144 | 116 | 28 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1W |
Appalachian State
|
3 | 1 | 139 | 89 | 50 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
Marshall
|
3 | 2 | 111 | 175 | -64 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1L |
Coastal Carolina
|
1 | 4 | 124 | 125 | -1 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3L |
Old Dominion
|
1 | 4 | 99 | 162 | -63 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4L |
Arkansas State
|
2 | 3 | 120 | 117 | 3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 1L |
Southern Miss
|
1 | 4 | 132 | 173 | -41 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 4L |
UL Monroe
|
0 | 5 | 120 | 223 | -103 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 5L |
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Arkansas State Home Stats
South Alabama Away Stats
James Madison
Georgia State
Georgia Southern
Louisiana
Troy
Louisiana Tech
Appalachian State
Marshall
Coastal Carolina
Old Dominion
Southern Miss
UL Monroe