Toledo vs Sacramento State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Nov 2026
Toledo vs Sacramento State Predictions
There’s a strong case to be made for Toledo against the spread when they clash with Sacramento State. Our prediction is that the favorites can cover the -25.5 line at -110 considering they should be superior.
Our Toledo vs Sacramento State betting picks feature our Best Bet plus Player Props, a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Find the complete breakdown of the card further down the page.
Toledo vs Sacramento State Preview
Toledo go up against Sacramento State at Fred Anderson Field at Hornet Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, November 4.
Toledo Rockets made it back-to-back wins after a 45-38 home success over Western Michigan Broncos at Glass Bowl.
Sacramento State were winners last time out. It was a 31-10 home victory against Kent State Golden Flashes at Fred Anderson Field at Hornet Stadium.
Quarterbacks
John Alan Richter
Jackson Sharman
Best Bet
Our best pick is that Toledo will be superior in this college football matchup and that’s why we’re backing the favorites on the spread at -25.5. Take the -110 that they are able to cover the line.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making CFB predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter picks.
Toledo -25.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Based on our in-depth research, our analysts calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This college wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the betting line, you are able to get a bigger price although you will need to take a riskier wager.
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Player Prop Picks
Jackson Sharman (Sacramento State) is priced at -114 to end with fewer than 168.5 passing yards. There’s a strong case for choosing him to fall short of the required line in the QB Passing Yards market.
Adjatay Dabbs (Sacramento State) is priced at -114 to finish with fewer than 68.5 receiving yards. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards total.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Toledo -25.5, Under 53.5 points and Jackson Sharman (Sacramento State) to go Under 168.5 passing yards.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
41
-
9
Sacramento State
There’s a massive payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Rockets to enjoy a 41-9 victory which will hopefully go close.
Toledo vs Sacramento State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You might not get rich backing Toledo at -3333. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 97% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that Sacramento State are least likely to win at +1400.
The spread currently stands at 25.5 and the total points line is 53.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Under 53.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.
You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college football game, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Toledo Rockets Stats
Sacramento State Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
- -25.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road
- +25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +25.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 5 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 57.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 41.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 53.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.20 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.90 pts and allowed 19.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 46.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 5 home games
- Over 53.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 5 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.00 pts and allowed 29.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 21.20 pts and allowed 24.80 pts in the last 5 home games
| Mid-American | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio
|
6 | 2 | 237 | 175 | 62 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 5W |
Western Michigan
|
6 | 3 | 236 | 173 | 63 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 1W |
|
Toledo
|
6 | 2 | 299 | 203 | 96 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 2W |
Buffalo
|
5 | 3 | 181 | 203 | -22 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3W |
Miami (OH)
|
5 | 3 | 216 | 206 | 10 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 3W |
Eastern Michigan
|
4 | 5 | 192 | 231 | -39 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 2L |
Ball State
|
3 | 5 | 176 | 282 | -106 | 2-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
Kent State
|
3 | 6 | 129 | 275 | -146 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 1L |
Bowling Green
|
2 | 7 | 160 | 261 | -101 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3L |
UMass
|
4 | 4 | 212 | 169 | 43 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4L |
Central Michigan
|
3 | 5 | 143 | 207 | -64 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 3L |
|
Sacramento State
|
2 | 7 | 153 | 273 | -120 | 2-3 | 0-4 | 1W |
Akron
|
1 | 7 | 152 | 262 | -110 | 1-2 | 0-5 | 6L |
Ohio
Akron
Buffalo
Miami (OH)
Ball State
UMass
Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
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