Ball State vs UMass Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Nov 2026
Ball State vs UMass Predictions
We’re very excited to see UMass at -3.5 on the spread and think it’s a great number for the favorites to cover in their clash against Ball State at -100.
Our Ball State vs UMass betting guide features our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down to access the full breakdowns and the logic backing each pick.
Ball State vs UMass Preview
Ball State battle UMass at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, November 4.
Ball State Cardinals claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 34-17 triumph against Sacramento State at Scheumann Stadium made it back-to-back wins.
UMass Minutemen have suffered defeat in their last four games. Most recently, a 35-16 scoreline occurred on the road at Rentschler Field against UConn Huskies.
Best Bet
There’s a strong case for backing UMass on the spread in this college football matchup. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -100 when it comes to the favorites at -3.5.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Our CFB predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our picks.
UMass -3.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 50% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This college wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your spread pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.
Get more from your bet. Explore our updated guide featuring the hottest betting offers and best welcome bonus deals.
Player Prop Picks
Keldric Luster (Ball State) can be backed at -114 to record fewer than 198.5 passing yards. He may fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.
Donovan Hamilton (Ball State) is priced at -114 to finish with fewer than 36.5 receiving yards. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the Player Receiving Yards line appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: UMass -3.5, Over 49.5 points and Keldric Luster (Ball State) to have Under 198.5 passing yards.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
24
-
34
UMass
You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a massive return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Minutemen to achieve a 34-24 win and hopefully this goes close.
Ball State vs UMass Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the sportsbooks giving them a 61% probability of winning this college game, UMass Minutemen might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -156 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Ball State, you will find +130 about the underdogs.
There is a spread of 3.5 and total points has a line of 49.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those that want to back Under 49.5 can find odds of -110 available.
When it comes to college football, the top betting apps deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the wager that fits your view of the matchup.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
UMass Home Record Reads Eight Losses in Previous Ten Matches
UMass have a 2-8 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 18.30 points on average and giving up 29.00.
Ball State have one win and nine losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 14.20 points per contest and giving up 38.60.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O49.5 | U49.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UMass Home Stats |
2-8 | 47.30 | 18.30 | 29.00 | 5 | 5 | |
 Ball State Away Stats |
1-9 | 52.80 | 14.20 | 38.60 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
- U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Ball State Cardinals Stats
UMass Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 57.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 49.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 36.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 14.20 pts and allowed 38.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 47.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 49.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.00 pts and allowed 25.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 18.30 pts and allowed 29.00 pts in the last 10 home games
| Mid-American | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio
|
6 | 2 | 237 | 175 | 62 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 5W |
Western Michigan
|
6 | 3 | 236 | 173 | 63 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 1W |
Toledo
|
6 | 2 | 299 | 203 | 96 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 2W |
Buffalo
|
5 | 3 | 181 | 203 | -22 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3W |
Miami (OH)
|
5 | 3 | 216 | 206 | 10 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 3W |
Eastern Michigan
|
4 | 5 | 192 | 231 | -39 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 2L |
|
Ball State
|
3 | 5 | 176 | 282 | -106 | 2-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
Kent State
|
3 | 6 | 129 | 275 | -146 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 1L |
Bowling Green
|
2 | 7 | 160 | 261 | -101 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3L |
|
UMass
|
4 | 4 | 212 | 169 | 43 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4L |
Central Michigan
|
3 | 5 | 143 | 207 | -64 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 3L |
Sacramento State
|
2 | 7 | 153 | 273 | -120 | 2-3 | 0-4 | 1W |
Akron
|
1 | 7 | 152 | 262 | -110 | 1-2 | 0-5 | 6L |
Ohio
Akron
Buffalo
Miami (OH)
Toledo
Sacramento State
Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
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