UTSA vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Sep 2026

College Football Betting Preview: UTSA vs Texas State

UTSA face Texas State at UFCU Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:30 on Saturday, September 12.

We are having a wager on Texas State to beat UTSA. You can back our prediction at -128 on the Moneyline and we think this offers great value.

UTSA Roadrunners previous game saw them claim a 45-16 home win over UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at Alamodome.

Texas State Bobcats suffered a defeat in their last game. A 59-7 scoreline occurred on the road at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium against Texas Longhorns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Texas State have beaten UTSA in the last two matchups. They won 49-10 at UFCU Stadium and triumphed 43-36 at Alamodome. Each team has landed two wins in the previous 4 games between these teams.

UTSA vs Texas State Prediction & Picks

This expert UTSA vs Texas State betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

If you’re looking for a value bet, then -128 that Texas State win this college football battle certainly stands out. We’re expecting them to triumph on the Moneyline at attractive odds.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming action along with the current form of each team. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our CFB predictions.

Key UTSA vs Texas State stats:

• Texas State have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Texas State have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Texas State have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• UTSA have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• UTSA have lost 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Texas State have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Texas State Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 56.2% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

A betting alternative to support Texas State is the Double Result. You can get bigger odds by siding with them to lead at the halfway phase before running out winners.

Get more from your bets with our detailed guide, featuring the best free bets and generous welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Texas State Moneyline @ -128 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

UTSA 24 - 34 Texas State

There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at Texas State to achieve a winning scoreline of 34-24 where a massive potential return is on the cards.

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UTSA vs Texas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You can choose Texas State at -133 or alternatively UTSA who have betting odds of +112. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this game is 47%.

The spread currently stands at 2.5 and the total points line is 65.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 65.5, there are odds of -110.

The top sportsbooks cover every college football matchup with a great mix of game lines and team props. Whether you prefer to bet before kickoff or during the action, make sure to explore all available options.

Moneyline

UTSA

+112

Texas State

-133

Point Spread

UTSA +2.5

-110

Texas State -2.5

-110

Total Points

Under 65.5

-110

Over 65.5

-110

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Passing Yards a quarterback might have or the number of Touchdowns a player might score.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college football and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.

Texas State Record Shows Six Wins in Last Ten at Home

Texas State have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, putting up 38.80 points per contest and giving up 25.70.

UTSA have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 24.60 points on average and giving up 33.60.

The last time these teams met at UFCU Stadium, Texas State came out on top 49-10 against UTSA.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O66.5	U66.5
Texas State Home Stats		6-4	64.50	38.80	25.70	5	5
UTSA Away Stats		2-8	58.20	24.60	33.60	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O66.5 = Games Over 66.5 Points
• U66.5 = Games Under 66.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UTSA Stats

Texas State Bobcats Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 65.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 66.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 66.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 38.20 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 33.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 67.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 66.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 66.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 66.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.60 pts and allowed 33.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 40.10 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 home games

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