Wisconsin vs Penn State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Sep 2026

College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin vs Penn State

Wisconsin battle Penn State at Beaver Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 17:00 on Saturday, September 26.

Our prediction is for Penn State to cover the attractive -9.5 line in their clash against Wisconsin. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -120 is available on the spread.

Wisconsin Badgers beat Eastern Michigan Eagles in their previous game, making it back-to-back victories. It was a 54-10 home win at Camp Randall Stadium.

Penn State Nittany Lions have enjoyed three straight wins, most recently beating Buffalo Bulls 55-13. It was a home success at Beaver Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 28-13 in favor of Penn State when they last played Wisconsin, with the matchup taking place at Camp Randall Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Colton Joseph

174.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Rocco Becht

209.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Wisconsin vs Penn State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Wisconsin vs Penn State tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s great to see Penn State given a -9.5 line on the spread at -120 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in this college football matchup.

Our CFB predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.

Key Wisconsin vs Penn State stats:

• The -9.5 line has been covered by Penn State in 4 consecutive games.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Penn State in 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Penn State in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Wisconsin in 8 consecutive games on the road.
• The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Wisconsin in 13 of their last 20 games.

Penn State -9.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Those wanting an alternative to the spread can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Penn State and their performance.

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Our Game Prediction

Penn State -9.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 24, 23:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Colton Joseph Under 174.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Colton Joseph (Wisconsin) at -114 to end with fewer than 174.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Colton Joseph Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 174.5

-114

Under 174.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

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Abu Sama III Under 49.5 Rushing Yards -114

The odds for Abu Sama III (Wisconsin) to have less than 49.5 rushing yards stand at -114. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the Player Rushing Yards line appealing.

Latest Abu Sama III Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Wisconsin 17 - 31 Penn State

There’s a massive payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Lions to enjoy a 31-17 victory which will hopefully go close.

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Wisconsin vs Penn State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favorites are 80% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Money Line odds, with Penn State priced at -400 to triumph in this college game. The market suggests that Wisconsin are least likely to win at +310.

The spread is currently 9.5, with the total points line at 43.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you’re going for Under 43.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Wisconsin

+310

Penn State

-400

Point Spread

Wisconsin +9.5

-102

Penn State -9.5

-120

Total Points

Under 43.5

-105

Over 43.5

-115

Receiving Yards

Tyrell Henry (Wisconsin)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Chase Sowell (Penn State)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Brett Eskildsen (Penn State)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Benjamin Brahmer (Penn State)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Carson Hansen (Penn State)

Over 68.5

-114

Under 68.5

-114

Abu Sama III (Wisconsin)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Colton Joseph (Wisconsin)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Passing Yards

Rocco Becht (Penn State)

Over 209.5

-114

Under 209.5

-114

Colton Joseph (Wisconsin)

Over 174.5

-114

Under 174.5

-114

Can Penn State Make It Another Home Victory?

Penn State have run off three consecutive wins at Beaver Stadium. They own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 37.60 points scored and 12.90 points allowed.

Wisconsin have been beaten in eight straight games away from home. They have a 2-8 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 15.80 points per contest while yielding 26.80.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Penn State Home Stats		7-3	50.50	37.60	12.90	8	2
Wisconsin Away Stats		2-8	42.60	15.80	26.80	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Wisconsin Badgers Stats

Penn State Nittany Lions Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 38.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 42.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.40 pts and allowed 22.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 15.80 pts and allowed 26.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.60 pts and allowed 17.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 36.20 pts and allowed 14.60 pts in the last 10 home games

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