Falcons vs Packers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Sep 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Falcons vs Packers

The Atlanta Falcons face the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Thursday, September 24.

The market might have underrated the Falcons and -120 makes appeal considering they are +6.5 on the spread. Bet on the underdogs to cover the line against the Packers.

Atlanta Falcons suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 34-3 in their previous game. This was at home to Carolina Panthers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons put up 286 yards, including 129 passing and 157 rushing yards. They managed 17 first downs and allowed 18.

Green Bay Packers triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where New York Jets were beaten 20-17 at MetLife Stadium. The Packers recorded 199 yards, with 136 through the air and 63 on the ground. They converted for 16 first downs and found the end zone twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Falcons and the Packers saw the former win. It was a 25-24 scoreline at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix Jr.

205.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Jordan Love

226.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Falcons vs Packers Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Falcons vs Packers with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re making the Falcons against the spread our pick for this NFL showdown. The betting line is favorably set at +6.5 and you can secure -120 that this happens.

The NFL predictions at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Key Falcons vs Packers stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Falcons in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Falcons in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Packers in 7 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Packers in 12 of their last 20 games.

Falcons +6.5 Probability

According to the best NFL betting sites, there’s a 54.6% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are several alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Falcons +6.5 @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 23, 02:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Drake London Anytime TD +195

The odds for Drake London (Falcons) to record a TD are +195. We’re happy to take the odds that he’ll score at least one touchdown in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Drake London Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+195

First

+1200

Receiving Yards

Over 63.5

-114

Under 63.5

-114

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Kaleb Johnson Over 36.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Kaleb Johnson (Falcons) at -114 to record more than 36.5 rushing yards. We believe it makes sense to stick with him on the Over and bettors can be confident in this Player Rushing Yards pick.

Latest Kaleb Johnson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+185

First

+950

Rushing Yards

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Falcons 23 - 27 Packers

A close matchup could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Packers to secure a 27-23 win at massive odds and this correct score prediction should hopefully be a fun one.

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Falcons vs Packers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Green Bay Packers have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 73% probability due to their -270 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Atlanta Falcons are least likely to win at +220.

The spread is calculated to be 6.5, while total points comes in at 43.5. There are many ways to bet on the NFL including the Totals. If you want to bet Under 43.5, there are odds of -105.

Consider every angle when placing your National Football League wagers. The top betting apps have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Falcons

+220

Packers

-270

Point Spread

Falcons +6.5

-120

Packers -6.5

-102

Total Points

Under 43.5

-105

Over 43.5

-115

Favorite Bijan Robinson is priced at +500 to be the first player to score a touchdown. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score a TD at anytime at odds of -154.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-154

Christian Watson (Packers)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+135

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+160

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+175

Kaleb Johnson (Packers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+185

Matthew Golden (Packers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+175

Chris Brooks (Packers)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+195

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+195

Skyy Moore (Packers)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+400

Brian Robinson Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+440

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+380

Jonnu Smith (Packers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Jordan Love (Packers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Jahan Dotson (Falcons)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+650

Olamide Zaccheaus (Falcons)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+750

Mark Redman (Packers)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1500

Josh Whyle (Packers)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1500

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1100

Austin Hooper (Falcons)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1100

Zachariah Branch (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1400

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Chris Blair (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Receiving Yards

Christian Watson (Packers)

Over 66.5

-114

Under 66.5

-114

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 63.5

-114

Under 63.5

-114

Matthew Golden (Packers)

Over 54.5

-114

Under 54.5

-114

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Jahan Dotson (Falcons)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Chris Brooks (Packers)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 78.5

-114

Under 78.5

-114

Kaleb Johnson (Packers)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Brian Robinson Jr. (Falcons)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Chris Brooks (Packers)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-141

Passing Yards

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 226.5

-114

Under 226.5

-114

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 205.5

-114

Under 205.5

-114

Packers Sitting on Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Packers have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, putting up 23.20 points on average and giving up 16.70.

The Falcons have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, averaging 19.60 points scored and 21.50 points allowed.

The previous meeting at Lambeau Field saw the Packers defeat the Falcons 30-16.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Packers Home Stats		6-4	39.90	23.20	16.70	5	5
Falcons Away Stats		4-6	41.10	19.60	21.50	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Green Bay Packers Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 41.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.10 pts and allowed 24.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.60 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.00 pts and allowed 25.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.20 pts and allowed 16.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 320.80 Yds. Allowed 337.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 134.10 Yds. Allowed 95.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 186.70 Yds. Allowed 242.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.30 Yds. Gained 43.30 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 325.30 Yds. Allowed 334.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 113.00 Yds. Allowed 130.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 212.30 Yds. Allowed 204.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.60. Allowed 20.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 5.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.80 Yds. Gained 47.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 327.50 Yds. Allowed 308.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 129.30 Yds. Allowed 126.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 198.20 Yds. Allowed 181.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.90. Allowed 19.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.40. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.00 Yds. Gained 38.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 346.80 Yds. Allowed 259.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.70 Yds. Allowed 111.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 218.10 Yds. Allowed 148.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.90. Allowed 17.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 5.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.70 Yds. Gained 36.30 Yds

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