Bears vs Falcons Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Oct 2026

Bears vs Falcons Predictions

Best Bet

Bears Moneyline @ -118

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We strongly fancy the chances of the Bears away to the Falcons, with odds of -118 available on our betting prediction. Bet on the road team.

Our experts have identified their Best Bet for Bears vs Falcons, along with Player Props, a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Read the full analysis behind each pick further down the page.

Bears vs Falcons Preview

The Chicago Bears go up against the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 18.

Chicago Bears were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 31-7 reverse against Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. The Bears put up 246 yards, including 165 passing and 81 rushing yards. They picked up 17 first downs and found the end zone once.

Atlanta Falcons were beaten 30-23 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in their last game, being turned over at home to Baltimore Ravens. The Falcons moved the ball for 367 yards, including 257 passing and 110 rushing yards. The offense scored two touchdowns and managed 17 first downs.

H2H: 37-17 Win for Bears in Pair’s Previous Clash

The last matchup between the Bears and the Falcons saw the former win. It was a 37-17 scoreline at Soldier Field. It’s been two Bears wins in the past 3 games between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Caleb Williams

225.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Michael Penix Jr.

236.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

There’s merit in simply backing the Bears to beat their opponents in this NFL matchup. Especially as odds of -118 are available when it comes to this pick.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Bears have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Bears have won 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Falcons have lost 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Falcons have lost 3 of their last 5 games this season.
• Falcons have lost their last 2 games at home.
• Falcons have lost 2 of their last 3 games against Bears.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate NFL predictions.

Bears Moneyline Probability

According to the best NFL sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

The Result & Total lines not only give you a chance to bet on the Bears for the win but also combine this pick with a prediction for how many points will be scored.

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Bears Moneyline @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 16, 19:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rome Odunze Anytime TD +165

Rome Odunze (Bears) is priced at +165 to hit the end zone. Based on all the information, we'll head to the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market where we can back him to punch it in at attractive odds.

Latest Rome Odunze Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+165

First

+1100

Receiving Yards

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

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Drake London Over 89.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on Drake London (Bears) at -114 to reach over 89.5 receiving yards. There’s an opportunity to place a Player Receiving Yards bet, with him capable of covering an appealing line.

Latest Drake London Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-100

First

+900

Receiving Yards

Over 89.5

-114

Under 89.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bears 23 - 20 Falcons

A close matchup could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Bears to secure a 23-20 win at massive odds and this correct score prediction should hopefully be a fun one.

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Bears vs Falcons Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

When you consider the latest Moneyline odds, you can find Atlanta Falcons at -100 whereas Chicago Bears are -118. If you want to know the probability of the road team winning this game, it’s 54% according to the most popular sportsbooks.

1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 51.5 right now. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. Those that want to back Under 51.5 can find odds of -110 available.

If you’re wagering on the National Football League, we recommend heading to the best sportsbooks and scanning through the hundreds of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Bears

-118

Falcons

-100

Point Spread

Bears -1.5

-105

Falcons +1.5

-115

Total Points

Under 51.5

-110

Over 51.5

-110

Bijan Robinson is available at -294 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +350 to score the first TD.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+350

Anytime TD

-294

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

First TD

+410

Anytime TD

-196

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

-100

Rome Odunze (Bears)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+165

Luther Burden III (Bears)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+175

Colston Loveland (Bears)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+180

Brian Robinson Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+210

Roschon Johnson (Bears)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+350

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+290

Kalif Raymond (Bears)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+330

Caleb Williams (Bears)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+350

Cole Kmet (Bears)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+450

Jahan Dotson (Falcons)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+360

Austin Hooper (Falcons)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+850

Zavion Thomas (Bears)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Jahdae Walker (Bears)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Sam Roush (Bears)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Zachariah Branch (Falcons)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1000

Olamide Zaccheaus (Falcons)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1000

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+950

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1100

Nick Muse (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Chris Blair (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Zavier Scott (Bears)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Receiving Yards

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 89.5

-114

Under 89.5

-114

Luther Burden III (Bears)

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Rome Odunze (Bears)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Colston Loveland (Bears)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Kalif Raymond (Bears)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Jahan Dotson (Falcons)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Zachariah Branch (Falcons)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Cole Kmet (Bears)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 90.5

-114

Under 90.5

-114

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 66.5

-114

Under 66.5

-114

Brian Robinson Jr. (Falcons)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Roschon Johnson (Bears)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Caleb Williams (Bears)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Passing Yards

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 236.5

-114

Under 236.5

-114

Caleb Williams (Bears)

Over 225.5

-114

Under 225.5

-114

Falcons Have Endured Six Defeats in Previous Ten at Home

The Falcons are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, putting up 19.60 points on average and giving up 27.00.

The Bears have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 28.10 points on offense and surrendering 29.00 on defense.

The last time the Falcons faced the Bears at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, they won 27-24.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O51.5	U51.5
Falcons Home Stats		4-6	46.60	19.60	27.00	3	7
Bears Away Stats		6-4	57.10	28.10	29.00	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
• U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Chicago Bears Stats

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 57.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.30 pts and allowed 22.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 28.10 pts and allowed 29.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.90 pts and allowed 24.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 19.60 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 393.40 Yds. Allowed 363.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 144.40 Yds. Allowed 120.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 249.00 Yds. Allowed 242.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.70. Allowed 19.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 40.70 Yds. Gained 47.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 345.40 Yds. Allowed 336.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 148.50 Yds. Allowed 97.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 196.90 Yds. Allowed 239.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.40. Allowed 19.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.90. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 64.00 Yds. Gained 42.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 389.80 Yds. Allowed 385.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 163.40 Yds. Allowed 130.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 226.40 Yds. Allowed 255.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 3.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.10. Allowed 20.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.40 Yds. Gained 44.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 327.70 Yds. Allowed 346.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 123.20 Yds. Allowed 121.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 204.50 Yds. Allowed 225.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.10. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.10 Yds. Gained 51.50 Yds

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