Jets vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Oct 2026

Jets vs Patriots Predictions

Best Bet

Under 43.5 Points @ -112

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The -112 about Under 43.5 points makes appeal and represents great value in our eyes. We’re not sure that the Patriots and the Jets can combine to reach that total.

We've picked out our Best Bet for Jets vs Patriots, along with our Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Jump straight to the dedicated sections below to see the full card.

Jets vs Patriots Preview

The New York Jets square off against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 18.

New York Jets have suffered successive road defeats. Their most recent game was a 17-12 home win at MetLife Stadium where they beat Cleveland Browns. The Jets finished with 276 total yards, made up of 142 through the air and 134 on the ground. They scored two touchdowns and picked up 14 first downs.

New England Patriots made it back-to-back wins in their last game. Landing a 45-17 home victory against Las Vegas Raiders at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots totaled 536 yards, with 371 through the air and 165 on the ground. The offense generated 29 first downs and produced 6 touchdowns.

H2H: Pats Have Claimed 8 Wins in 10 on H2H

It was a 42-10 win for the Pats at MetLife Stadium when they last played the Jets. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Pats have won eight.

Quarterbacks

Geno Smith

216.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Drake Maye

236.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

Under 43.5 points looks like an attractive selection on the totals. The teams might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this NFL pick at -112.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Jets games this season.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Jets games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Jets games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Patriots games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Patriots games this season.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert NFL picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate predictions possible.

Under 43.5 Probability

The best NFL sportsbooks are suggesting that our pick has a 52.9% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re wanting to bet Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.

Under 43.5 Points @ -112 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Braelon Allen Anytime TD +130

You can place a bet on Braelon Allen (Jets) to record a TD at +130. He looks like an attractive wager to take it to the house and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer selection.

Latest Braelon Allen Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+130

First

+700

Receiving Yards

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

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Rhamondre Stevenson Under 62.5 Rushing Yards -114

The odds for Rhamondre Stevenson (Jets) to record fewer than 62.5 rushing yards stand at -114. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the Player Rushing Yards line, making this an appealing wager.

Latest Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-185

First

+350

Receiving Yards

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 62.5

-114

Under 62.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Jets 13 - 24 Patriots

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Pats to record a 24-13 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

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Jets vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites New England Patriots are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -345 about them triumphing means a 78% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +280 about New York Jets.

The current spread is 7.5 and total points is 43.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 43.5 at -112.

If you’re betting on the National Football League, we recommend visiting the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Jets

+280

Patriots

-345

Point Spread

Jets +7.5

-120

Patriots -7.5

-102

Total Points

Under 43.5

-112

Over 43.5

-108

Those interested in favorite Rhamondre Stevenson to score the first touchdown are able to get +350. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -185.

Touchdown

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+350

Anytime TD

-185

Braelon Allen (Jets)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+130

Breece Hall (Jets)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+125

Romeo Doubs (Patriots)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+170

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+190

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+200

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+270

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+270

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+360

Eli Raridon (Patriots)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+430

Kenyon Sadiq (Jets)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+390

Omar Cooper Jr. (Jets)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Corey Kiner (Patriots)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

Isaiah Davis (Jets)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+750

Mason Taylor (Jets)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+850

Tim Patrick (Jets)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Geno Smith (Jets)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Isaiah Williams (Jets)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Jeremy Ruckert (Jets)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1700

Cameron Latu (Patriots)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Tanner Arkin (Patriots)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Jelani Woods (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Kene Nwangwu (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Malik McClain (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Andrew Beck (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

Over 72.5

-114

Under 72.5

-114

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Kenyon Sadiq (Jets)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Omar Cooper Jr. (Jets)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Braelon Allen (Jets)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Braelon Allen (Jets)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 62.5

-114

Under 62.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Passing Yards

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 236.5

-114

Under 236.5

-114

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 216.5

-114

Under 216.5

-114

Pats Tough to Crack at Home

The Patriots have chalked up five straight victories at Gillette Stadium. They own a 9-1 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 29.40 points per contest while yielding 14.90.

The Jets have gone 2-8 across their last 10 road games, putting up 17.70 points on average and giving up 29.10.

The last time the Pats faced the Jets at Gillette Stadium, they won 27-14. From their last 7 head-to-head matchups at Gillette Stadium, the Pats have collected six wins and the Jets one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Patriots Home Stats		9-1	44.30	29.40	14.90	7	3
Jets Away Stats		2-8	46.80	17.70	29.10	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Jets Stats

New England Patriots Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 14.70 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.70 pts and allowed 29.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 37.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.50 pts and allowed 15.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.50 pts and allowed 16.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 253.50 Yds. Allowed 358.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 96.20 Yds. Allowed 138.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 157.30 Yds. Allowed 219.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 14.90. Allowed 22.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 64.00 Yds. Gained 45.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 348.50 Yds. Allowed 262.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 135.00 Yds. Allowed 87.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 213.50 Yds. Allowed 175.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.00. Allowed 16.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.90. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.50 Yds. Gained 47.90 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 289.40 Yds. Allowed 366.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.20 Yds. Allowed 130.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 169.20 Yds. Allowed 236.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.60. Allowed 22.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 3.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.80 Yds. Gained 31.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 372.70 Yds. Allowed 262.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 141.40 Yds. Allowed 95.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 231.30 Yds. Allowed 166.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.20. Allowed 16.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.40. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.70 Yds. Gained 43.60 Yds

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