Colts vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Colts vs Commanders Predictions

Best Bet

Over 47.5 Points @ -106

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We’re expecting Over 47.5 points to be scored by the Commanders and the Colts combined. There’s an attractive -106 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.

Our Colts vs Commanders picks feature our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Head further down the page for detailed analysis and the reasoning behind the plays.

Colts vs Commanders Preview

The Indianapolis Colts square off against the Washington Commanders in a Week 4 NFL London Game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 09:30 on Sunday, October 4.

Washington will be without Jayden Daniels, who has been ruled out with a dislocated elbow, leaving Marcus Mariota to lead the offense on the international stage. Indianapolis brings plenty of star power of its own through Jonathan Taylor, whose explosive running ability gives the Commanders’ defense a major threat to contain.

The Indianapolis Colts are 1-2 after earning a 19-17 home victory over the Houston Texans in their last game at Lucas Oil Stadium. Indianapolis finished with 300 total yards, including 211 passing and 89 rushing, while recording 19 first downs and scoring one touchdown.

Josh Downs led the Colts with 77 receiving yards, while Keenan Allen caught six passes for 63 yards and scored Indianapolis' only touchdown. Jonathan Taylor carried the ball 23 times for 68 yards and added two receptions for four yards.

The Washington Commanders are also 1-2 after picking up a 33-31 home victory over the Seattle Seahawks in their last game at Northwest Stadium. Washington finished with 258 total yards, including 176 passing and 82 rushing, while recording 17 first downs and scoring four touchdowns.

Marcus Mariota completed 19 of 31 passes for 183 yards and three touchdowns without an interception while filling in for Jayden Daniels. Terry McLaurin caught six passes for 77 yards and a touchdown, while Washington's defense also contributed to the scoring with Kain Medrano returning an interception for a touchdown.

H2H: Commanders Won the Last Meeting

The Commanders came out on top when these teams last met in October 2022, earning a 17-16 road victory over the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Daniel Jones

219.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Marcus Mariota

203.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

We’re surprised that the total line is 47.5 and it’s all about going for the Overs option when these NFL teams take to the field. Take the -106 and cheer on points.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 47.5 line has been covered in 2 of the last 3 Colts games this season.
• The 47.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Colts games.
• The 47.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Commanders games.
• The 47.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Commanders games.
• The 47.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Commanders games.

We only make our NFL predictions after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Over 47.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 51.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs selection by combining this pick on the Result & Total lines. Predict a franchise to win as part of the deal.

Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.

Over 47.5 Points @ -106 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tyler Warren Anytime TD +165

Tyler Warren (Colts) is priced at +165 to score a TD. He looks like an attractive wager to take it to the house and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer selection.

Latest Tyler Warren Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+170

First

+950

Receiving Yards

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

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Marcus Mariota Over 210.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Marcus Mariota (Commanders) to surpass 210.5 passing yards are -114. We’re happy to take him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.

Latest Marcus Mariota Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+400

First

+2000

Passing Yards

Over 203.5

-114

Under 203.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Colts 23 - 27 Commanders

A close matchup could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Commanders to secure a 27-23 win at massive odds and this correct score prediction should hopefully be a fun one.

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Colts vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Indianapolis Colts are -227 favorites to win and that means a 69% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +188 about Washington Commanders.

4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 46.5 right now. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Over 46.5, then the odds are -110.

If you're betting on the matchups, it's worth checking out the best NFL sportsbooks, where you'll find a massive range of game lines and team props. You can place your bets before kickoff or while the action is underway.

Moneyline

Colts

-227

Commanders

+188

Point Spread

Colts -4.5

-106

Commanders +4.5

-114

Total Points

Under 46.5

-110

Over 46.5

-110

The First Touchdown Scorer favorite is Jonathan Taylor at +260. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the final TD.

Touchdown

Jonathan Taylor (Colts)

First TD

+260

Anytime TD

-303

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

-100

Tyler Warren (Colts)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+170

Josh Downs (Colts)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+160

Stefon Diggs (Commanders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+195

Keenan Allen (Colts)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+280

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+240

Rachaad White (Commanders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+280

Laquon Treadwell (Colts)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+410

Daniel Jones (Colts)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+410

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+400

Chig Okonkwo (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+370

Kaytron Allen (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+450

Antonio Williams (Commanders)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+470

Darius Slayton (Colts)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+650

Treylon Burks (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

Dyami Brown (Commanders)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Colts)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+950

Mo Alie-Cox (Colts)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+950

Seth McGowan (Colts)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+950

Austin Ekeler (Commanders)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+700

Craig Reynolds (Commanders)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+700

Ashton Dulin (Colts)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1200

Deion Burks (Colts)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1200

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1000

Anthony Gould (Colts)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1500

Drew Ogletree (Colts)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

DJ Giddens (Colts)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Receiving Yards

Josh Downs (Colts)

Over 70.5

-114

Under 70.5

-114

Tyler Warren (Colts)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Stefon Diggs (Commanders)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Over 50.5

-114

Under 50.5

-114

Keenan Allen (Colts)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Chig Okonkwo (Commanders)

Over 29.5

-114

Under 29.5

-114

Antonio Williams (Commanders)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Laquon Treadwell (Colts)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Jonathan Taylor (Colts)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Treylon Burks (Commanders)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Darius Slayton (Colts)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jonathan Taylor (Colts)

Over 89.5

-114

Under 89.5

-114

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Kaytron Allen (Commanders)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Daniel Jones (Colts)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Seth McGowan (Colts)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Passing Yards

Daniel Jones (Colts)

Over 219.5

-114

Under 219.5

-114

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 203.5

-114

Under 203.5

-114

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NFL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indianapolis Colts Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 55.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.70 pts and allowed 29.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 29.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.80 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.20 pts and allowed 27.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 278.60 Yds. Allowed 392.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 85.90 Yds. Allowed 123.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 192.70 Yds. Allowed 269.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.50. Allowed 23.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.60 Yds. Gained 59.40 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 310.80 Yds. Allowed 366.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 133.40 Yds. Allowed 130.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 177.40 Yds. Allowed 236.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.10. Allowed 21.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.10 Yds. Gained 55.60 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 335.10 Yds. Allowed 382.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 97.80 Yds. Allowed 94.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 237.30 Yds. Allowed 287.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.10. Allowed 21.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 2.00. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.00 Yds. Gained 62.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 337.60 Yds. Allowed 397.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 146.40 Yds. Allowed 130.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 191.20 Yds. Allowed 267.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 23.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.20. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 64.60 Yds. Gained 47.90 Yds

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