Dolphins vs Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2026

Dolphins vs Jets Predictions

Best Bet

Jets -4.5 @ -118

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It’s time to go for the Jets against the spread, especially with an attractive -4.5 line at -118. Our prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved in their meeting with the Dolphins.

Our expert Dolphins vs Jets betting coverage includes our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Dig into each section for the full analysis behind each pick.

Dolphins vs Jets Preview

The Miami Dolphins face the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Sunday, October 25.

Miami Dolphins have been defeated in five straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Cincinnati Bengals by a 31-24 scoreline at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins moved the ball for 331 yards, split between 114 passing and 217 rushing yards. They moved the chains 23 times and produced 3 touchdowns.

New York Jets were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 26-19 reverse against New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. The Jets moved the ball for 324 yards, made up of 227 through the air and 97 on the ground. The offense scored one passing TD and managed 21 first downs.

H2H: 8 Wins for Fins in Last 10 H2H Matchups

The Dolphins have beaten the Jets in the last two matchups. A 27-21 victory at Hard Rock Stadium was followed by a 34-10 win at MetLife Stadium. The Dolphins have triumphed in eight of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Malik Willis

183.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Geno Smith

223.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

There’s a strong case for backing the Jets on the spread in this NFL showdown. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -118 when it comes to the favorites at -4.5.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 6 consecutive games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming action along with the current form of each franchise. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our NFL picks.

Jets -4.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Want bigger odds when it comes to your spread pick? Never fear, you are able to head to the sportsbooks and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Jets -4.5 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Malik Willis Under 183.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Malik Willis (Dolphins) at -114 to finish with fewer than 183.5 passing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Malik Willis Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 183.5

-114

Under 183.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

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Caleb Douglas Under 33.5 Receiving Yards -114

Caleb Douglas (Dolphins) is available at -114 to finish with fewer than 33.5 receiving yards. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards total.

Latest Caleb Douglas Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Dolphins 20 - 27 Jets

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score bet. A play on the Jets to claim a 27-20 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

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Dolphins vs Jets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 70% chance of securing victory, New York Jets are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -233. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +194 about Miami Dolphins.

4.5 is the spread and 39.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to bet on the NFL including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 39.5 can find odds of -114 available.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of game lines and team props for every National Football League matchup. The best betting apps offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Dolphins

+194

Jets

-233

Point Spread

Dolphins +4.5

-104

Jets -4.5

-118

Total Points

Under 39.5

-114

Over 39.5

-106

Receiving Yards

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Caleb Douglas (Dolphins)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Omar Cooper Jr. (Jets)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Adonai Mitchell (Jets)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Mason Taylor (Jets)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Chris Bell (Dolphins)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Kenyon Sadiq (Jets)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 52.5

-114

Under 52.5

-114

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-102

Passing Yards

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 223.5

-114

Under 223.5

-114

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

Over 183.5

-114

Under 183.5

-114

Jets Home Record Stands at Seven Losses From Last Ten

The Jets own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 17.80 points on offense and surrendering 26.60 on defense.

The Dolphins have suffered five consecutive road defeats. They have a 2-8 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 18.00 points on offense and surrendering 25.20 on defense.

The Dolphins defeated the Jets 34-10 the last time they played at MetLife Stadium. Over the past 7 head-to-head meetings at MetLife Stadium, the Dolphins have collected four wins, while the Jets have three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O39.5	U39.5
Jets Home Stats		3-7	44.40	17.80	26.60	7	3
Dolphins Away Stats		2-8	43.20	18.00	25.20	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O39.5 = Games Over 39.5 Points
• U39.5 = Games Under 39.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Dolphins Stats

New York Jets Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 39.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.00 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.00 pts and allowed 25.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 40.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 39.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 15.60 pts and allowed 27.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 15.70 pts and allowed 24.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 291.20 Yds. Allowed 343.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 127.20 Yds. Allowed 115.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 164.00 Yds. Allowed 228.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.00. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.40 Yds. Gained 46.30 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 265.20 Yds. Allowed 360.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 99.40 Yds. Allowed 129.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 165.80 Yds. Allowed 231.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.80. Allowed 22.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 62.50 Yds. Gained 45.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 264.60 Yds. Allowed 320.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.10 Yds. Allowed 133.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 159.50 Yds. Allowed 186.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.60. Allowed 19.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.20. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.10 Yds. Gained 51.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 234.70 Yds. Allowed 322.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 108.40 Yds. Allowed 148.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 126.30 Yds. Allowed 174.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 14.50. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.20. Committed by opponents 6.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 61.80 Yds. Gained 58.40 Yds

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