Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Arkansas State vs UL Monroe

The Arkansas State Red Wolves square off against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Saturday, February 21.

When Arkansas State clash with UL Monroe, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land -110 for Under 164.5 and this looks worth taking.

Arkansas State Red Wolves won their previous game 79-62. This was a road victory against Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks were beaten 77-76 in their last game, being turned over at home to Troy Trojans.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arkansas State triumphed 103-70 when they last played UL Monroe. Arkansas State have beaten UL Monroe in the past four meetings. They’ve also claimed 7 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas State	20-12	2655	2471	184	11-5	9-7	1L
UL Monroe	4-28	2318	2685	-367	3-12	1-16	8L

View Full Standings

Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Prediction & Picks

Prepare for Arkansas State vs UL Monroe with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, a correct score recommendation and a well-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

There are good reasons for anticipating that the points tally will be lower than the line in this college showdown. If you agree with our pick of Under 164.5, you will find -110 available.

We put solid research behind every basketball pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key college hoops stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Arkansas State vs UL Monroe stats:

• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 AR State games on the road.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 AR State games.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 AR State games.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 ULM games at home.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 ULM games at home.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 ULM games at home.

Under 164.5 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting apps suggest our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re wanting bigger odds for your Under wager, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better return.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 164.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 20, 23:04). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas State 88 - 70 UL Monroe

There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on Arkansas State when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 88-70 should provide some entertainment.

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Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

UL Monroe are strong +1040 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 9% chance of claiming victory. Arkansas State are the underdogs at -2500 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

15.5 is the spread and 164.5 is the total points line. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. Those that want to back Under 164.5 can find odds of -114 available.

There are plenty of team props and game lines available for college basketball wagering, and we recommend checking out the top sportsbooks to find the bet that aligns with your prediction for the game.

Moneyline

AR State

-2500

ULM

+1040

Point Spread

AR State -15.5

-108

ULM +15.5

-112

Total Points

Under 164.5

-114

Over 164.5

-106

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas State Stats

UL Monroe Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -14.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +14.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 164.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.30 pts and allowed 73.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 77.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 154.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 164.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.80 pts and allowed 84.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 80.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	22-11	2649	2412	237	12-4	10-7	4W
South Alabama	21-11	2387	2234	153	12-5	9-6	2L
Arkansas State	20-12	2655	2471	184	11-5	9-7	1L
Appalachian State	19-13	2305	2114	191	12-5	7-8	2L
Marshall	19-13	2596	2497	99	13-5	6-8	2L
Texas State	19-13	2365	2271	94	16-3	3-10	1L
Coastal Carolina	19-13	2346	2323	23	8-6	11-7	1L
Georgia Southern	21-16	2994	2949	45	10-6	11-10	1L
James Madison	18-15	2460	2437	23	13-4	5-11	1L
Southern Miss	19-16	2615	2585	30	13-3	6-13	1L
Old Dominion	12-21	2514	2570	-56	8-6	4-15	1L
Louisiana	11-22	2101	2332	-231	8-8	3-14	1L
Georgia State	10-22	2253	2391	-138	7-8	3-14	4L
UL Monroe	4-28	2318	2685	-367	3-12	1-16	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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