Botafogo vs Caxias do Sul Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 28 Oct 2026

Botafogo vs Caxias do Sul Predictions

Best Bet

Caxias +4.5 @ -118

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Our prediction is that Caxias can outperform their odds against Botafogo. It leads us to a bet on the spread lines considering that +4.5 has been chalked up at -118.

Our Botafogo vs Caxias picks go beyond the Best Bet, with a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction also featured. Scroll down to see the full breakdown and reasoning behind each wager.

Botafogo vs Caxias do Sul Preview

Botafogo host Caxias do Sul, with tip-off set for 19:00 on Wednesday 28 October.

Botafogo were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 89-88 loss against Pato.

Caxias do Sul lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Minas 78-66.

H2H: 8 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Games for Caxias

Botafogo won the most recent encounter between these sides. A 68-67 victory was registered against Caxias. Caxias have won eight of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NBB	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
15  Botafogo	0	2	159	170	-11	0-0	0-2	2L
16  Caxias do Sul	0	2	127	150	-23	0-2	0-0	2L

View Full Standings

Best Bet

There’s a great opportunity to back Caxias against the spread here. The underdogs should be able to produce a solid performance in this NBB contest, with +4.5 making lots appeal at -118.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Caxias in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Caxias in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Botafogo in 8 consecutive games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Botafogo in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Botafogo in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Botafogo in 9 consecutive games against Caxias.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the most important Brazilian NBB stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Caxias +4.5 Probability

The best betting apps are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s regularly the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky wager but smaller odds.

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Caxias +4.5 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Botafogo 78 - 79 Caxias

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Caxias do Sul enjoying a 79-78 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Botafogo vs Caxias do Sul Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 68% chance of securing victory, Botafogo are favorites for this NBB game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -217. Caxias do Sul are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +150.

The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 152.5. The Total lines offer basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re wanting to back Over 152.5, the odds are -119.

NBB fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup. Head to one of the leading betting sites and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Botafogo

-217

Caxias

+150

Point Spread

Botafogo -4.5

-118

Caxias +4.5

-118

Total Points

Under 152.5

-116

Over 152.5

-119

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

There are some exciting NBB micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Botafogo Stats

Caxias do Sul Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 164.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 152.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.20 pts and allowed 90.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 76.30 pts and allowed 88.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 152.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.80 pts and allowed 74.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.60 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

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NBB Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Minas	3	0	252	202	50	1-0	2-0	3W
2  Brasília	3	0	284	245	39	2-0	1-0	3W
3  Mogi das Cruzes	3	1	315	294	21	2-0	1-1	2W
4  Unifacisa	2	1	247	213	34	2-0	0-1	1L
5  Pinheiros	2	1	238	207	31	1-0	1-1	2W
6  Franca	2	1	228	211	17	2-0	0-1	1L
7  Bauru	2	1	226	228	-2	1-1	1-0	1L
8  Flamengo	1	1	162	153	9	1-1	0-0	1W
9  Osasco	1	1	163	165	-2	0-0	1-1	1W
10  Paulistano	1	1	153	165	-12	0-0	1-1	1L
11  Corinthians	1	2	243	236	7	1-0	0-2	1W
12  Cruzeiro	1	2	226	233	-7	0-1	1-1	2L
13  União Corinthians	1	2	217	237	-20	1-1	0-1	2L
14  Pato	1	2	228	254	-26	1-1	0-1	1L
15  Botafogo	0	2	159	170	-11	0-0	0-2	2L
16  Caxias do Sul	0	2	127	150	-23	0-2	0-0	2L
17  São José	0	2	127	173	-46	0-0	0-2	2L
18  Cearense	0	2	132	191	-59	0-2	0-0	2L

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