Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Wednesday

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Predictions

Best Bet

Rockets -8.5 @ -115

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

There’s a generous line of -8.5 when it comes to the Rockets playing the Mavericks. The -115 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

We’ve locked in our Mavericks vs Rockets betting picks, featuring our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Navigate to the sections below for the complete analysis.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Preview

The Dallas Mavericks take the court against the Houston Rockets in this NBA contest.

Houston retained its core ahead of the new season, signing Marcus Smart and Bogdan Bogdanovic while securing a five-year contract extension for Amen Thompson. The Rockets also extended Tari Eason's deal, although Dorian Finney-Smith and Josh Okogie departed. Dallas added Santi Aldama from Memphis, Zaccharie Risacher from Atlanta and Marcus Sasser from Detroit. The Mavericks also extended Naji Marshall's contract, while Klay Thompson left for Miami.

Dallas Mavericks claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 149-128 win occurred against Chicago Bulls at American Airlines Center. John Poulakidas tallied 28 points, while AJ Johnson put up 20 and Tyler Smith 20.

Houston Rockets were beaten 98-78 at Toyota Center in their last game, being turned over at home to LA Lakers. Amen Thompson scored 18 points, Alperen Sengun had 17 points and 11 rebounds, while Tari Eason bagged 14 points.

H2H: Rockets 111-107 Winners in Last H2H Battle

The Rockets won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 111-107 triumph when facing the Mavs at Toyota Center. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Mavs have 3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 116.8 points, 45.0 rebounds, 25.2 assists, 8.3 steals and 4.8 blocks while shooting 43.7% from the field and 80.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 124.3 points and 48.7 rebounds per contest.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 25.6 points and 6.9 rebounds, Ryan Nembhard 6.4 assists and John Poulakidas 2.5 (40.3%) 3-pointers.

The Rockets have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 108.8 points, 46.0 rebounds, 22.4 assists, 10.3 steals and 5.2 blocks per game while shooting 44.3% from the field and 75.7% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 105.1 points and 39.2 rebounds.

Amen Thompson is averaging 19.7 points and 5.3 assists, while Alperen Sengun has an average of 9.3 rebounds and Jabari Smith 2.7 (35.1%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Max Christie, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, PJ Washington, Cooper Flagg.

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Fred VanVleet, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith, Alperen Sengun.

Best Bet

Our pick is for Rockets to cover the attractive -8.5 line in this NBA matchup. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -115 is available.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Our expert NBA handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Rockets -8.5 Probability

According to the top NBA betting sites, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Selling points can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Rockets -8.5 @ -115 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 21, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Amen Thompson Over 18.5 Points +102

Amen Thompson (Rockets) has recorded an average of 27 points in the past 4 home games. He looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and you’re able to back this pick at odds of +102.

Latest Amen Thompson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-100

Under 18.5

-135

Assists

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 8.5

+114

Under 8.5

-154

---

Kevin Durant Over 3.5 Assists -152

Kevin Durant (Rockets) finished with Over 3.5 assists in 3 straight games. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet which is priced at -152 that he is able to cover the line.

Latest Kevin Durant Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 24.5

-105

Under 24.5

-130

Assists

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+112

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-141

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 106 - 117 Rockets

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Rockets to record a 117-106 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Houston Rockets as -333 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 77% likely to win. For those wanting to back Dallas Mavericks, you will find +270 about the underdogs.

The spread is calculated to be 8.5, while total points comes in at 230.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 230.5, there are odds of -110.

NBA fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Mavericks

+270

Rockets

-333

Point Spread

Mavericks +8.5

-105

Rockets -8.5

-115

Total Points

Under 230.5

-110

Over 230.5

-110

Kevin Durant is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -105 that he gets Over 24.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -130.

Kevin Durant (Rockets)

Over 24.5

-105

Under 24.5

-130

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-120

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-120

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 19.5

-118

Under 19.5

-114

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 18.5

-100

Under 18.5

-135

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-114

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 12.5

-120

Under 12.5

-114

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-120

Max Christie (Mavericks)

Over 11.5

+105

Under 11.5

-143

Reed Sheppard (Rockets)

Over 10.5

+110

Under 10.5

-152

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-109

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-120

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-114

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+108

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-103

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+110

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-118

Kevin Durant (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+112

Reed Sheppard (Rockets)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-167

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 9.5

+112

Under 9.5

-154

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 8.5

+114

Under 8.5

-154

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 7.5

+108

Under 7.5

-147

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

-118

Under 6.5

-115

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-149

Kevin Durant (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-141

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-118

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-139

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-103

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-182

Max Christie (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-167

Reed Sheppard (Rockets)

Over 2.5

+136

Under 2.5

-179

The Rockets have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games, scoring 117.10 points per contest and conceding 108.00.

The Mavericks have stumbled to four consecutive losses away from home. They have gone 3-7 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 113.70 points on offense and surrendering 121.00 on defense.

The Mavs defeated the Rockets 132-115 the last time they played at Toyota Center. In the previous 10 head-to-head matchups at Toyota Center, both teams have come away with five wins.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O230.5	U230.5
Houston Rockets Home Stats		7-3	225.10	117.10	108.00	5	5
Dallas Mavericks Away Stats		3-7	234.70	113.70	121.00	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
• U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Houston Rockets Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 241.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 234.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 230.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 230.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 116.80 pts and allowed 124.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 113.70 pts and allowed 121.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 213.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 225.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 230.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 230.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.80 pts and allowed 105.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 117.10 pts and allowed 108.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.80 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.00 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 23.20 (80.28%)
• Rebounds: Total 45, Offensive 11.90, Defensive 33.10
• Assists: 25.20
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 8.30
• Turnovers : 11.10
• Personal Fouls: 20.00

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.50 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.60 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.90 (80.24%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.9, Offensive 12.50, Defensive 33.40
• Assists: 25.90
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 8.40
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 19.20

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.60 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.30 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.70 (75.71%)
• Rebounds: Total 46, Offensive 15.30, Defensive 30.70
• Assists: 22.40
• Blocks: 5.20
• Steals: 10.30
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 20.70

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.80 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.10 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (76.49%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.5, Offensive 12.60, Defensive 32.90
• Assists: 25.40
• Blocks: 5.40
• Steals: 9.00
• Turnovers : 11.50
• Personal Fouls: 17.50

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup

1 Amen Thompson

5 Fred VanVleet

7 Kevin Durant

10 Jabari Smith

28 Alperen Sengun

Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup

0 Max Christie

11 Kyrie Irving

21 Daniel Gafford

25 PJ Washington

32 Cooper Flagg

NBA Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Jazz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Jazz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Jazz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

Where to Bet on Basketball Games

Top Basketball Pages