Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Wednesday

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Predictions

Best Bet

Heat Moneyline @ -120

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There are attractive odds about the Heat and our betting prediction is for them to benefit from home-court advantage and win. They can get the better of the Wolves and you can get -120.

Our Wolves vs Heat betting preview features our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Jump straight to the dedicated sections below for the full analysis behind the picks.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves go head-to-head with the Miami Heat in this NBA clash.

Miami made one of the biggest moves of the offseason, acquiring two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis from Milwaukee in a trade involving Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware and Kasparas Jakucionis. The Heat also signed Klay Thompson and Tim Hardaway Jr. Minnesota reshaped its roster by acquiring LaMelo Ball from Charlotte and signing Jonathan Kuminga, while Julius Randle, Naz Reid and veteran point guard Mike Conley departed.

Minnesota Timberwolves were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to San Antonio Spurs by a 139-109 scoreline at Target Center. Anthony Edwards poured in 24 points, with Terrence Shannon contributing 21 and Naz Reid adding 18.

Miami Heat were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 127-126 (OT) reverse against Charlotte Hornets at Spectrum Center. Davion Mitchell scored 28 points, while Andrew Wiggins finished with 27 and Tyler Herro 23.

H2H: 8 Triumphs for Wolves in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

It was the Wolves who came out on top when they last played the Heat. At Target Center, a 122-94 win was recorded. The Wolves have three straight wins against the Heat. They have won 8 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. The Wolves are averaging 107.5 points, 45.4 rebounds, 22.8 assists, 6.4 steals and 3.6 blocks while shooting 43.0% from the field and 76.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 113.9 points and 44.1 rebounds per matchup.

Jaden McDaniels is averaging 16.6 points, Rudy Gobert 9.5 rebounds and Ayo Dosunmu 3.5 assists, while Naz Reid averages 2.0 (40.0%) 3-pointers made.

The Heat have won 4 and lost 6 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 126.4 points, 44.1 rebounds, 31.1 assists, 5.4 steals and 4.5 blocks per game while shooting 49.6% from the field and 78.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 128.6 points and 44.5 rebounds.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 18.5 points, Bam Adebayo 10.7 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 5.4 assists, while Andrew Wiggins has an average of 2.6 (52.0%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: LaMelo Ball, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Jonathan Kuminga, Rudy Gobert.

Miami Heat lineup: Davion Mitchell, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Klay Thompson, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins.

Best Bet

If you’re looking for a value wager, then -120 that Heat win this NBA game certainly stands out. We’re expecting them to triumph on the Moneyline at nice odds.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Heat have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• Heat have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Heat have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Wolves have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Wolves have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Wolves have lost their last 2 games.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making basketball picks. We also put strong emphasis on NBA stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter predictions.

Heat Moneyline Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 54.6% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you’re wanting bigger odds about the Heat, then there are a number of alternatives including against the Spread, Double Result and the Result & Both Teams to Score.

Get rewarded when bet. Check our latest guide featuring top-rated free bets, promotions and sign-up bonuses.

Heat Moneyline @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 21, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Edwards Under 28.5 Points -118

Anthony Edwards (Wolves) has scored an average of 20 points in the past 4 road games. We can use this stat to our advantage and back him to fall short of the Player Points line at -118.

Latest Anthony Edwards Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 28.5

-115

Under 28.5

-118

Assists

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-133

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+125

Under 5.5

-175

---

Bam Adebayo Over 16.5 Points -112

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has an average of 21.8 points in the past 5 games at home. He should therefore be capable of going over the line, with -112 available when it comes to having a wager on Player Points.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-122

Assists

Over 2.5

-179

Under 2.5

+128

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-132

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Timberwolves 117 - 122 Heat

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Heat to enjoy a 122-117 winning scoreline.

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Moneyline odds about Miami Heat triumphing is priced at -120 and you can get Minnesota Timberwolves at +102. According to the top NBA sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 55%.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 243.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. Those that want to back Under 243.5 can find odds of -110 available.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the best NBA sportsbooks and scanning through the huge selection of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Timberwolves

+102

Heat

-120

Point Spread

Timberwolves +1.5

-112

Heat -1.5

-108

Total Points

Under 243.5

-110

Over 243.5

-110

Anthony Edwards is the market leader to land the most baskets. He is priced at -115 to score Over 28.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -118.

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 28.5

-115

Under 28.5

-118

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Heat)

Over 28.5

-104

Under 28.5

-132

LaMelo Ball (Timberwolves)

Over 19.5

-110

Under 19.5

-122

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-122

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-127

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 13.5

+104

Under 13.5

-141

Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)

Over 12.5

+102

Under 12.5

-137

Jonathan Kuminga (Timberwolves)

Over 12.5

+106

Under 12.5

-143

Klay Thompson (Heat)

Over 12.5

+106

Under 12.5

-143

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-123

Bobby Portis (Heat)

Over 11.5

+106

Under 11.5

-143

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-118

Tim Hardaway Jr. (Heat)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-120

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 9.5

+107

Under 9.5

-143

LaMelo Ball (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

-135

Under 7.5

-100

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Heat)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-105

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

-100

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-133

Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-159

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-175

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 2.5

-179

Under 2.5

+128

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-147

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 11.5

+102

Under 11.5

-137

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Heat)

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-104

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-132

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

+125

Under 5.5

-175

Jonathan Kuminga (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-143

Bobby Portis (Heat)

Over 5.5

-137

Under 5.5

-100

LaMelo Ball (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+107

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+115

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-156

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-185

Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+108

Klay Thompson (Heat)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-156

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-154

The Heat have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 128.00 points scored and 124.40 points allowed.

The Wolves own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 111.60 points on offense and surrendering 119.90 on defense.

The Wolves earned a 125-124 win against the Heat in the teams’ last meeting at Kaseya Center. From the past 10 head-to-heads at Kaseya Center, the Wolves have won eight while the Heat have taken two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O243.5	U243.5
Miami Heat Home Stats		6-4	252.40	128.00	124.40	6	4
Minnesota Timberwolves Away Stats		4-6	231.50	111.60	119.90	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O243.5 = Games Over 243.5 Points
• U243.5 = Games Under 243.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Timberwolves Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 221.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 231.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 243.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 243.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 107.50 pts and allowed 113.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 111.60 pts and allowed 119.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 255.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 252.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 243.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 243.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 126.40 pts and allowed 128.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 128.00 pts and allowed 124.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.40 (48%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.10 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.40 (76.67%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.4, Offensive 12.90, Defensive 32.50
• Assists: 22.80
• Blocks: 3.60
• Steals: 6.40
• Turnovers : 13.60
• Personal Fouls: 23.70

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.30 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.90 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.30 (71.18%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.1, Offensive 9.80, Defensive 30.30
• Assists: 23.00
• Blocks: 4.00
• Steals: 8.10
• Turnovers : 15.10
• Personal Fouls: 23.60

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.50 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.70 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.30 (78.88%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 33.20
• Assists: 31.10
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 5.40
• Turnovers : 11.30
• Personal Fouls: 16.90

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.60 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.60 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 23.00 (80.99%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.9, Offensive 12.00, Defensive 32.90
• Assists: 30.00
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 8.50
• Turnovers : 11.10
• Personal Fouls: 18.60

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

2 Davion Mitchell

7 Giannis Antetokounmpo

11 Klay Thompson

13 Bam Adebayo

22 Andrew Wiggins

Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup

1 LaMelo Ball

3 Jaden McDaniels

5 Anthony Edwards

24 Jonathan Kuminga

27 Rudy Gobert

NBA Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Jazz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Jazz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Jazz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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