Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Nuggets vs Warriors

The Denver Nuggets hit the hardwood against the Golden State Warriors in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Nuggets to Make Short Work of Warriors

We’re bullish about the Nuggets on the spread at -4.5. They should be able to win by a comfortable margin against the Warriors and you can get -110.

8 Triumphs for Nuggets in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

Denver Nuggets triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Portland Trail Blazers were beaten 157-103 at Moda Center. Nikola Jokic dropped 32 points, as Jamal Murray finished with 25 and Tim Hardaway Jr. 19.

Golden State Warriors were beaten 121-110 at Chase Center in their last game. This loss at home to Boston Celtics was their second straight defeat. Offensively, De'Anthony Melton led the way, scoring 18, while Will Richard added 17 and Gui Santos 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Nuggets and the Warriors saw the former win. It was a 129-104 scoreline at Ball Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Nuggets have won eight.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Warriors logo Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
View Full Standings
Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. The Nuggets are averaging 123.4 points, 45.5 rebounds, 29.3 assists, 7.5 steals and 3.9 blocks while shooting 49.7% from the field and 78.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 116.4 points and 39.6 rebounds per matchup.

Jamal Murray is averaging 24.3 points and 8.4 assists, while Nikola Jokic averages 11.7 rebounds and Tim Hardaway Jr. 3.1 (47.7%) 3-pointers made.

Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 108.9 points, 40.9 rebounds, 29.5 assists, 11.6 steals and 4.0 blocks per game while shooting 45.0% from the field and 75.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 112.3 points and 46.5 rebounds.

Moses Moody is averaging 15.2 points and 3.3 (42.3%) 3-pointers made, while Brandin Podziemski has an average of 5.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Moses Moody, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Al Horford, Patrick Spencer.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s fantastic to see Nuggets given a -4.5 line on the spread at -110 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in this NBA contest.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball picks, our handicappers also analyze the latest NBA stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Nuggets vs Warriors stats:

  • The -4.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
  • The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 2 consecutive games.

Nuggets -4.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There are many ways to back the Nuggets and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a wide range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

Find generous betting offers before placing your next wager. The latest free bets, promos, and welcome bonuses included.

Our Game Prediction
Nuggets -4.5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 21, 21:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 21:02, 21 February 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jamal Murray Over 23.5 Points -114 BetMGM logo

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has totaled an average of 28.8 points in the past 5 road games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -114 that he is able to cover the line when it comes to wagering on Player Points.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds


Moses Moody Over 1.5 Assists -108 BetMGM logo

Moses Moody (Warriors) has totaled Over 1.5 assists in 4 straight games. We’re happy to take the -108 for this Player Assists prop bet as he is capable of a big performance against the Celtics.

Latest Moses Moody Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Nuggets -6.5
Totals Over 227.5
Player Points Jamal Murray Over 23.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Nuggets to cover the -6.5 spread, Over 227.5 on the total and Jamal Murray (Nuggets) to score Over 23.5 points.

We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets Nuggets logo 122 - 114 Warriors logo Warriors

There are lots of different ways to back the Nuggets on the correct score betting and something like 122-114 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Nuggets Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

Denver Nuggets are -250 favorites and that means a 71% chance of winning this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Golden State Warriors are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +205.

The spread is calculated to be 6.5, while total points comes in at 227.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. The Over 227.5 selection is available to back at -105.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Get Most Points

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Nikola Jokic is available at -122 to rack up Over 28.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -112 is available.

Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 28.5
-122
Under 28.5
-112
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 23.5
-120
Under 23.5
-114
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Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)
Over 14.5
-127
Under 14.5
-108
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De'Anthony Melton (Warriors)
Over 14.5
-103
Under 14.5
-133
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Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 10.5
+105
Under 10.5
-143
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
-143
Under 6.5
+105
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Pat Spencer (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-139
Under 5.5
+104
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Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 4.5
-133
Under 4.5
-103
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Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 13.5
+105
Under 13.5
-143
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Gui Santos (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-139
Under 5.5
+102
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Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-164
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Al Horford (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-156
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Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Chase Center
Chase Center
Warriors Own Five Victories From Previous Ten at Home

The Warriors own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 119.80 points on offense and surrendering 118.70 on defense.

The Nuggets have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 121.80 points on average and giving up 112.80.

The last Chase Center meeting saw the Warriors beat the Nuggets 137-131. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings at Chase Center, both teams have notched five wins.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O230.5 U230.5
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Home Stats 5-5 238.50 119.80 118.70 7 3
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Away Stats 7-3 234.60 121.80 112.80 5 5
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
  • U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 52 35.4 1331 394 25.6 7.6 3.2 4.5 0.4 1.0
Nikola Jokic 41 34.22 1173 430 28.6 10.5 1.9 12.3 0.7 1.4
Peyton Watson 49 30.65 731 96 14.9 2.0 1.5 4.9 1.2 1.0

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Stephen Curry 39 31.33 1061 189 27.2 4.8 4.5 3.5 0.4 1.1
Jimmy Butler 38 31.1 760 185 20.0 4.9 0.8 5.6 0.2 1.4
Brandin Podziemski 56 26.88 672 200 12.0 3.6 1.6 4.6 0.2 1.1

Injuries & Suspensions

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup
4 Moses Moody
8 De'Anthony Melton
15 Gui Santos
20 Al Horford
61 Patrick Spencer
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup
0 Christian Braun
3 Julian Strawther
15 Nikola Jokic
23 Cameron Johnson
27 Jamal Murray

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

20 Feb NBA
Nuggets 157-103 Trail Blazers
19 Feb NBA
Nuggets 114-115 Clippers
11 Feb NBA
Grizzlies 116-122 Nuggets
09 Feb NBA
Cavaliers 119-117 Nuggets
07 Feb NBA
Nuggets 136-120 Bulls
04 Feb NBA
Nuggets 127-134 Knicks
03 Feb NBA
Nuggets 121-124 Pistons
01 Feb NBA
Thunder 121-111 Nuggets
30 Jan NBA
Clippers 109-122 Nuggets
29 Jan NBA
Nets 103-107 Nuggets

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

19 Feb NBA
Celtics 121-110 Warriors
11 Feb NBA
Spurs 126-113 Warriors
09 Feb NBA
Grizzlies 113-114 Warriors
07 Feb NBA
Warriors 99-105 Lakers
05 Feb NBA
Warriors 101-97 Suns
03 Feb NBA
76ers 113-94 Warriors
30 Jan NBA
Pistons 131-124 Warriors
28 Jan NBA
Warriors 140-124 Jazz
26 Jan NBA
Warriors 83-108 Timberwolves
25 Jan NBA
Warriors 111-85 Timberwolves

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak