Denver Nuggets
Basketball
Minnesota Timberwolves
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Nuggets vs Wolves

The No. 3 seed Denver Nuggets (54-28, 26-15 away) take on the No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 26-15 at home) in Game 3 of this first-round NBA Playoffs series. The series is tied 1-1.

Are Nuggets Value for This Game?

We’re backing the Nuggets to get the win over the Timberwolves. We expect the road team to bounce back and start a new winning run, with -130 on the moneyline looking like solid value.

Wolves Halt Nuggets’ Winning Streak

The Nuggets took Game 1 with a 116-105 win, but the Timberwolves responded with a 119-114 victory in Game 2 at Ball Arena on Monday night, snapping Denver’s 13-game winning streak.

Anthony Edwards led the Wolves with 30 points and 10 rebounds in Game 2, while Julius Randle added 24 and Donte DiVincenzo chipped in 16. For the Nuggets, Jamal Murray had 30, Nikola Jokic recorded 24 points and 15 rebounds, and Tim Hardaway Jr. added 16.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Minnesota holds a 6-4 edge over Denver in the last 10 matchups.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves logo Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray.

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks

Head into Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a thoughtfully built same game parlay.

Game Prediction

Denver should prove too strong in this first-round matchup and we’re backing them on the moneyline. The Nuggets looks well positioned and 1.77 is a price worth taking.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming NBA action along with the current form of each franchise. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball picks.

Key Nuggets vs Timberwolves stats:

  • Nuggets have won 9 of their last 10 games.
  • Nuggets have won 16 of their last 20 games.
  • Nuggets have won 3 consecutive games on the road.
  • Wolves have lost 3 of their last 5 games at home.

Nuggets Moneyline Probability

Based on the latest betting odds from the best NBA sportsbooks, our pick carries a 56.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Fancy the Nuggets to win but want more juice in the odds? Why not take a look at the spread and consider them to cover one of the available lines.

Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.

Our Game Prediction
Nuggets Moneyline @ -130 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 23, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:02, 23 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Edwards Under 28.5 Points -110 BetMGM logo

Anthony Edwards (Wolves) has averaged 19.8 points in the past 5 games. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points and there are odds of -110 available.

Latest Anthony Edwards Player Prop Odds


Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 Assists -100 BetMGM logo

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets) has racked up Over 2.5 assists in 5 straight games. On the basis of this stat, we can shoot for him to once again cover the Player Assists line and this is on offer at -100.

Latest Aaron Gordon Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Nuggets
Totals Over 234.5
Player Points Anthony Edwards Under 28.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Nuggets on the moneyline. We’ve also gone for Over 234.5 and Anthony Edwards (Wolves) to score Under 28.5 points.

There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets Nuggets logo 122 - 120 Timberwolves logo Timberwolves

We’ll take a shot on the Nuggets to win 122-120. This correct score play comes with huge odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Game Could Go Right to the Wire According to the Books

The latest Moneyline odds are -118 that the Minnesota Timberwolves win, while the Denver Nuggets have been chalked up at -100. The sportsbooks award a 50% probability that the Nuggets will be settled as a winning NBA bet.

The current spread is 1 and the total points line is 232.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 232.5, it’s -110.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Get Most Points

Nikola Jokic is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -120 can be found for him scoring Over 29.5 points and there is -114 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 29.5
-120
Under 29.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 28.5
-108
Under 28.5
-127
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 27.5
-125
Under 27.5
-109
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 19.5
-112
Under 19.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 9.5
-123
Under 9.5
-110
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
-128
Under 6.5
-106
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
-123
Under 4.5
-110
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
-127
Under 4.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 13.5
-118
Under 13.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)
Over 10.5
-137
Under 10.5
+102
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 6.5
-115
Under 6.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 5.5
-133
Under 5.5
-103
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Target Center
Target Center
Wolves Sitting on Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Wolves are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, putting up 112.80 points on average and giving up 112.40.

The Nuggets have chalked up three consecutive victories on their travels. They have gone 5-5 across their last 10 road games, posting 125.40 points per contest while yielding 125.00.

The last Target Center meeting saw the Nuggets beat the Wolves 123-112. Over the last 10 head-to-head clashes at Target Center, the Nuggets have secured six victories, as the Wolves have picked up four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O224.5 U224.5
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Home Stats 6-4 222.00 112.10 109.90 3 7
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Away Stats 5-5 242.80 120.80 122.00 8 2
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O224.5 = Games Over 224.5 Points
  • U224.5 = Games Under 224.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 5 39.58 130 30 26.0 6.0 2.2 4.8 0.2 1.0
Nikola Jokic 5 38.74 127 47 25.4 9.4 1.2 14.0 0.8 1.2
Christian Braun 5 31.86 47 10 9.4 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.4 1.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaden McDaniels 5 34.34 75 13 15.0 2.6 0.2 6.2 0.6 0.2
Rudy Gobert 5 33.32 36 10 7.2 2.0 - 10.2 1.0 1.4
Julius Randle 5 32.92 97 20 19.4 4.0 0.8 8.0 0.2 0.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup
0 Donte DiVincenzo
3 Jaden McDaniels
5 Anthony Edwards
27 Rudy Gobert
30 Julius Randle
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup
0 Christian Braun
15 Nikola Jokic
21 Spencer Jones
23 Cameron Johnson
27 Jamal Murray

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

27 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 113-125 Nuggets
25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Nuggets 128-118 Spurs
10 Apr NBA
Thunder 107-127 Nuggets
08 Apr NBA
Grizzlies 119-136 Nuggets
06 Apr NBA
Trail Blazers 132-137 Nuggets
04 Apr NBA
Spurs 134-136 Nuggets

Previous Minnesota Timberwolves Lineups

27 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 113-125 Nuggets
25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Pelicans 126-132 Timberwolves
10 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 136-132 Rockets
08 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 120-132 Magic
07 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 124-104 Pacers
05 Apr NBA
Hornets 122-108 Timberwolves

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak

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