Denver Nuggets
Basketball
Minnesota Timberwolves
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Nuggets vs Wolves

The No. 3 seed Denver Nuggets (54-28, 26-15 away) take on the No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 26-15 at home) in Game 4 of this first-round NBA Playoffs series. The Wolves lead the series 2-1.

Are Nuggets Value for This Game?

The Nuggets are available at -123 on the Moneyline and that looks like a price worth considering. The Wolves may lead the series, but we expect Denver to respond here and come out on top, with the potential to swing momentum back in their favor.

Wolves Lead After Three

The series opened with a 116-105 Nuggets win, followed by a 119-114 Timberwolves victory in Game 2. Minnesota then took Game 3 113-96 at Target Center.

In Game 3, Ayo Dosunmu led the Wolves with 25 points, while Jaden McDaniels added 20 points and 10 rebounds and Anthony Edwards finished with 17. For the Nuggets, Nikola Jokić had 27 points and 15 rebounds, with Jamal Murray contributing 16 and Tim Hardaway Jr. 11.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Wolves hold a 6-4 edge over the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves logo Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks

Get ahead of the game with our Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded same game parlay.

Game Prediction

If you’re looking for a value bet, the Nuggets at -123 on the Moneyline stand out. We’re expecting the road team to get the job done in this first-round matchup, with the price looking like solid value.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key NBA numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Nuggets vs Timberwolves stats:

  • Nuggets have won 8 of their last 10 games.
  • Nuggets have won 16 of their last 20 games.

Nuggets Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 55.2% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

We’d recommend taking a look at the Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score lines if you’re interested in siding with the Nuggets but want bigger odds.

Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.

Our Game Prediction
Nuggets Moneyline @ -123 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 25, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:02, 25 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Edwards Under 26.5 Points -108 BetMGM logo

Anthony Edwards (Wolves) has recorded an average of 19.8 points in the past 5 games. We’re expecting this trend to continue on this latest appearance and you can get Player Points odds of -108.

Latest Anthony Edwards Player Prop Odds


Ayo Dosunmu Over 12.5 Points -104 BetMGM logo

Ayo Dosunmu (Wolves) has recorded an average of 17.13 points in the past 8 games. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of -104.

Latest Ayo Dosunmu Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Nuggets
Totals Over 229.5
Player Points Anthony Edwards Under 26.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Nuggets on the moneyline, along with Over 229.5 and Anthony Edwards (Wolves) to score Under 26.5 points.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets Nuggets logo 120 - 117 Timberwolves logo Timberwolves

For a much bigger return, consider the correct score market. Backing the Nuggets to win 120-117 fits with what we’re expecting, with little likely to separate the teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Predicting a Close Encounter

The Minnesota Timberwolves are -110 to win against the Denver Nuggets who are priced at betting odds of -106. The home team have a 52% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular NBA sportsbooks.

1 is the spread and 228.5 is the total points line. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Over 228.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Get Most Points

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Nikola Jokic is available at -125 to rack up Over 29.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -109 is available.

Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 29.5
-125
Under 29.5
-109
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 26.5
-127
Under 26.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 25.5
-112
Under 25.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 19.5
-110
Under 19.5
-123
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 9.5
-110
Under 9.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
+112
Under 6.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
+112
Under 4.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
-114
Under 4.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 13.5
-133
Under 13.5
-103
BetMGM Logo
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)
Over 11.5
+104
Under 11.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 6.5
-127
Under 6.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 5.5
-127
Under 5.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Target Center
Target Center
Wolves Have Six Wins in Their Last Ten Home Games

The Wolves own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 112.40 points on offense and surrendering 111.00 on defense.

The Nuggets have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, averaging 123.30 points on offense and surrendering 123.50 on defense.

The previous meeting at Target Center saw the Wolves defeat the Nuggets 113-96. Over the past 10 head-to-head meetings at Target Center, the Nuggets have collected six wins, while the Wolves have four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O224.5 U224.5
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Home Stats 6-4 222.00 112.10 109.90 3 7
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Away Stats 5-5 242.80 120.80 122.00 8 2
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O224.5 = Games Over 224.5 Points
  • U224.5 = Games Under 224.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 5 39.58 130 30 26.0 6.0 2.2 4.8 0.2 1.0
Nikola Jokic 5 38.74 127 47 25.4 9.4 1.2 14.0 0.8 1.2
Christian Braun 5 31.86 47 10 9.4 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.4 1.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaden McDaniels 5 34.34 75 13 15.0 2.6 0.2 6.2 0.6 0.2
Rudy Gobert 5 33.32 36 10 7.2 2.0 - 10.2 1.0 1.4
Julius Randle 5 32.92 97 20 19.4 4.0 0.8 8.0 0.2 0.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup
0 Donte DiVincenzo
3 Jaden McDaniels
5 Anthony Edwards
27 Rudy Gobert
30 Julius Randle
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup
0 Christian Braun
15 Nikola Jokic
23 Cameron Johnson
27 Jamal Murray
32 Aaron Gordon

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

27 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 113-125 Nuggets
25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Nuggets 128-118 Spurs
10 Apr NBA
Thunder 107-127 Nuggets
08 Apr NBA
Grizzlies 119-136 Nuggets
06 Apr NBA
Trail Blazers 132-137 Nuggets
04 Apr NBA
Spurs 134-136 Nuggets

Previous Minnesota Timberwolves Lineups

27 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 113-125 Nuggets
25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Pelicans 126-132 Timberwolves
10 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 136-132 Rockets
08 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 120-132 Magic
07 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 124-104 Pacers
05 Apr NBA
Hornets 122-108 Timberwolves

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak

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