Golden State Warriors
Denver Nuggets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Warriors vs Nuggets

Bet on Nuggets Against The Spread

The Nuggets really stand out on the spread. Back them at -9.5 to beat the Warriors with the confidence that they cover the line at -114.

8 Nuggets Wins in Last 10 H2H Clashes

Golden State Warriors have been defeated in their previous four road games. They recently suffered a 121-116 loss against Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center. Will Richard led the way with 30 points, while Moses Moody added 28 and Jonathan Kuminga chipped in 24.

Denver Nuggets have enjoyed four consecutive home wins at Ball Arena. Last time out, Miami Heat were beaten 122-112. Nikola Jokic put on a fantastic show with a triple-double performance, registering 33 points, 16 assists and 15 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors are bidding for a third successive victory against the Nuggets. They previously won 118-104 and 137-131 (OT) at Chase Center. It’s been eight Nuggets wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Warriors logo Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
View Full Standings
Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 116.7 points, 41.7 rebounds, 27.6 assists, 9.7 steals and 3.9 blocks while shooting 46.5% from the field and 83.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 115.9 points and 41.9 rebounds per matchup.

Stephen Curry is averaging 21.4 points and 3.5 (38.9%) 3-pointers made. Jonathan Kuminga averages 6.7 rebounds and Draymond Green 5.7 assists.

Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

The Nuggets have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 118.9 points, 48.3 rebounds, 27.9 assists, 8.2 steals and 4.0 blocks per game while shooting 48.0% from the field and 85.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 113.9 points and 40.5 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.2 points, 13.2 rebounds and 10.4 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 2.0 (27.4%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors lineup: Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

Bet on Nuggets against the spread, with an attractive line of -9.5 that the favorites get the job done. There are odds of -114 that are currently on offer for this NBA matchup.

The NBA handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Key Warriors vs Nuggets stats:

  • The -9.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
  • The -9.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 6 of their last 10 games at home.

Nuggets -9.5 Probability

According to the best NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.2% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There are many alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Don’t miss out on extra value. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of free bets and sign-up bonuses for new bettors.

Our Game Prediction
Nuggets -9.5 @ -114 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 7, 02:06). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:06, 07 November 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Christian Braun Over 2.5 Assists -156 BetMGM logo

Christian Braun (Nuggets) has had Over 2.5 assists in 5 straight home games. The line is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and you can get -156 that he is able to land a return.

Latest Christian Braun Player Prop Odds


Jonathan Kuminga Under 21.5 Points -114 BetMGM logo

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors) has totaled an average of 16.6 points in the past 5 games. It therefore follows that he might fall short on Player Points and you can get -114 that he doesn’t cover the line.

Latest Jonathan Kuminga Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Nuggets -9.5
Totals Over 230.5
Player Assists Christian Braun Over 2.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Nuggets -9.5 on the spread, combined with Over 230.5 and Christian Braun (Nuggets) to have Over 2.5 assists.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Warriors Warriors logo 110 - 124 Nuggets logo Nuggets

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Nuggets can be backed speculatively to achieve a 124-110 victory.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Nuggets Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Denver Nuggets are red-hot -455 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 82% chance of winning this NBA game. Golden State Warriors are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +350.

There is a spread of 9.5 and total points has a line of 230.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 230.5 at -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Nikola Jokic is the market leader to land the most baskets. He is priced at -125 to score Over 25.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -108.

Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 25.5
-125
Under 25.5
-108
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 21.5
-106
Under 21.5
-125
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Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)
Over 20.5
-115
Under 20.5
-115
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 19.5
-108
Under 19.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 10.5
+107
Under 10.5
-143
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 5.5
+102
Under 5.5
-135
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+107
Under 5.5
-141
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Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 4.5
-156
Under 4.5
+117
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Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 12.5
-122
Under 12.5
-108
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Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-103
Under 5.5
-130
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+110
Under 5.5
-147
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Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)
Over 5.5
-108
Under 5.5
-123
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Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Ball Arena
Ball Arena
Nuggets Hold Six Straight Wins Over Warriors at Ball Arena

The Nuggets have rattled off five consecutive victories at Ball Arena. They have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 117.90 points on average and giving up 105.90.

The Warriors have dropped four road games in a row. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home, scoring 109.40 points per contest and conceding 114.90.

The Nuggets earned a 119-115 win over the Warriors the last time they played at Ball Arena. In the last 10 head-to-head matchups at Ball Arena, the Nuggets have notched eight victories, while the Warriors have recorded two.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O238.5 U238.5
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Home Stats 8-2 234.90 121.30 113.60 4 6
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Away Stats 4-6 230.70 114.00 116.70 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O238.5 = Games Over 238.5 Points
  • U238.5 = Games Under 238.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Stephen Curry 39 31.33 1061 189 27.2 4.8 4.5 3.5 0.4 1.1
Jimmy Butler 38 31.1 760 185 20.0 4.9 0.8 5.6 0.2 1.4
Brandin Podziemski 74 28.44 976 283 13.2 3.8 1.8 5.3 0.2 1.1

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 70 35.16 1787 501 25.5 7.2 3.2 4.4 0.3 0.9
Nikola Jokic 59 34.9 1647 640 27.9 10.8 1.8 12.8 0.8 1.4
Christian Braun 39 31.54 453 110 11.6 2.8 0.9 4.8 0.3 0.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
De'Anthony Melton
Injured
Stephen Curry
Injured

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup
0 Christian Braun
15 Nikola Jokic
23 Cameron Johnson
27 Jamal Murray
32 Aaron Gordon
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup
1 Jonathan Kuminga
2 Brandin Podziemski
4 Moses Moody
10 Jimmy Butler
23 Draymond Green

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

27 Mar NBA
Wizards 126-131 Warriors
25 Mar NBA
Nets 106-109 Warriors
23 Mar NBA
Warriors 137-131 Mavericks
21 Mar NBA
Warriors 110-126 Hawks
20 Mar NBA
Warriors 101-115 Pistons
18 Mar NBA
Warriors 99-120 Celtics
16 Mar NBA
Warriors 125-117 Wizards
15 Mar NBA
Warriors 107-110 Knicks
13 Mar NBA
Timberwolves 127-117 Warriors
10 Mar NBA
Bulls 130-124 Warriors

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

27 Mar NBA
Jazz 129-135 Nuggets
25 Mar NBA
Mavericks 135-142 Nuggets
24 Mar NBA
Nuggets 125-123 Suns
22 Mar NBA
Trail Blazers 112-128 Nuggets
20 Mar NBA
Raptors 115-121 Nuggets
18 Mar NBA
Nuggets 118-125 Grizzlies
17 Mar NBA
76ers 96-124 Nuggets
14 Mar NBA
Nuggets 125-127 Lakers
12 Mar NBA
Nuggets 136-131 Spurs
11 Mar NBA
Rockets 93-129 Nuggets

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak

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