Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Monday

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Predictions

Best Bet

Nuggets -7.5 @ -118

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Our prediction is to snap up the -118 that the Nuggets are able to cover the spread. The favorites are -7.5 when playing the Warriors and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.

Our Warriors vs Nuggets betting guide covers our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for the full breakdown and reasoning behind each pick.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Preview

The Golden State Warriors face the Denver Nuggets in this NBA contest.

Golden State Warriors have suffered a defeat in their previous three games including a recent 131-122 loss. This occurred on the road at Mortgage Matchup Center against Phoenix Suns. Yaxel Lendeborg dropped 26 points, as De'Anthony Melton finished with 25 and Brandon Williams 20.

Denver Nuggets last game saw them claim a 141-135 (OT) home win over New Orleans Pelicans at Ball Arena. Nikola Jokic put on a huge performance, notching a triple-double featuring 35 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists.

H2H: Nuggets Have Claimed 7 Wins in 10 on H2H

The Nuggets beat the Warriors in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 116-93 scoreline at Ball Arena. We’ve seen seven Nuggets wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	112.5	115.5	-3	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Warriors	0	3	0	111.7	123	-11.3	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L

View Full Standings

2 wins and 8 losses in the past 10 games. The Warriors are averaging 111.4 points, 38.7 rebounds, 26.2 assists, 9.3 steals and 3.2 blocks while shooting 46.4% from the field and 82.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 118.1 points and 40.9 rebounds per matchup.

Stephen Curry is averaging 18.0 points and 3.0 (40.0%) 3-pointers made. Charles Bassey averages 4.3 rebounds and Draymond Green 6.0 assists.

The Nuggets have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 112.5 points, 44.1 rebounds, 24.8 assists, 7.4 steals and 4.5 blocks per game while shooting 45.1% from the field and 80.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 112.8 points and 47.0 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 22.6 points, 10.9 rebounds and 7.3 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 1.9 (32.2%) 3-pointers made.

Best Bet

Our pick is for Nuggets to cover the attractive -7.5 line in this NBA matchup. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -118 is available.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Our expert NBA handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Nuggets -7.5 Probability

The best NBA sportsbooks make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

Don’t miss your chance to claim the best betting offers, free bets, and bonuses with the help of our smart bonus guide.

Nuggets -7.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 26, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jamal Murray Over 22.5 Points -123

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has recorded an average of 31.5 points in the past 4 games at home. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -123 to cover the line.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 22.5

-123

Under 22.5

-105

Assists

Over 6.5

+115

Under 6.5

-149

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+120

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Brandin Podziemski Under 3.5 Assists -119

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors) has finished with Under 3.5 assists in 7 of the past 8 games. This is a useful piece of information and we can back him to fall short when it comes to Player Assists at -119.

Latest Brandin Podziemski Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

Assists

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-119

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Warriors 109 - 120 Nuggets

Let’s roll the dice and try the Nuggets to enjoy a 120-109 winning scoreline here. There are massive odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Denver Nuggets are regarded as likeliest victors for this NBA game and the -294 about them triumphing means a 75% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Golden State Warriors are the underdogs at +240 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

7.5 is the spread and 234.5 is the total points line. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those expecting a low total can back Under 234.5 at -115.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Warriors

+240

Nuggets

-294

Point Spread

Warriors +7.5

-104

Nuggets -7.5

-118

Total Points

Under 234.5

-115

Over 234.5

-105

Nikola Jokic is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at -116 to score Over 26.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -111.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 26.5

-116

Under 26.5

-111

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 22.5

-123

Under 22.5

-105

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 15.5

-119

Under 15.5

-109

Yaxel Lendeborg (Warriors)

Over 15.5

-102

Under 15.5

-127

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

DeMar DeRozan (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-108

Under 13.5

-120

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-104

De'Anthony Melton (Warriors)

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-104

Gui Santos (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-101

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

+115

Under 6.5

-149

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+116

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

Yaxel Lendeborg (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-154

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-119

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-106

DeMar DeRozan (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Yaxel Lendeborg (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-119

Under 6.5

-109

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-115

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+132

Under 5.5

-172

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+110

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

+106

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-167

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+120

Gui Santos (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-102

DeMar DeRozan (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-101

De'Anthony Melton (Warriors)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-137

The Nuggets have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 games at home, scoring 128.30 points per matchup and conceding 118.60.

The Warriors have taken three straight defeats on the road. They own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 111.80 points scored and 121.70 points allowed.

The Nuggets earned a 116-93 win over the Warriors the last time they played at Ball Arena. In the past 10 head-to-head matchups at Ball Arena, the Nuggets have eight wins while the Warriors have two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O234.5	U234.5
Denver Nuggets Home Stats		9-1	246.90	128.30	118.60	6	4
Golden State Warriors Away Stats		2-8	233.50	111.80	121.70	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O234.5 = Games Over 234.5 Points
• U234.5 = Games Under 234.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors Stats

Denver Nuggets Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 229.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 233.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 234.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 234.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.40 pts and allowed 118.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 111.80 pts and allowed 121.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 225.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 246.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 234.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 234.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.50 pts and allowed 112.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 128.30 pts and allowed 118.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.40 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.40 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.40 (82.26%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.7, Offensive 13.00, Defensive 25.70
• Assists: 26.20
• Blocks: 3.20
• Steals: 9.30
• Turnovers : 16.10
• Personal Fouls: 18.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.80 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.80 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.80 (78.01%)
• Rebounds: Total 39.5, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 27.30
• Assists: 26.80
• Blocks: 3.00
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 17.90
• Personal Fouls: 20.30

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.90 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.50 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.20 (80.14%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 10.40, Defensive 33.70
• Assists: 24.80
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 13.00
• Personal Fouls: 21.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.50 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.50 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.80 (82.87%)
• Rebounds: Total 45, Offensive 9.70, Defensive 35.30
• Assists: 31.10
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 8.40
• Turnovers : 12.00
• Personal Fouls: 21.10

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	3	1	0.75	110	107	3	2-1	1-0	1-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Raptors	2	1	0.667	113.7	103.7	10	1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Celtics	1	1	0.5	110	112	-2	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Knicks	0	3	0	101.7	108	-6.3	0-2	0-1	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	111	123.7	-12.7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-3	3L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	3	0	1	118.3	105.7	12.6	1-0	2-0	0-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Pacers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.7	4.6	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Cavaliers	1	1	0.5	115.5	117.5	-2	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Bulls	1	2	0.333	114.7	128	-13.3	0-1	1-1	1-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Bucks	0	3	0	119	129	-10	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-3	0-3	3L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	2	1	0.667	124.7	109	15.7	0-1	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Hornets	2	1	0.667	102	113.7	-11.7	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	1W
Wizards	2	1	0.667	118	116	2	1-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Magic	1	2	0.333	109.7	116.3	-6.6	0-2	1-0	0-1	1-1	1-2	1W
Heat	0	3	0	109	124.7	-15.7	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-3	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	3	0	1	106.7	96.3	10.4	2-0	1-0	1-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Trail Blazers	2	0	1	126	101.5	24.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Timberwolves	3	0	1	121	97.7	23.3	1-0	2-0	0-0	0-0	3-0	3W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	112.5	115.5	-3	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Jazz	1	2	0.333	115.3	124.7	-9.4	1-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	1-2	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	3	0	1	128	115	13	2-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Suns	1	1	0.5	107	123	-16	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Clippers	1	2	0.333	113	109.7	3.3	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Kings	0	2	0	108	124.5	-16.5	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	2L
Warriors	0	3	0	111.7	123	-11.3	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	3	0	1	121	111.3	9.7	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Grizzlies	2	0	1	117	105.5	11.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Spurs	1	2	0.333	112	112	0	0-2	1-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	1W
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.3	118.3	-6	0-1	1-1	0-2	0-2	1-2	1L
Pelicans	0	3	0	124.7	128	-3.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	3	1	0.75	110	107	3	2-1	1-0	1-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Pistons	3	0	1	118.3	105.7	12.6	1-0	2-0	0-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Raptors	2	1	0.667	113.7	103.7	10	1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Hawks	2	1	0.667	124.7	109	15.7	0-1	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Hornets	2	1	0.667	102	113.7	-11.7	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	1W
Wizards	2	1	0.667	118	116	2	1-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Celtics	1	1	0.5	110	112	-2	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Cavaliers	1	1	0.5	115.5	117.5	-2	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Pacers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.7	4.6	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Bulls	1	2	0.333	114.7	128	-13.3	0-1	1-1	1-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Magic	1	2	0.333	109.7	116.3	-6.6	0-2	1-0	0-1	1-1	1-2	1W
Knicks	0	3	0	101.7	108	-6.3	0-2	0-1	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	111	123.7	-12.7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-3	3L
Heat	0	3	0	109	124.7	-15.7	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-3	3L
Bucks	0	3	0	119	129	-10	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-3	0-3	3L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	3	0	1	121	111.3	9.7	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Lakers	3	0	1	128	115	13	2-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Thunder	3	0	1	106.7	96.3	10.4	2-0	1-0	1-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Trail Blazers	2	0	1	126	101.5	24.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Grizzlies	2	0	1	117	105.5	11.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Timberwolves	3	0	1	121	97.7	23.3	1-0	2-0	0-0	0-0	3-0	3W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	112.5	115.5	-3	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Jazz	1	2	0.333	115.3	124.7	-9.4	1-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Clippers	1	2	0.333	113	109.7	3.3	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Suns	1	1	0.5	107	123	-16	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Spurs	1	2	0.333	112	112	0	0-2	1-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	1W
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.3	118.3	-6	0-1	1-1	0-2	0-2	1-2	1L
Kings	0	2	0	108	124.5	-16.5	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	2L
Pelicans	0	3	0	124.7	128	-3.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Warriors	0	3	0	111.7	123	-11.3	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	3	0	1	118.3	105.7	12.6	1-0	2-0	0-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Rockets	3	0	1	121	111.3	9.7	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Lakers	3	0	1	128	115	13	2-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Grizzlies	2	0	1	117	105.5	11.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Timberwolves	3	0	1	121	97.7	23.3	1-0	2-0	0-0	0-0	3-0	3W
Thunder	3	0	1	106.7	96.3	10.4	2-0	1-0	1-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Trail Blazers	2	0	1	126	101.5	24.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
76ers	3	1	0.75	110	107	3	2-1	1-0	1-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Hawks	2	1	0.667	124.7	109	15.7	0-1	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Hornets	2	1	0.667	102	113.7	-11.7	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	1W
Pacers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.7	4.6	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Raptors	2	1	0.667	113.7	103.7	10	1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Wizards	2	1	0.667	118	116	2	1-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Celtics	1	1	0.5	110	112	-2	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Cavaliers	1	1	0.5	115.5	117.5	-2	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	112.5	115.5	-3	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Suns	1	1	0.5	107	123	-16	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Bulls	1	2	0.333	114.7	128	-13.3	0-1	1-1	1-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.3	118.3	-6	0-1	1-1	0-2	0-2	1-2	1L
Clippers	1	2	0.333	113	109.7	3.3	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Magic	1	2	0.333	109.7	116.3	-6.6	0-2	1-0	0-1	1-1	1-2	1W
Spurs	1	2	0.333	112	112	0	0-2	1-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	1W
Jazz	1	2	0.333	115.3	124.7	-9.4	1-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Nets	0	3	0	111	123.7	-12.7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-3	3L
Warriors	0	3	0	111.7	123	-11.3	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Heat	0	3	0	109	124.7	-15.7	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-3	3L
Bucks	0	3	0	119	129	-10	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-3	0-3	3L
Pelicans	0	3	0	124.7	128	-3.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Knicks	0	3	0	101.7	108	-6.3	0-2	0-1	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Kings	0	2	0	108	124.5	-16.5	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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