Miami Heat
Cleveland Cavaliers
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Cavaliers

The Miami Heat battle the Cleveland Cavaliers in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Cavs Look Capable of Covering the Line

The Cavaliers should be taken against the spread at -3.5 with our prediction being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory against the Heat. Back them at the odds of -112 that are available.

Cavs Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Miami Heat have suffered five straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by San Antonio Spurs 136-111 at Kaseya Center. Norman Powell dropped 21 points, as Bam Adebayo finished with 18 and Tyler Herro 18.

Cleveland Cavaliers have enjoyed four straight wins, most recently beating Orlando Magic 136-131. It was a home success at Rocket Arena. Donovan Mitchell scored 42 points, with James Harden adding 26 and Evan Mobley 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Cavs won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 130-116 victory was registered against the Heat at Kaseya Center. The Cavs have triumphed in seven of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Cavaliers logo Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.9 points, 43.4 rebounds, 29.0 assists, 8.7 steals and 4.4 blocks while shooting 46.6% from the field and 82.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 122.4 points and 45.7 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 27.1 points and 8.6 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 5.2 assists and Tyler Herro 2.5 (41.7%) 3-pointers.

Cleveland Cavaliers – Last 10 Games

The Cavs have won 7 and lost 3 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 119.1 points, 43.4 rebounds, 26.9 assists, 6.2 steals and 4.9 blocks per game while shooting 49.3% from the field and 75.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 114.5 points and 42.6 rebounds.

James Harden is averaging 22.7 points, 7.6 assists and 3.4 (43.6%) 3-pointers made, while Evan Mobley has an average of 9.8 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Cleveland Cavaliers lineup: James Harden, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis, Donovan Mitchell.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Cavaliers really stand out in this NBA matchup. Back the favorites at -3.5 on the spread with the confidence that they cover the line at -112.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NBA handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Heat vs Cavaliers stats:

  • The -3.5 line has been covered by Cavs in 4 consecutive games.
  • The -3.5 line has been covered by Cavs in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
  • The -3.5 line has been covered by Cavs in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
  • The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -3.5 line has been covered by Cavs in 7 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Cavs -3.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 52.9% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Those wanting an alternative to the spread can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on the Cavs and their performance.

Don’t miss out. Explore our guide for the latest welcome bonuses and free bet offers with fresh betting promo codes.

Our Game Prediction
Cavaliers -3.5 @ -112 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 25, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:02, 25 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Evan Mobley Over 17.5 Points -132 BetMGM logo

Evan Mobley (Cavs) has racked up Over 17.5 points in 7 straight games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -132 to cover the line.

Latest Evan Mobley Player Prop Odds


Tyler Herro Over 4.5 Rebounds -161 BetMGM logo

Tyler Herro (Heat) has secured Over 4.5 rebounds in 5 straight games. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the line again, then you can land odds of -161 that this happens.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Cavaliers -2.5
Totals Under 242.5
Player Points Evan Mobley Over 17.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Cavs -2.5 on the spread, combined with Under 242.5 and Evan Mobley (Cavs) to score Over 17.5 points.

A same game parlay allows basketball bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and choose the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 115 - 122 Cavaliers logo Cavaliers

The Cavaliers to win by a 122-115 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Make Cavs Likelier Winners

The sportsbooks have Cleveland Cavaliers at -147 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 60% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at +124.

The spread is currently 2.5, with the total points line at 242.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those who wager Under 242.5 can get -106.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Betting Lines & Odds
Donovan Mitchell Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

In terms of scoring most points, favorite Donovan Mitchell is available at -114 to rack up Over 28.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -120 is available.

Player Points
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)
Over 28.5
-114
Under 28.5
-120
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James Harden (Cavaliers)
Over 21.5
-127
Under 21.5
-108
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Player Assists
James Harden (Cavaliers)
Over 8.5
-103
Under 8.5
-133
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Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)
Over 5.5
-118
Under 5.5
-118
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Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-135
Under 5.5
-100
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Player Rebounds
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)
Over 9.5
-147
Under 9.5
+107
BetMGM Logo
James Harden (Cavaliers)
Over 5.5
+114
Under 5.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Cavs Have Picked Up Eight Wins in Past Ten at Home

The Cavs have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 118.40 points per contest and conceding 106.80.

The Heat have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 118.50 points scored and 115.10 points allowed.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O242.5 U242.5
Cleveland Cavaliers logo Cleveland Cavaliers Home Stats 7-3 226.30 117.30 109.00 3 7
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 5-5 233.00 118.90 114.10 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O242.5 = Games Over 242.5 Points
  • U242.5 = Games Under 242.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Cleveland Cavaliers logo Cleveland Cavaliers Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 64 32.12 1297 189 20.3 3.0 1.7 9.8 0.7 1.2
Tyler Herro 26 30.85 553 99 21.3 3.8 2.5 4.8 0.3 0.8
Andrew Wiggins 59 30.65 926 162 15.7 2.7 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.2

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
James Harden 63 35.12 1517 505 24.1 8.0 3.1 5.0 0.4 1.1
Donovan Mitchell 64 33.59 1808 368 28.3 5.8 3.3 4.5 0.3 1.5
Evan Mobley 58 32.39 1049 211 18.1 3.6 1.0 8.9 1.8 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers logo Cleveland Cavaliers Confirmed Lineup
1 James Harden
4 Evan Mobley
5 Sam Merrill
14 Keon Ellis
45 Donovan Mitchell
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
13 Bam Adebayo
14 Tyler Herro
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
23 Mar NBA
Spurs 136-111 Heat
21 Mar NBA
Heat 122-123 Rockets
19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat
10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat
06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets

Previous Cleveland Cavaliers Lineups

25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
24 Mar NBA
Magic 131-136 Cavaliers
21 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 111-106 Pelicans
19 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 115-110 Bulls
17 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 123-116 Bucks
15 Mar NBA
Mavericks 130-120 Cavaliers
13 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 138-105 Mavericks
11 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 122-128 Magic
09 Mar NBA
76ers 101-115 Cavaliers
08 Mar NBA
Celtics 109-98 Cavaliers

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak