NC State vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: NC State vs Texas
The NC State Wolfpack battle the Texas Longhorns in this NCAA Tournament First Four matchup, with tip-off scheduled for 20:15 on Tuesday, March 17.
The -110 about Texas Longhorns look more than generous when it comes to the Moneyline. We think NC State can be beaten, so this is our betting prediction.
The Texas Longhorns (18-14) are coming off a 76-66 home loss to the Ole Miss Rebels.
The NC State Wolfpack (20-13) lost their last game, falling 81-74 on the road to the Virginia Cavaliers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Texas won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 102-97 victory was registered against NC State.
| NCAAB Regular Season | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
NC State vs Texas Prediction & Picks
Step into NC State vs Texas with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.
Game Prediction
Texas Longhorns look great value on the Moneyline and our pick is that they will claim a victory. We’re happy to take the -110 that the home team triumph in this college showdown.
The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball picks.
Key NC State vs Texas stats:
Texas Moneyline Probability
The top betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of delivering a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
Those looking for a bigger price about a victory for Texas can check out the Match Result & Total lines. You can combine this moneyline pick with an Under / Over points prediction for more juice.
Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.
Player Prop Picks
Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State) is available at -114 to register Under 14.5 points. This gives us confidence that he might not cover the line and you can bet on Player Points.
Latest Paul McNeil Jr. Player Prop Odds
Quadir Copeland (NC State) is available at -114 to score Under 16.5 points. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points as the line looks high enough.
Latest Quadir Copeland Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Texas on the moneyline, Over 158.5 and Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State) to score Under 14.5 points.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your picks to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored basketball bet on the matchup which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
NC State vs Texas Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Moneyline odds are -106 that Texas Longhorns win, while NC State have been chalked up at -114. The hosts have a 52% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular sportsbooks.
The spread is currently 1.5, with the total points line at 157.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. The Over 157.5 selection is available to back at -110.
If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball contest, visit the best sportsbooks and check out the wide range of team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.
Dailyn Swain is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -109 that he goes Over 19.5 points and -119 when it comes to Under.
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
NC State Stats
Texas Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 164.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 166.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 158.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 158.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.80 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.50 pts and allowed 83.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 160.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 158.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 158.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 81.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.80 pts and allowed 78.20 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season
| Southeastern | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida
|
26-7 | 2864 | 2376 | 488 | 18-3 | 8-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
26-8 | 3058 | 2723 | 335 | 20-3 | 6-5 | 5W |
Vanderbilt
|
26-8 | 2936 | 2557 | 379 | 15-3 | 11-5 | 1L |
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Georgia
|
22-10 | 2874 | 2533 | 341 | 15-6 | 7-4 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
22-11 | 2622 | 2289 | 333 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
21-11 | 2807 | 2546 | 261 | 14-5 | 7-6 | 1L |
Missouri
|
20-12 | 2549 | 2411 | 138 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 3L |
Kentucky
|
21-13 | 2746 | 2510 | 236 | 16-6 | 5-7 | 1L |
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
Oklahoma
|
19-15 | 2813 | 2621 | 192 | 13-5 | 6-10 | 1L |
Auburn
|
17-16 | 2730 | 2620 | 110 | 14-6 | 3-10 | 1L |
LSU
|
15-17 | 2606 | 2512 | 94 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 4L |
Ole Miss
|
15-20 | 2656 | 2664 | -8 | 9-9 | 6-11 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
South Carolina
|
13-19 | 2398 | 2447 | -49 | 11-8 | 2-11 | 1L |
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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