New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky

The New Mexico State face the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Thursday, February 26.

There’s some great value on the spread and we like New Mexico State at +5.5. We’re happy to take the underdogs with this advantage against Western Kentucky at -110.

New Mexico State won their previous game, beating UTEP Miners at home. It was a 67-63 win.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won last time out by a 94-73 scoreline. It was on the road against Liberty Flames.

Head-to-Head Statistics

NM State have beaten Western Kentucky in their last two matchups. Scorelines of 65-47 and 80-64 were both achieved at home. The previous 6 games have seen both teams achieve three victories.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Western Kentucky	18-14	2537	2436	101	13-6	5-8	3L
New Mexico State	16-16	2403	2303	100	11-6	5-10	1L

View Full Standings

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that the underdogs can either win or suffer a narrow defeat in this college contest. That makes New Mexico State at +5.5 the best wager and -110 are available.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making basketball predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter college hoops picks.

Key New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by NM State in 5 consecutive games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by NM State in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by NM State in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by WKU in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by WKU in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by WKU in 2 consecutive games against NM State.

NM State +5.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball wager.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential return.

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Our Game Prediction

NM State +5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 26, 00:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NM State 72 - 73 Western Kentucky

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Hilltoppers to secure a 73-72 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.

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New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Western Kentucky are regarded as having a 71% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -244. New Mexico State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +198.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 151.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. Those who wager Under 151.5 can get -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of team props and game lines at the top basketball sportsbooks. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

NM State

+198

WKU

-244

Point Spread

NM State +4.5

-102

WKU -4.5

-120

Total Points

Under 151.5

-110

Over 151.5

-110

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico State Stats

Western Kentucky Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 151.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.80 pts and allowed 74.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 77.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 154.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 151.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.60 pts and allowed 74.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.00 pts and allowed 74.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	25-7	2501	2253	248	14-4	11-3	1L
Sam Houston	22-11	2714	2447	267	14-2	8-9	1L
Kennesaw State	21-13	2834	2587	247	14-3	7-10	3W
Louisiana Tech	20-14	2375	2210	165	16-4	4-10	1L
Western Kentucky	18-14	2537	2436	101	13-6	5-8	3L
Middle Tennessee	17-15	2414	2329	85	12-5	5-10	1L
New Mexico State	16-16	2403	2303	100	11-6	5-10	1L
Missouri State	16-18	2551	2502	49	11-7	5-11	1L
Jacksonville State	15-17	2325	2188	137	10-9	5-8	1L
FIU	15-17	2580	2492	88	12-7	3-10	1L
UTEP	11-20	2149	2244	-95	9-8	2-12	1L
Delaware	10-21	2098	2293	-195	6-11	4-10	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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