New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026
New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Predictions
Our prediction is for the Dream to cover the attractive -3.5 line in their meeting with the Liberty. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -112 is available on the spread.
Our Liberty vs Dream picks go beyond the Best Bet, with Player Props, a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction also featured. Skip directly to the dedicated sections below for a comprehensive look at each play.
New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Preview
The New York Liberty face the Atlanta Dream in Game 1 of their best-of-five Semifinals series at Gateway Center Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Sunday, October 4.
The New York Liberty swept their First Round series against the Minnesota Lynx 2-0, completing the upset with an 87-71 home victory at Barclays Center.
Jonquel Jones led the way with 21 points and 13 rebounds, while Breanna Stewart added 21 points, five rebounds and four assists as New York became the first No. 8 seed in WNBA history to eliminate a No. 1 seed.
The Atlanta Dream also advanced with a 2-0 First Round sweep, sealing the series with a 93-75 road victory over the Washington Mystics.
Allisha Gray scored 22 points, while Jordin Canada produced 19 points, 11 assists and seven rebounds. Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese added 15 points apiece as Atlanta forced 19 Washington turnovers.
H2H: Dream Took Last Meeting 83-65
The Dream have won the last two meetings against the Lib, recording 95-84 and 83-65 victories at Barclays Center. The teams have split their past 10 matchups, with five wins apiece.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
Dream
|
30 | 14 | 4019 | 3717 | 302 | 15-7 | 15-7 | 5W |
|
8
Liberty
|
26 | 18 | 3941 | 3802 | 139 | 14-8 | 12-10 | 2L |
Best Bet
There’s a good opportunity to cover the spread by backing Dream at -3.5 for this WNBA matchup. We can get odds of -112 and this is our best pick.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball picks. Up-to-date WNBA team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.
Dream -3.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your selection exceeds expectations.
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Player Prop Picks
Angel Reese (Dream) can be backed to total Over 2.5 assists at -128. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet that she is able to cover an appealing line.
Latest Angel Reese Player Prop Odds
Rhyne Howard (Dream) can be backed to finish with Over 3.5 assists at -114. We think it makes sense to stick with her when it comes to Overs and bettors can be confident with this Player Assists pick.
Latest Rhyne Howard Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Dream to cover the -3.5 spread along with Under 173.5. Add in Angel Reese (Dream) to get Over 2.5 assists.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
80
-
87
Dream
The Dream will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 87-80 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.
New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability of winning this WNBA game, Atlanta Dream might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -164 Moneyline betting odds. New York Liberty are the underdogs at +134 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 173.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Under 173.5, then the odds are -108.
Consider every angle when placing your women's basketball bets. The best betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.
Breanna Stewart is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -112 to score Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -118.
- WNBA: 24/09 2026 Dream 83 Liberty 65
- WNBA: 22/09 2026 Dream 95 Liberty 84
- WNBA: 12/06 2026 Liberty 104 Dream 90
- WNBA: 23/08 2025 Liberty 62 Dream 78
- WNBA: 13/07 2025 Dream 72 Liberty 79
- WNBA: 29/06 2025 Liberty 81 Dream 90
- WNBA: 18/06 2025 Dream 81 Liberty 86
- WNBA: 25/09 2024 Dream 82 Liberty 91
- WNBA: 22/09 2024 Dream 69 Liberty 83
- WNBA: 20/09 2024 Dream 78 Liberty 67
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
New York Liberty Stats
Atlanta Dream Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 168.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 185.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 173.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 173.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.60 pts and allowed 81.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 95.50 pts and allowed 90.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 170.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 182.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 173.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 173.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 92.10 pts and allowed 78.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 95.20 pts and allowed 86.90 pts in the last 10 home games
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WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
33 | 11 | 3997 | 3681 | 316 | 15-7 | 18-4 | 1W |
2
Valkyries
|
32 | 12 | 3615 | 3305 | 310 | 17-5 | 15-7 | 1W |
3
Aces
|
31 | 13 | 4025 | 3776 | 249 | 15-7 | 16-6 | 7W |
|
4
Dream
|
30 | 14 | 4019 | 3717 | 302 | 15-7 | 15-7 | 5W |
5
Mystics
|
28 | 16 | 3696 | 3640 | 56 | 15-7 | 13-9 | 4W |
6
Fever
|
28 | 16 | 4222 | 3979 | 243 | 15-7 | 13-9 | 1L |
7
Wings
|
27 | 17 | 3933 | 3751 | 182 | 16-6 | 11-11 | 1W |
|
8
Liberty
|
26 | 18 | 3941 | 3802 | 139 | 14-8 | 12-10 | 2L |
9
Fire
|
17 | 27 | 3794 | 4005 | -211 | 9-13 | 8-14 | 1W |
10
Mercury
|
16 | 28 | 3712 | 3854 | -142 | 7-15 | 9-13 | 1L |
11
Sky
|
16 | 28 | 3818 | 3989 | -171 | 11-11 | 5-17 | 1L |
12
Sparks
|
16 | 28 | 3830 | 4018 | -188 | 8-14 | 8-14 | 2L |
13
Tempo
|
11 | 33 | 3769 | 4152 | -383 | 7-15 | 4-18 | 8L |
14
Sun
|
11 | 33 | 3470 | 3875 | -405 | 8-14 | 3-19 | 1W |
15
Storm
|
8 | 36 | 3616 | 3913 | -297 | 6-16 | 2-20 | 5L |
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