Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Aug 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics

The Phoenix Mercury square off against the Washington Mystics at Entertainment and Sports Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Sunday, August 9.

You can get -108 that there are Over 167.5 points and there’s lots of juice in those odds. The Mercury and the Mystics should be able to keep the score ticking for our prediction to win.

Phoenix Mercury suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 75-72 scoreline occurred on the road at Mohegan Sun Arena against Connecticut Sun.

Washington Mystics won their last game which was at home. It was a 79-74 triumph at Entertainment and Sports Arena against Atlanta Dream.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 75-69 in favor of the Mercury when they last played the Mystics, with the matchup taking place at Entertainment and Sports Arena. The Mercury have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Mystics. On the head-to-head front, it has been 6 wins out of 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
6  Mystics	18	12	2448	2486	-38	10-6	8-6	6W
12  Mercury	12	21	2766	2878	-112	5-10	7-11	2L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re surprised that the total line is 167.5 and it’s all about going for the Overs option when these WNBA teams take to the court. Take the -108 and cheer on points.

The basketball predictions at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant WNBA stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Key Mercury vs Mystics stats:

• The 167.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Mercury games.
• The 167.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Mercury games.
• The 167.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Mystics games.

Over 167.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of delivering a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Want more juice from your Over wager on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier bet. You can choose from a range of options.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 167.5 Points @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 8, 19:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sonia Citron Over 3.5 Rebounds +115

Sonia Citron (Mystics) can be wagered to total Over 3.5 rebounds at +115. We recommend taking the pick that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.

Latest Sonia Citron Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-104

Assists

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+105

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

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Kahleah Copper Over 20.5 Points -105

Kahleah Copper (Mercury) is available at -105 to record Over 20.5 points. There’s a fairly strong case that she will be able to cover the line and we’ll wager on her Player Points.

Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-102

Under 20.5

-127

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-154

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 83 - 88 Mystics

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a monster return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Mystics to claim a 88-83 victory and hopefully this goes close.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You can back Washington Mystics at -114 to win against Phoenix Mercury, with the latter trading at -106. The sportsbooks award a 52% probability that the road team will be settled as a winning WNBA bet.

The current spread is 1.5 and the total points line is 167.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. The Over 167.5 selection is available to back at -108.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every women's hoops matchup, with the top basketball sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Mercury

-106

Mystics

-114

Point Spread

Mercury +1.5

-118

Mystics -1.5

-104

Total Points

Under 167.5

-112

Over 167.5

-108

Kahleah Copper is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -102 that she goes Over 20.5 points and -127 when it comes to Under.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 20.5

-102

Under 20.5

-127

Kelsey Plum (Mercury)

Over 17.5

-125

Under 17.5

-103

Shakira Austin (Mystics)

Over 17.5

-106

Under 17.5

-122

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-104

Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)

Over 14.5

-111

Under 14.5

-116

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-109

Under 14.5

-119

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

+101

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-141

Under 7.5

+108

Kelsey Plum (Mercury)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+109

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+105

Shakira Austin (Mystics)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-135

Shakira Austin (Mystics)

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-104

Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)

Over 8.5

-137

Under 8.5

+106

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-123

Under 7.5

-105

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-154

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

Kelsey Plum (Mercury)

Over 2.5

+141

Under 2.5

-185

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Washington Mystics Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 174.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 177.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 167.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 167.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.20 pts and allowed 90.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 85.10 pts and allowed 92.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 168.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 167.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 167.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.60 pts and allowed 79.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.20 pts and allowed 83.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	26	7	3054	2760	294	13-5	13-2	1W
2  Aces	22	10	2933	2780	153	9-5	13-5	1L
3  Valkyries	22	9	2582	2389	193	13-4	9-5	3W
4  Fever	20	12	3069	2892	177	11-6	9-6	1W
5  Dream	19	12	2760	2657	103	11-5	8-7	1L
6  Mystics	18	12	2448	2486	-38	10-6	8-6	6W
7  Wings	19	13	2843	2743	100	9-6	10-7	2L
8  Liberty	19	13	2883	2801	82	10-5	9-8	3W
9  Sparks	12	18	2687	2818	-131	5-9	7-9	1W
10  Fire	12	19	2683	2845	-162	7-9	5-10	1W
11  Sky	12	20	2823	2878	-55	8-9	4-11	1L
12  Mercury	12	21	2766	2878	-112	5-10	7-11	2L
13  Tempo	10	21	2709	2905	-196	6-11	4-10	8L
14  Sun	8	23	2470	2692	-222	5-10	3-13	1W
15  Storm	6	27	2728	2914	-186	4-11	2-16	10L

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