SMU vs Louisville Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: SMU vs Louisville
The SMU Mustangs square off against the Louisville Cardinals, with tip-off scheduled for 13:30 on Wednesday, March 11.
Get with Louisville with a -6.5 spread. We’re backing the favorites at -110 to enjoy a solid win when they go head to head with SMU.
SMU Mustangs claimed a victory in their previous game. A 86-69 home win occurred against Syracuse Orange.
Louisville Cardinals won last time out by a 92-89 scoreline. It was on the road against Miami Hurricanes.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last matchup between SMU and Louisville saw the former win. It was a 95-85 scoreline. The past 3 H2H games have seen Louisville land two wins.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
SMU vs Louisville Prediction & Picks
Get the edge with our best SMU vs Louisville tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
The value pick is for Louisville to cover the spread in this college contest. The -6.5 line looks attractive at -110 and we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory for the favorites.
Our expert college basketball handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.
Key SMU vs Louisville stats:
Louisville -6.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.
Your next bet could start with a welcome bonus. Explore our expert guide to the newest sign-up and betting offers.
Player Prop Picks
Jaron Pierre Jr. (SMU) can be wagered to register Over 2.5 assists at +130. We’re sweet on him covering the Player Assists total and landing our Overs bet.
Latest Jaron Pierre Jr. Player Prop Odds
Ryan Conwell (Louisville) can be wagered to record Under 2.5 assists at +141. The line looks too high and we can be confident that he falls short when it comes to Player Assists.
Latest Ryan Conwell Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Louisville -6.5, Under 163.5 and Jaron Pierre Jr. (SMU) to get Over 2.5 assists.
Should you want to back different picks for the same game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised basketball wagering tool where you can choose different selections and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
75
-
84
Louisville
Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where Louisville can be backed speculatively to achieve a 84-75 victory.
SMU vs Louisville Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the sportsbooks giving them a 76% probability of winning this college game, Louisville might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -313 Moneyline betting odds. SMU are the underdogs at +250 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The spread is currently 6.5, with the total points line at 163.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you’re going for Under 163.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.
Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of team props and game lines at the top basketball sportsbooks. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.
Ryan Conwell is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -106 that he scores Over 20.5 points or -122 that he goes Under.
For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
SMU Stats
Louisville Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 160.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 163.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.90 pts and allowed 78.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.30 pts and allowed 81.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 162.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 154.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 163.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.40 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.30 pts and allowed 69.80 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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