Tennessee vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Mar 2026

NCAA Tournament Elite Eight Betting Preview: Tennessee vs Michigan

No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers take on No. 1 Michigan Wolverines in this NCAA Tournament Elite Eight Midwest Region matchup at the United Center in Chicago, with tip-off scheduled for 14:15 on Sunday, March 29.

There’s a great opportunity to back Tennessee against the spread here. The Vols are well-positioned to keep this close against Michigan and getting +7.5 at -104 offers plenty of value.

The Tennessee Volunteers (25-11, 4th in SEC) head into the Elite Eight having made tournament history as the first team to defeat 30-win opponents in both the First and Second Rounds. After opening their run with a dominant 78-56 victory over the Miami-Ohio RedHawks, the Volunteers outlasted the Virginia Cavaliers 79-72

In the Sweet 16, Tennessee showcased its defensive identity by stifling the Iowa State Cyclones in a 76-62 win. By holding a high-powered Iowa State offense well below its season average, the Vols proved they have the lockdown capabilities to complement their historic scoring run.

The Michigan Wolverines (34-3, 1st in Big Ten) have emerged as one of the most explosive offensive units in the bracket, securing an Elite Eight berth with a high-scoring 90-77 victory over the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Michigan’s tournament run has been defined by clinical shooting, starting with a 101-80 rout of the Howard Bison in the First Round and followed by a dominant 95-72 performance against the Saint Louis Billikens in the Second Round.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Michigan held the upper hand in the most recent meeting between these programs, recording a 76-68 victory over Tennessee.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L

View Full Standings

Tennessee vs Michigan Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Tennessee vs Michigan betting angles, including our main match prediction, best correct score play and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Tennessee is expected to battle hard and our top pick is for the Vols to cover the spread. The line is set at a generous +7.5, and you can grab it at -104.

Our basketball predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our college hoops picks.

Key Tennessee vs Michigan stats:

• The +7.5 line has been covered by Tennessee in 20 consecutive games.

Tennessee +7.5 Probability

The top betting apps imply that our pick has a 51% prospect of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college basketball bet.

There’s regularly the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky wager but smaller odds.

Don’t miss out on extra value. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of free bets and sign-up bonuses for new bettors.

Our Game Prediction

Tennessee +7.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tennessee 74 - 77 Michigan

The Wolverines are available at massive odds to register a 77-74 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close game and there won’t be much between the teams.

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Tennessee vs Michigan Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Elite Eight game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Michigan are -400 favorites to win and that means a 80% chance of landing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Tennessee are trading at +310.

The spread is 8.5 and the total points line is currently 146.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you're keen on Over 146.5, this selection is available at -105.

There are plenty of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on college matchups and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Tennessee

+310

Michigan

-400

Point Spread

Tennessee +8.5

-112

Michigan -8.5

-108

Total Points

Under 146.5

-115

Over 146.5

-105

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tennessee Stats

Michigan Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 142.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.00 pts and allowed 68.10 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.90 pts and allowed 72.60 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Nebraska	26-6	2473	2119	354	19-3	7-3	1L
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L
Purdue	27-8	2858	2455	403	16-5	11-3	4W
Illinois	24-8	2700	2234	466	15-6	9-2	1L
Wisconsin	24-10	2822	2581	241	16-2	8-8	1L
UCLA	23-11	2643	2414	229	18-3	5-8	1L
Ohio State	21-12	2633	2402	231	15-5	6-7	1L
Iowa	21-12	2482	2177	305	17-3	4-9	1L
Indiana	18-14	2501	2309	192	15-6	3-8	2L
USC	18-14	2515	2494	21	11-7	7-7	8L
Washington	16-17	2545	2430	115	11-6	5-11	1L
Minnesota	15-17	2241	2193	48	13-8	2-9	1L
Northwestern	15-19	2487	2447	40	11-9	4-10	1L
Rutgers	14-19	2329	2479	-150	11-7	3-12	1L
Oregon	12-20	2267	2366	-99	10-10	2-10	1L
Penn State	12-20	2358	2539	-181	10-10	2-10	3L
Maryland	12-21	2300	2527	-227	9-8	3-13	1L

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-7	2864	2376	488	18-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	26-8	3058	2723	335	20-3	6-5	5W
Vanderbilt	26-8	2936	2557	379	15-3	11-5	1L
Alabama	23-9	2935	2671	264	15-6	8-3	1L
Georgia	22-10	2874	2533	341	15-6	7-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L
Texas A&M	21-11	2807	2546	261	14-5	7-6	1L
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Texas	18-14	2681	2458	223	13-7	5-7	3L
Oklahoma	19-15	2813	2621	192	13-5	6-10	1L
Auburn	17-16	2730	2620	110	14-6	3-10	1L
LSU	15-17	2606	2512	94	10-9	5-8	4L
Ole Miss	15-20	2656	2664	-8	9-9	6-11	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
South Carolina	13-19	2398	2447	-49	11-8	2-11	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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