Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Jul 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Atlético MG To Win @ +108

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We think that Atlético Mineiro can get the better of Bahia and we really like the odds of +108 on the Full-Time Result market. The price looks appealing and we’re confident this selection will be on the money.

This Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Preview

Atlético Mineiro host Bahia, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Tuesday 21 July.

Atlético Mineiro triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Vasco da Gama were beaten 1-0. The Belo Horizonte side enjoyed just 39% possession and had four shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Vitor Hugo in the 32nd minute.

Bahia claimed a home win in their previous Série A game. A 2-0 victory against Chapecoense made it two league triumphs on the spin. Rogerio Ceni's team had six shots on goal and boasted 65% possession, while Rodrigo Nestor and Roman Gomez found the net.

H2H: Atlético 3-0 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

The last encounter between Atlético and Bahia saw the former triumph at home. It was a 3-0 scoreline. The previous 10 H2H games have included five wins for Atlético, four triumphs for Bahia and a single draw.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Bahia	26	11	10	5	40	32	8	40:32	43
8	Atlético MG	25	10	6	9	32	30	2	32:30	36

View Full Table

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Atlético have had 48.8% possession and 4.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts, while being awarded 4.4 corners.

Alan Minda, Maycon Barberan and Mateo Cassierra are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Bernard is the leading assists maker with 2.

Bahia have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.5 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts. The Squad of Steel have averaged 58.3% possession, 6.6 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts.

The top scorers have been Luciano Juba on 4, followed by David Duarte and Mateo Sanabria with 2. Everton Ribeiro has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Everson (GK), Natanael, Ruan, Lyanco, Renan Lodi, Tomas Perez, Maycon Barberan, Tomas Cuello, Victor Hugo, Bernard, Mateo Cassierra.

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Roman Gomez, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Ze Guilherme, Erick, Nicolas Acevedo, Rodrigo Nestor, Ademir Santos, Willian Jose, Erick Pulga.

Main Match Prediction

It could be beneficial to back Atlético Mineiro for this Série A clash. There’s loads of value in the +108 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• Atlético MG have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Bahia have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Série A stats that can also help to shape our picks.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 48.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re feeling confident that Atlético will win, why not consider a Match Result & Total bet? It provides a bigger odds option and you need to predict the number of goals along with our team to triumph.

Why bet empty-handed? Check our up-to-date guide for the latest sign-up promos, welcome bonuses and betting offers.

Atlético MG To Win @ +108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 20, 00:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 2 - 1 Bahia

Let’s take a chance on the +600 available that Atlético secure a 2-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bernard Over 0.5 Shots On Target +135

Bernard (Atlético MG) is available at +135 to have a minimum of one shot on goal. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Bernard Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

---

Mateo Cassierra to Score +180

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG) has netted two goals in his past four Série A matches. We’re happy to take the +180 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Mateo Cassierra Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+430

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-204

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Bahia Over 4.5 Corners -100

In their past seven games, Bahia have covered the 4.5 corners line, with Atlético Mineiro conceding 5.30 corners on average in their previous 10 home matches. We endorse betting on the -100 that Bahia successfully cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

8.80 4.40 4.40

Home

10.70 5.40 5.30

Away

9.40 5.00 4.40

Bahia

Total

12.60 6.60 6.00

Home

11.20 6.80 4.40

Away

11.70 5.00 6.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-106

Under 10.5

-132

Atlético Corners

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-132

Bahia Corners

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-130

Most Corners

1

-141

X

+700

2

+140

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Atlético Mineiro as -105 favourites for this Série A clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 51% likely to win. If you’re interested in wagering Bahia, you can get +295 for the underdog.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Atlético needing to win at -104 for your bet to be successful. Bahia +0.5 at -119 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -152.

The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Série A games.

Full-Time Result

1

-105

X

+235

2

+295

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+125

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-333

X2

-123

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+170

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-104

2 Hcp +0.5

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-109

Over 2.5

-118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-152

No

+108

Those interested in Mateo Cassierra to find the net anytime can get +170, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +430.

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

First

+430

Anytime

+170

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

First

+700

Anytime

+270

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

First

+750

Anytime

+280

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+310

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+370

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

First

+1000

Anytime

+370

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

First

+950

Anytime

+380

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+390

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+410

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+440

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+1500

Anytime

+575

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+1600

Anytime

+575

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Alan Franco (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Natanael Moreira Milouski (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Natanael Moreira Milouski (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Alan Franco (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-204

Under 2.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-370

Under 0.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Alan Franco (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Lineups & Team News

Check the Atlético vs Bahia team news before you place your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest on injuries.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Bahia Team Page

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