Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Jul 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Atlético MG To Win @ +108

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We think that Atlético Mineiro can get the better of Bahia and we really like the odds of +108 on the Full-Time Result market. The price looks appealing and we’re confident this selection will be on the money.

This Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Preview

Atlético Mineiro host Bahia, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Tuesday 21 July.

Atlético Mineiro triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Vasco da Gama were beaten 1-0. The Belo Horizonte side enjoyed just 39% possession and had four shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Vitor Hugo in the 32nd minute.

Bahia claimed a home win in their previous Série A game. A 2-0 victory against Chapecoense made it two league triumphs on the spin. Rogerio Ceni's team had six shots on goal and boasted 65% possession, while Rodrigo Nestor and Roman Gomez found the net.

Atlético 3-0 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

The last encounter between Atlético and Bahia saw the former triumph at home. It was a 3-0 scoreline. The previous 10 H2H games have included five wins for Atlético, four triumphs for Bahia and a single draw.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Bahia	18	8	5	5	27	23	4	27:23	29
11	Atlético MG	18	7	3	8	22	23	-1	22:23	24

View Full Table

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Atlético have had 48.8% possession and 4.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts, while being awarded 4.4 corners.

Alan Minda, Maycon Barberan and Mateo Cassierra are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Bernard is the leading assists maker with 2.

Bahia have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.5 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts. The Squad of Steel have averaged 58.3% possession, 6.6 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts.

The top scorers have been Luciano Juba on 4, followed by David Duarte and Mateo Sanabria with 2. Everton Ribeiro has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Natanael, Ruan Tressoldi, Lyanco, Renan Lodi, Tomas Perez, Victor Hugo, Maycon, Tomás Cuello, Mateo Cassierra, Bernard.

Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Roman Gomez, David Duarte, Santi Ramos Mingo, Ze Guilherme, Nicolás Acevedo, Erick Carvalho, Rodrigo Nestor, Ademir Santos, Willian José, Erick Pulga.

Main Match Prediction

It could be beneficial to back Atlético Mineiro for this Série A clash. There’s loads of value in the +108 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Série A stats that can also help to shape our picks.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Atlético MG have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Bahia have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 48.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re feeling confident that Atlético will win, why not consider a Match Result & Total bet? It provides a bigger odds option and you need to predict the number of goals along with our team to triumph.

Why bet empty-handed? Check our up-to-date guide for the latest sign-up promos, welcome bonuses and betting offers.

Atlético MG To Win @ +108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 20, 00:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 2 - 1 Bahia

Let’s take a chance on the +600 available that Atlético secure a 2-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bernard Over 0.5 Shots On Target +135

Bernard (Atlético MG) is available at +135 to have a minimum of one shot on goal. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Bernard Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+410

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

---

Mateo Cassierra to Score +180

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG) has netted two goals in his past four Série A matches. We’re happy to take the +180 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Mateo Cassierra Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+450

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-217

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Bahia Over 4.5 Corners -100

In their past seven games, Bahia have covered the 4.5 corners line, with Atlético Mineiro conceding 5.30 corners on average in their previous 10 home matches. We endorse betting on the -100 that Bahia successfully cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

8.80 4.40 4.40

Home

10.70 5.40 5.30

Away

9.40 5.00 4.40

Bahia

Total

12.60 6.60 6.00

Home

11.20 6.80 4.40

Away

11.70 5.00 6.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+105

Atlético Corners

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-137

Bahia Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+650

2

+148

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Atlético Mineiro as +106 favourites for this Série A clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 49% likely to win. If you’re interested in wagering Bahia, you can get +260 for the underdog.

If you think Atlético can overcome Bahia, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are -127 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -154.

The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Série A games.

Full-Time Result

1

+106

X

+235

2

+260

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+123

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-333

X2

-137

Draw No Bet

1

-213

2

+145

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-127

2 Hcp +0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+110

Those interested in Mateo Cassierra to find the net anytime can get +170, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +450.

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+170

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+600

Anytime

+220

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+270

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+270

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+290

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+320

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+360

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

First

+1000

Anytime

+360

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

First

+900

Anytime

+370

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+950

Anytime

+380

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+380

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+1050

Anytime

+400

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+1100

Anytime

+410

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+420

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

First

+1300

Anytime

+475

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+1500

Anytime

+575

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-217

Under 2.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-370

Under 0.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

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Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Lineups & Team News

Check the Atlético vs Bahia team news before you place your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest on injuries.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Bahia Team Page

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