Bahia vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Grêmio

Bahia square off against Grêmio, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 17 May.

We don’t think Bahia and Grêmio will combine to score three or more. Therefore, we’ll head to the Total Goals market and wager on Under 2.5 which is available at odds of -114.

Bahia lost when they were last in Série A action, being turned over 2-1 at home to Cruzeiro. The Salvador club had 46% possession and three shots on target, while Luciano Juba bagged the goal.

Four days ago, Bahia travelled to Remo and were defeated 2-1 in the Copa do Brasil.

Grêmio lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Flamengo 1-0. Luis Castro's team didn’t see much of the ball with just 32% possession and three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 4-0 home victory for Bahia when they last faced Grêmio. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen four draws and three wins each.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Bahia	20	8	7	5	29	25	4	29:25	31
15	Grêmio	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4	22:26	22

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts. Bahia have had 55.4% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 6.4 corners.

Luciano Juba leads the way with 6 goals, Everaldo has 3, with Erick and Willian Jose scoring 2. Everton Ribeiro and Jean Lucas have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece.

Grêmio have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 3.0 shots on goal, 7.4 attempts and 0.6 goals. The Immortal Tricolor average 50.7% possession, 3.1 corners taken and 4.7 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 10.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius has scored 2, followed by Gabriel Mec, Francis Amuzu and Juan Ignacio Nardoni with 1 goals apiece. Jose Enamorado, Gustavo Martins and Juan Ignacio Nardoni have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Leo Vieira (GK), Gilberto Junior, David Duarte, Kanu, Luciano Juba, Everton Ribeiro, Nicolas Acevedo, Erick, Ademir Santos, Willian Jose, Erick Pulga.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Weverton (GK), Luis Eduardo, Wagner Leonardo, Viery, Marcos Rocha, Erick Noriega, Leonel Perez, Pedro Gabriel, Jose Enamorado, Carlos Vinicius, Willian.

Bahia vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

This Bahia vs Grêmio betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

A low goal count could be on the cards for this Série A encounter. On this basis, we’ll land the -114 for Under 2.5, with the two sides unlikely to reach a combined three goals or more between them.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Série A form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Bahia vs Grêmio league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Grêmio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Grêmio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Grêmio games.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 53.2% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Bettors wanting to boost their odds might want to combine the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a specific side to land a victory. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 15, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 1 - 0 Grêmio

Bahia can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +525 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luciano Juba to Score +340

Luciano Juba (Bahia) has racked up four goals in his past five Série A matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +340 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Luciano Juba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+850

Shots

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Grêmio Under 3.5 Corners -108

Grêmio have failed to cover the 3.5 corners line in five consecutive away matches, while Bahia have yielded an average of 3.60 corners in their previous 10 home games. We expect Grêmio to fall short and this Team Corners wager can be backed at -108.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

11.70 5.30 6.40

Home

10.40 6.80 3.60

Away

11.90 4.90 7.00

Grêmio

Total

7.80 3.10 4.70

Home

8.40 5.10 3.30

Away

7.40 2.90 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

-102

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-115

Most Corners

1

-238

X

+700

2

+230

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bahia vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Bahia as -156 favourites for this Série A encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 61% likely to triumph. Grêmio are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +410.

Betting Bahia -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -118 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over Grêmio means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.

You can back Under 2.5 Goals or Over 2.5 Goals at roughly the same price right now. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -133.

The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to Série A matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

-156

X

+285

2

+410

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+130

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-400

X2

+117

Draw No Bet

1

-417

2

+250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-118

2 Hcp +0.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-104

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-103

There’s the chance to back Willian José at +380 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+380

Anytime

+145

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

First

+450

Anytime

+180

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+220

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+240

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+270

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+320

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+950

Anytime

+360

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+370

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+1050

Anytime

+400

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+400

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+410

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+460

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Gabriel Mec (Grêmio)

First

+1400

Anytime

+550

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

First

+1500

Anytime

+575

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Gilberto Moraes Júnior (Bahia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Gabriel Xavier (Bahia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Victor Kanu (Bahia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Marcos Victor Silva Ferreira (Bahia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Roman Gomez (Bahia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

David Duarte Macedo (Bahia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 3.5

-116

Under 3.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Mec (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Gilberto Moraes Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Xavier (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Victor Kanu (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Victor Silva Ferreira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Roman Gomez (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

David Duarte Macedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Bahia vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Bahia vs Grêmio team news before betting. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A and all current injury news.

Bahia Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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