Belarus vs San Marino Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Oct 2026
Belarus vs San Marino Predictions
We’re expecting Belarus to have the upper hand against San Marino, with the former chalked up at -128 to overcome their opponents by at least three goals. This Asian Handicap bet looks value.
Continue reading for our complete Belarus vs San Marino betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Belarus vs San Marino Preview
Belarus host San Marino at Stadion Illovsky Rudolf, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Saturday 3 October.
Belarus drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 Nations League C scoreline was played out against Finland at Olympiastadion. The White Wings ended up with just 39% possession and had three shots on target.
San Marino were beaten in their previous game, suffering a 3-0 Nations League C home loss to Albania at Stadio Olimpico San Marino. Roberto Cevoli's side were restricted to just 28% possession and one shot on goal.
| Nations League C | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Belarus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 |  San Marino |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | -15 | 1:16 | 0 |
6 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 6.4 attempts. Belarus have had 38.3% possession and 3.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.2 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 15.9 attempts, while being awarded 6.7 corners.
The five top scorers are Valeri Gromyko, Nikita Demchenko, Gleb Kuchko, German Barkovsky and Yuri Kovalev, with these players all scoring 1 goals. Valeri Gromyko, Nikita Korzun and Evgeniy Yablonski are top assists makers with 1, while goalkeeper Fedor Lapoukhov has kept one clean sheet.
San Marino have lost all of their past 10 matches, averaging 3.0 attempts, 0.9 shots on goal and 0.2 goals. La Serenissima average 30.9% possession, 2.0 corners in their favour and 5.9 corners against, while 4.9 goals have been conceded from 10.1 shots on goal and 17.5 attempts.
Nicolas Giacopetti and Samuele Zannoni have found the net 1 times. Matteo Valli Casadei and Nicko Sensoli have been the top assists providers with 1 in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Belarus confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Pavel Pavlyuchenko (GK), Roman Begunov, Zakhar Volkov, Kirill Gomanov, Kiril Pechenin, Max Ebong, Evgeniy Yablonski, Artem Kontsevoy, Valeri Gromyko, Timofey Simanenka, Trofim Melnichenko.
San Marino confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Edoardo Colombo (GK), Giacomo Benvenuti, Michele Cevoli, Marco Pasolini, Simone Giocondi, Samuele Zannoni, Lorenzo Capicchioni, Alessandro Golinucci, Lorenzo Lazzari, Nicolas Giacopetti, Nicola Nanni.
Main Match Prediction
Belarus could be head and shoulders above their opponents in this Nations League encounter. This leads us to back the big favourites -2.5 at odds of -128 and we are confident of landing a return with this wager.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Our football betting picks come from having access to off-the-press team news along with going through the Nations League form guide. It’s also important to identify the key stats.
According to the latest odds, there’s a 56.2% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Buying and selling goals is something that can be done if you want to move the existing line. Take a position according to your viewpoint, whether you want more risk or reward.
Tap into great value before you bet. Our guide rounds up today’s best free bets, promo codes and sign-up promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
4
-
0
San Marino
A 4-0 win in favor of Belarus is available at odds of +440. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Artyom Shumanskiy (Belarus) can be backed to find the net at +140. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Belarus have had under 6.5 corners in seven consecutive games, with San Marino conceding less than 6.5 corners in their past eight matches. When it comes to Team Corners, we’re expecting Belarus to fall short and you can get odds of -141.
Belarus
San Marino
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our bet builder, try Belarus on the Asian Handicap at -2.5, No on the BTTS market merged with Belarus to have under 6.5 corners.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Belarus vs San Marino Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers are taking no risks with their odds of -1429 for Belarus which suggests that the favourites have a 93% likelihood of winning this Nations League clash. San Marino are the +3000 rank outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Belarus available at -303 and San Marino at +1700. The third option is the draw which is priced at +250.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. As long as one team or more fails to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at -435.
No matter what Nations League match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.
Vitaly Lisakovich is the market leader at +240 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Belarus Stats
San Marino Stats
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 10 defeats have been inflicted in the previous 10 matches.
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.20 goals scored and 4.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 3.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 6.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 corners awarded and 6.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 38.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 39.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 home matches
Belarus vs San Marino Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Belarus vs San Marino team news before you bet. Expect the predicted and confirmed UEFA Nations League lineups along with timely injury updates.
Belarus Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
San Marino Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Belarus Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
San Marino Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Belarus Substitutes
- 3Ivan Tsikhamiraou
- 4Valeri Bocherov
- 5Vladislav Kalinin
- 7Artem Shumanskiy
- 11German Barkovsky
- 12Andrey Kudravets
- 15Daniil Galyata
- 16Anton Kovalev
- 17Vitali Lisakovich
- 18Evgeni Malashevich
- 19Anton Lukashov
- 21Fedor Lapoukhov
San Marino Substitutes
- 4Filippo Fabbri
- 6Dante Carlos Rossi
- 7Nicholas Protti
- 12Alessandro Tosi
- 13Lyes Hoel
- 14Fausto Saliconi
- 16Cristian Meloni
- 18Enea Della Balda
- 19Samuel Pancotti
- 20Giulio Bugli
- 22Marcello Mularoni
- 23Mirco De Angelis
Previous Belarus Lineups
Previous San Marino Lineups
Belarus Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Viktor Goncharenko
San Marino Player Stats & Squad
UEFA Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:16 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |
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