Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Oct 2026

Iceland vs Bulgaria Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -119

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Let’s play the Total Goals market where we can get Over 2.5 to be scored at tasty odds of -119. There’s every chance that Iceland and Bulgaria will deliver a return and we think this is value wager.

Continue reading for our full Iceland vs Bulgaria betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Iceland vs Bulgaria Preview

Iceland welcome Bulgaria to Laugardalsvoellur, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Saturday 3 October.

Iceland won last time out by a 3-0 Nations League C scoreline. It was on their travels against Luxembourg at Stade de Luxembourg. They managed four shots on target and recorded 40% possession, with Andri Gudjohnsen, Orri Oskarsson and Victor Palsson among the goals.

Bulgaria hosted Estonia at Hristo Botev, Plovdiv in their previous game, with Nations League C clash ending in a 0-0 draw. Aleksandar Dimitrov's team boasted 55% possession and had two shots on goal.

Nations League C		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Iceland	2	1	1	0	4	1	3	4:1	4
4	Bulgaria	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1:2	1

View Full Table

Iceland have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. Arnar Gunnlaugsson's side have averaged 51.4% possession and 4.0 corners per match, conceding 1.7 goals and 4.3 corners from 5.1 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.

Top goalscorer Albert Gudmundsson has found the net 4 times, with Andri Gudjohnsen, Orri Oskarsson and Victor Palsson scoring 3 each. Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Isak Bergmann Johannesson and Albert Gudmundsson have the most assists with 3, while goalie Elias Olafsson has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Bulgaria have 1 victory, 8 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.6 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 6.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 40.7% possession, 3.1 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.5 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts.

Asen Chandarov is the leading scorer along with five others, with 1 goals on the board each. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Dimitar Velkovski, Zdravko Dimitrov and Kiril Despodov who have all made 1.

Main Match Prediction

This Nations League tussle provides us with a strong betting angle considering we can wager on Over 2.5 Goals at the available odds of -119. Expect the two teams to run home the goals needed for a return.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Iceland games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Iceland games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Bulgaria games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Bulgaria games.

Our football betting picks come from having access to off-the-press team news along with going through the Nations League form guide. It’s also important to identify the key stats.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 54.3% chance of delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want more juice from your Over 2.5 Goals bet, there’s the option to combine this pick with a certain team to land a victory. A Result & Total Goals wager can be backed at bigger odds.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Over 2.5 Goals @ -119 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 1, 18:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Iceland 2 - 1 Bulgaria

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +550 and it involves Iceland winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andri Gudjohnsen to Score +200

Andri Gudjohnsen (Iceland) has scored at least one goal in his past two matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +200 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Andri Gudjohnsen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+450

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -152

There has been 11.60 corners on average in the past ten Bulgaria away matches, while there’s been over 8.5 corners in four of the last five Iceland games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Total Corners line to get covered at -152.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Iceland

Total

8.30 4.00 4.30

Home

8.30 4.80 3.50

Away

8.50 3.50 5.00

Bulgaria

Total

9.10 3.10 6.00

Home

7.50 2.80 4.70

Away

11.60 4.60 7.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-152

Iceland Corners

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-111

Bulgaria Corners

Over 2.5

-179

Under 2.5

+118

Most Corners

1

-313

X

+700

2

+295

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Iceland vs Bulgaria Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Iceland are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Nations League encounter. The -233 for them coming out on top suggests a 70% probability based on their latest betting odds. Bulgaria are the outsiders at +650 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

Backing Iceland -1.25 on the Asian Handicap splits your stake between -1 and -1.5 at -112. You need a two-goal margin of victory against Bulgaria for a full payout and there’s money back on half your stake if they win by one.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -147 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Nations League matches. Head to the best betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.

Full-Time Result

1

-233

X

+340

2

+650

Half-Time Result

1

-112

X

+145

2

+550

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-588

X2

+160

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+400

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-112

2 Hcp +1.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-119

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-147

Those interested in favourite Orri Steinn Óskarsson to find the net first are able to get +310. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +133.

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Iceland)

First

+310

Anytime

+133

Brynjolfur Andersen Willumsson (Iceland)

First

+380

Anytime

+155

Andri Gudjohnsen (Iceland)

First

+450

Anytime

+200

Arnór Sigurdsson (Iceland)

First

+480

Anytime

+215

Kristall Mani Ingason (Iceland)

First

+500

Anytime

+215

Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson (Iceland)

First

+575

Anytime

+230

Hákon Haraldsson (Iceland)

First

+525

Anytime

+235

Gylfi Sigurdsson (Iceland)

First

+550

Anytime

+245

Mikael Anderson (Iceland)

First

+650

Anytime

+275

Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Iceland)

First

+650

Anytime

+290

Stefán Thórdarson (Iceland)

First

+750

Anytime

+330

Martin Minchev (Bulgaria)

First

+1000

Anytime

+430

Lukas Petkov (Bulgaria)

First

+1050

Anytime

+460

Georgi Rusev (Bulgaria)

First

+1050

Anytime

+480

Isak Bergmann Johannesson (Iceland)

First

+1050

Anytime

+480

Asen Chandarov (Bulgaria)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Andrian Kraev (Bulgaria)

First

+1300

Anytime

+600

Vladimir Nikolov (Bulgaria)

First

+1300

Anytime

+600

Radoslav Tsonev (Bulgaria)

First

+1300

Anytime

+600

Marin Petkov (Bulgaria)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Aron Gunnarsson (Iceland)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Hördur Magnússon (Iceland)

First

+1700

Anytime

+800

Daníel Leó Grétarsson (Iceland)

First

+1800

Anytime

+800

Logi Tomasson (Iceland)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Victor Pálsson (Iceland)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Iceland Stats

Bulgaria Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 7.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 51.40% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 52.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 40.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Iceland vs Bulgaria Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Iceland vs Bulgaria team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed UEFA Nations League lineups plus current injury reports.

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages