Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Oct 2026

Estonia vs Luxembourg Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -156

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We’re not anticipating that the net will be found too many times, with Under 2.5 Goals expected when Estonia and Luxembourg lock horns. This Total Goals prediction affords us attractive betting odds of -156.

The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Estonia vs Luxembourg, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Estonia vs Luxembourg Preview

Estonia go head-to-head with Luxembourg at A Le Coq Arena, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Saturday 3 October.

Estonia drew away from home in their last game. A 0-0 Nations League C scoreline was played out against Bulgaria at Hristo Botev, Plovdiv. The Blueshirts had 45% possession and recorded two shots on target.

Luxembourg were beaten 3-0 in their previous game, being turned over in Nations League C at home to Iceland at Stade de Luxembourg. Jeff Strasser's side had one shot on goal and boasted 60% possession.

Nations League C		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Luxembourg	2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	2:4	3
3	Estonia	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	1:1	2

View Full Table

1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 6.0 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. Estonia have had 41.3% possession and 2.6 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 2.2 goals from 18.3 attempts and 7.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 7.1 corners.

Mattias Kaeit is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Maksim Paskotsi and Rauno Sappinen each have 2. Kevor Palumets has made the most assists with 2.

Luxembourg have won 3 and lost 7, averaging 7.5 attempts, 2.9 shots on goal and 0.8 goals. The Red Lions average 49.7% possession, 2.8 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 4.7 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Vincent Thill has scored 3 goals, followed by Leandro Barreiro, Danel Sinani, Tomas Cruz and Mathias Olesen on 1. Danel Sinani has been the top assist maker on 2, with Anthony Moris notching 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Main Match Prediction

The stats suggest that we’ll see a low-scoring Nations League encounter, with a combined goal count of two or less looking the way forward. Land odds of -156 for Under 2.5 Goals.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Estonia games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Estonia games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Luxembourg games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Luxembourg games.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Nations League action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 61% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want to boost your Under 2.5 Goals selection at a bigger price, then there’s an opportunity to combine this pick with BTTS No. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score bet can often make appeal.

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Under 2.5 Goals @ -156 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 1, 18:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Estonia 0 - 1 Luxembourg

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Luxembourg winning 1-0. Odds of +525 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aiman Dardari To Score +285

Aiman Dardari (Luxembourg) can be wagered at +285 to score. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Aiman Dardari Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+285

First

+600

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Luxembourg Under 4.5 Corners -152

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Luxembourg in ten consecutive matches. On this basis, we can take a price of -152 that this Luxembourg Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Estonia

Total

9.70 2.60 7.10

Home

8.00 2.00 6.00

Away

12.40 2.50 9.90

Luxembourg

Total

7.20 2.80 4.40

Home

7.50 3.80 3.70

Away

7.40 2.60 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-110

Estonia Corners

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-159

Luxembourg Corners

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

+102

X

+600

2

+102

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Estonia vs Luxembourg Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

If you’re looking to wager Estonia to secure victory in the Nations League, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +175. Luxembourg are on offer at betting odds of +165 and the draw is +215.

If Luxembourg and Estonia play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at +115.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. If you’re looking to wager on Both Teams to Score, there’s not a lot of difference between Yes and No.

If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Nations League matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+215

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+230

X

+108

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-333

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-116

2

-123

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-167

2 Hcp -0.25

+115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-156

Over 2.5

+118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-118

Alex Matthias Tamm can be backed to find the net anytime at +230. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +500.

Alex Matthias Tamm (Estonia)

First

+500

Anytime

+230

Danel Sinani (Luxembourg)

First

+500

Anytime

+235

Robi Saarma (Estonia)

First

+575

Anytime

+285

Aiman Dardari (Luxembourg)

First

+600

Anytime

+285

Hamza Kadamani (Luxembourg)

First

+650

Anytime

+295

Enzo dos Santos (Luxembourg)

First

+700

Anytime

+335

Vincent Thill (Luxembourg)

First

+750

Anytime

+350

Olivier Thill (Luxembourg)

First

+750

Anytime

+360

Mihkel Ainsalu (Estonia)

First

+750

Anytime

+375

Sebastien Thill (Luxembourg)

First

+800

Anytime

+375

Martin Miller (Estonia)

First

+800

Anytime

+390

Markus Poom (Estonia)

First

+850

Anytime

+410

Kevor Palumets (Estonia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+450

Leandro Barreiro (Luxembourg)

First

+1000

Anytime

+500

Patrik Kristal (Estonia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+525

Mattias Käit (Estonia)

First

+1200

Anytime

+575

Erko Tougjas (Estonia)

First

+1300

Anytime

+700

Florian Bohnert (Luxembourg)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Dirk Carlson (Luxembourg)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Markus Soomets (Estonia)

First

+1500

Anytime

+800

Mathias Olesen (Luxembourg)

First

+1500

Anytime

+800

Eric Veiga (Luxembourg)

First

+1600

Anytime

+800

Tomas Cruz (Luxembourg)

First

+1600

Anytime

+800

Vahid Selimović (Luxembourg)

First

+1700

Anytime

+800

Enes Mahmutovic (Luxembourg)

First

+2000

Anytime

+1000

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Estonia Stats

Luxembourg Stats

Full-Time Result

• 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 7.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 7.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 41.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 42.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 49.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Estonia vs Luxembourg Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Estonia vs Luxembourg team news before placing your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for UEFA Nations League and the newest injury information.

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