Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Sep 2026
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Predictions
We like the Asian Handicap option which means we can back Middlesbrough at 0.0 against Burnley. Odds of -130 can be wagered with confidence, especially as there’s money back if the game ends in a draw.
Continue reading for our complete Burnley vs Middlesbrough betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Preview
Burnley clash with Middlesbrough at Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 2 September.
Burnley have made a poor start to the Championship season, taking just one point from their opening three matches. They have lost their last two league games, including a 4-1 away defeat to Norwich City at Carrow Road last time out. Nicky Hayen's side had most of the ball boasting 63% possession and four shots on target, with Josh Laurent being the goalscorer.
Middlesbrough have started their Championship season with two wins and one defeat. Their latest result was a 3-1 home victory over West Bromwich Albion at Riverside Stadium. The Boro had 46% possession and managed six shots on goal, while Will Lankshear scored twice and Alfie Jones also found the net.
H2H: Goalless Draw in Last H2H
Burnley have not lost to Middlesbrough in the past four games, with the last clash seeing a 0-0 draw played out at Riverside Stadium. The previous 4 H2H games have featured two Burnley victories and two draws.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Middlesbrough |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 23 |  Burnley |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7:13 | 3 |
7 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. Burnley have had 47.9% possession and 4.3 corners per game. On average, the Clarets have conceded 2.3 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 15.6 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.2 corners.
Zian Flemming is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony and Loum Tchaouna each have 1. Jacob Bruun Larsen, Max Alleyne and Loum Tchaouna have racked up the most assists with 1 each.
Middlesbrough have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 17.8 attempts and 1.8 goals. Kim Hellberg's men average 61.4% possession, 7.0 corners awarded and 3.4 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 10.3 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.
Tommy Conway has recorded 5 goals, Will Lankshear 4, with David Strelec and Morgan Whittaker both managing 3. Morgan Whittaker is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.
Confirmed Lineups
Burnley confirmed lineup (4-3-2-1): Max Weiss (GK), Oliver Sonne, Anel Ahmedhodzic, Hjalmar Ekdal, Connor Roberts, Hannibal Mejbri, Ugo Raghouber, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Andreas Hountondji, Dastan Satpaev, Zeki Amdouni.
Middlesbrough confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Radek Vitek (GK), Callum Brittain, Luke Ayling, Alfie Jones, Neto Borges, Aidan Morris, Adilson Malanda, Sebastian Berhalter, Riley McGree, Will Lankshear, Kyle Joseph.
Main Match Prediction
Middlesbrough have been chalked up at -130 and those odds can be backed with confidence when it comes to Asian Handicap 0.0 for this Championship match. We think the Boro can claim a victory.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We use the latest Championship injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football predictions. You will also see that we sometimes take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 56.5% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
For those bettors looking to boost their odds about Middlesbrough covering the line, why not look to combine this selection with some of the many alternatives in a Bet Builder.
Maximize your betting potential with the latest free bets, sign-up and welcome offers — all listed in our expert bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Middlesbrough
An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Middlesbrough at odds of +700. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Max Arfsten (Middlesbrough) is available to finish with at least one shot on goal at +155. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.
Riley McGree (Middlesbrough) has netted two goals in his past nine Championship matches away from home. We’ll take a chance at +500 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past 10 Middlesbrough games have involved them having an average of 7.00 corners, with Burnley conceding over 5.5 corners in their previous four home matches. We think that the value can be landed by betting on Team Corners and you can get -103 that Middlesbrough go over the line.
Burnley
Middlesbrough
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi which has the following: Middlesbrough with an Asian Handicap of 0.0, no more than two goals to be scored as well as Max Arfsten (Middlesbrough) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Middlesbrough are the +114 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 47% chance of winning this Championship encounter according to the latest betting odds. Burnley are regarded as the least likely winner at +205.
Middlesbrough can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting +165. However, Burnley are +245 and the draw is +133 if you want to take a different option.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -185.
The best football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Championship matches.
Those interested in favourite Will Lankshear to find the net first can get +300, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is -105.
Stats: League matches only
Burnley haven’t been beaten in three straight games at Turf Moor. The Clarets have racked up six draws and four defeats in the previous 10 home games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.80.
Middlesbrough haven’t tasted victory in the previous six away matches. The Boro have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
It was a 1-1 draw when Burnley last played Middlesbrough at Turf Moor.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley Home Stats |
0-6-4 | 3.00 | 1.20 | 1.80 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
| Middlesbrough Away Stats |
3-4-3 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 1.40 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Burnley League Stats
Middlesbrough League Stats
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 6.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 61.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 61.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Burnley this season are Zian Flemming (2), Josh Laurent (1)
- Top Assistors for Burnley this season are Jacob Bruun Larsen (1), Max Alleyne (1)
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Burnley vs Middlesbrough team news before wagering. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 4-3-2-1
Middlesbrough Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 4-3-2-1
Middlesbrough Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Burnley Substitutes
- 2Kyle Walker
- 3Max Alleyne
- 10Marcus Edwards
- 19Largie Ramazani
- 20Shurandy Sambo
- 21Aaron Ramsey
- 27Armando Broja
- 31Mike Tresor
- 37Gregoire Coudert
Middlesbrough Substitutes
- 3Sam Byram
- 4Ashley Phillips
- 9Tommy Conway
- 13David Strelec
- 17Max Arfsten
- 19Leo Castledine
- 21Rokas Pukstas
- 31Solomon Brynn
- 44Cruz Ibeh
Previous Burnley Lineups
Previous Middlesbrough Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Burnley Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Nicky Hayen
Middlesbrough Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 2 | West Ham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Norwich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Watford | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Southampton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 16 | Stoke | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 7 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 18 | Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 20 | Cardiff | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 21 | Bolton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 23 | Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 24 | Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 9 |
| 2 | West Brom | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Watford | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Charlton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 5 | West Ham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Stoke | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Norwich | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Swansea | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 5 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 12 | QPR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Cardiff | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Bolton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 18 | Bristol City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 20 | Preston | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 21 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 22 | Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 23 | Lincoln | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 24 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
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