Ceará vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Apr 2025

Ceará Worthy Favourites

There’s some insurance when it comes to wagering Ceará -0.25 against São Paulo. At Asian Handicap odds of -101, we get a nice payout if the home team win and half the stake returned for a draw.

São Paulo Won Last H2H Encounter

Ceará have landed successive home victories. Their last appearance was a 1-0 away defeat against Bahia. Big Grandpa had only 35% possession and recorded two shots on target.

São Paulo claimed a home win in their previous Série A game. A 2-1 victory occurred against Santos. Luis Zubeldia's side had 40% possession and totalled three shots on goal, while Ferreira and Andre were both on target.

On Wednesday night, São Paulo won 2-0 when visiting Paraguayan Primera División side Libertad in the Copa Libertadores.

Head-to-Head Statistics

São Paulo boast an unbeaten record in the past ten games with Ceará. In their last encounter, it was a 2-0 away victory for São Paulo. The previous 10 H2H games have gone the way of São Paulo three times along with seven draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	São Paulo	23	9	8	6	27	23	4	27:23	35
11	Ceará	22	7	6	9	21	22	-1	21:22	27

View Full Table

Ceará have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts. Leo Conde's team have averaged 39.8% possession and 2.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.2 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 5.4 corners.

Top scorer Pedro Raul has found the net 4 times, with Aylon, Matheus Araujo and Marllon getting 1 each. Lucas Mugni is the top assists maker with 2.

São Paulo have won 1, lost 3 and drawn 6, with an average of 1.1 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts. Tricolor Paulista have averaged 52.9% possession, 5.0 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

Ferreira and Andre top the team’s scoring charts on 3 goals, with William Gomes on 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Andre, Matheus Alves and Ferreira who have all made 1.

Confirmed Lineups

Ceará confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fernando Miguel (GK), Rafael Ramos, Marllon, Willian Machado, Matheus Bahia, Fernando Sobral, Dieguinho, Antonio Galeano, Lucas Mugni, Pedro Henrique, Pedro Raul.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Igor Vinicius, Nahuel Ferraresi, Sabino, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Alisson, Damian Bobadilla, Lucas Ferreira, Luciano Neves, Ferreira, Ryan Francisco.

Ceará vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Ceará look like a cracking bet on the Asian Handicap for this Série A game. Taking them at -0.25 at odds of -101 looks to be the way forward and there’s a healthy potential return.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Ceará vs São Paulo league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Ceará in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ceará -0.25 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 50.3% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

The betting sites give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

Our Match Prediction

Ceará Asian Hcp -0.25 @ -101 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Ceará 1 - 0 São Paulo

We’re betting on Ceará to secure a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +430 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aylon Darwin Tavella Over 0.5 Shots On Target -156

Aylon Darwin Tavella (Ceará) is available at -156 to have at least one shot on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Aylon Darwin Tavella Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-130

Shots

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

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Pedro Raul Garay da Silva To Score +210

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará) is available to be among the goals at +210. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Pedro Raul Garay da Silva Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+235

First

+430

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+123

Shots

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-

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Ceará vs São Paulo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Affair Likely According to the Bookies

With a 43% chance of winning, Ceará are favourites to win this Serie A match and they’re available at betting odds of +135 with the bookies. For those wanting to back São Paulo, you will find +260 about this outsider.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option.

The football betting sites offer a Draw No Bet market for all Série A matches and you can back Ceará at -182 and São Paulo at +130.

Full-Time Result

1

+135

X

+175

2

+260

Half-Time Result

1

+215

X

-119

2

+335

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-244

X2

-185

Draw No Bet

1

-182

2

+130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-103

2 Hcp +0.25

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-278

Over 2.5

+205

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+133

No

-192

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva can be backed to find the net anytime at +235. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +430.

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará)

First

+235

Anytime

+430

Aylon Darwin Tavella (Ceará)

First

+320

Anytime

+575

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Antonio Galeano (Ceará)

First

+425

Anytime

+800

Silvio Alejandro Martínez (Ceará)

First

+425

Anytime

+800

Fernando "Fernandinho" Marques Maciel (Ceará)

First

+460

Anytime

+850

Luiz Gustavo Dias (São Paulo)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Fernando Sobral (Ceará)

First

+500

Anytime

+900

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+540

Anytime

+950

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1000

Pedro Henrique Konzen Medina (Ceará)

First

+575

Anytime

+1000

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço (Ceará)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Romulo Azevedo Simão (Ceará)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Jorge Recalde (Ceará)

First

+750

Anytime

+1300

Lucas Mugni (Ceará)

First

+800

Anytime

+1400

Rodrigo "Rodriguinho" Almeida Mendonca (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Richardson Fernandes dos Santos (Ceará)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Bruno "Tubarão" Nunes de Barros (Ceará)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Willian Machado (Ceará)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+123

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-125

Aylon Darwin Tavella (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-130

Antonio Galeano (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-204

Fernando "Fernandinho" Marques Maciel (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Silvio Alejandro Martínez (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-217

Fernando Sobral (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-250

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Pedro Henrique Konzen Medina (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-244

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-250

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Romulo Azevedo Simão (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-400

Jorge Recalde (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Rodrigo "Rodriguinho" Almeida Mendonca (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-385

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-588

Bruno "Tubarão" Nunes de Barros (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-556

Lucas Mugni (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Richardson Fernandes dos Santos (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Willian Machado (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Aylon Darwin Tavella (Ceará)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Mugni (Ceará)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço (Ceará)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Henrique Konzen Medina (Ceará)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Fernando "Fernandinho" Marques Maciel (Ceará)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Silvio Alejandro Martínez (Ceará)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Antonio Galeano (Ceará)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Fernando Sobral (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Romulo Azevedo Simão (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Jorge Recalde (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo "Rodriguinho" Almeida Mendonca (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Richardson Fernandes dos Santos (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Bruno "Tubarão" Nunes de Barros (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Willian Machado (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Ceará vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Ceará vs São Paulo team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’ve got details of the Série A squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Ceará Team Page São Paulo Team Page