América vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Apr 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: América vs Toluca

América go head-to-head with Toluca at Estadio Banorte, with kick-off set for 23:10 on Saturday 18 April.

After careful consideration, the betting odds of -120 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be the best bet. Neither América or Toluca can set the stage alight and this Total Goals wager looks to be a sound one.

Club América played Cruz Azul at home in their last Liga MX game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Banorte. Las Águilas had 53% possession and five shots on target, while Patricio Salas scored the goal.

On Wednesday, América were beaten 1-0 when facing Nashville SC at home in the Champions Cup.

Deportivo Toluca hosted Atlético San Luis in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Antonio Mohamed's team enjoyed 61% possession and recorded ten shots on goal, while Franco Rossi was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been three victories on the bounce for Toluca when playing América. Their last encounter took place at Estadio Nemesio Diez and Toluca secured a 2-0 home win. The previous 10 H2H games have seen four wins for each team and two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Toluca	15	7	6	2	21	11	10	21:11	27
6	América	15	6	4	5	17	14	3	17:14	22

View Full Table

Club América have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. Andre Jardine's men have averaged 59.9% possession and 4.7 corners per match, conceding 1.1 goals and 4.1 corners from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts.

The four top scorers are Patricio Salas, Raphael Veiga, Brian Rodriguez and Alex Zendejas, with these players all scoring 2 goals. The leading assistors are Alex Zendejas and Raphael Veiga with 2.

Deportivo Toluca have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, averaging 11.9 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 58.0% possession, 5.8 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts.

Paulinho is the leading scorer with 6 goals, followed by Jesus Angulo on 2, with Franco Rossi and two others bagging 1. Paulinho, Francisco Cordova and Marcel Ruiz have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

América confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Rodolfo Cota (GK), Israel Reyes, Sebastian Caceres, Miguel Vazquez, Alex Zendejas, Jonathan dos Santos, Rodrigo Dourado, Cristian Borja, Raphael Veiga, Brian Rodriguez, Isaias Violante.

Toluca confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Luis Garcia (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Mendez, Everardo Lopez, Santiago Simon, Jesus Gallardo, Jesus Angulo, Franco Romero, Nicolas Castro, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

América vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into América vs Toluca with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count for this Liga MX showdown. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -120 about Under 2.5, with the two teams unlikely to deliver a combined three goals or more.

The latest Liga MX injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key América vs Toluca league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 América games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 América games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 América games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Toluca games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Toluca games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Toluca games.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 54.6% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Bettors looking for a larger price for a similar selection have the opportunity to wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with a return on the cards if there is one goal or less scored by the full-time whistle.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 17, 05:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

América 1 - 1 Toluca

We think there’s a chance of a 1-1 draw and this can be backed at odds of +440. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patricio Salas to Score +290

Patricio Salas (América) has racked up two goals in his past five Liga MX matches. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +290.

Latest Patricio Salas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+750

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -112

It has now been five consecutive Toluca away games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered, while two América home matches on the bounce have had the same outcome. The stats imply that it’s worth selecting Over for Total Corners, with -112 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

América

Total

8.80 4.70 4.10

Home

8.40 5.00 3.40

Away

8.20 4.70 3.50

Toluca

Total

9.30 5.80 3.50

Home

8.40 5.60 2.80

Away

10.10 6.40 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-137

América Corners

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-118

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-115

X

+600

2

+120

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

América vs Toluca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have betting odds of +155 for Deportivo Toluca to triumph in this Liga MX clash, with Club América trading at a price of +165 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +225.

For those wanting some insurance backing Toluca, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s +118 that they manage to beat América on this market.

If you’re wagering on Total Goals, the market is finding it hard to split Overs and Unders. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -159.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Liga MX game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+165

X

+225

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+112

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-333

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-116

2

-127

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-154

2 Hcp -0.25

+118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-120

Over 2.5

-115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+105

João Paulo Paulinho can be backed to find the net anytime at +135. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +360.

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

First

+135

Anytime

+360

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Paul Brian Rodríguez (América)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Patricio Salas (América)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Álex Zendejas (América)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (América)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Helinho (Toluca)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (América)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Erick Sanchez (América)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Dagoberto Espinoza (América)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Sebastian Cordova (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Jonathan dos Santos (América)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

América have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Toluca have racked up four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

The previous Estadio Banorte encounter involved a 3-1 Toluca win against América. The 7 most recent H2H meetings at Estadio Banorte have included four América victories along with three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
América Home Stats		5-2-3	2.20	1.20	1.00	3	7	4	6
Toluca Away Stats		4-3-3	1.70	1.00	0.70	3	7	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

América vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest América vs Toluca team news before you bet. Expect the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with timely injury updates.

América Team Page Toluca Team Page

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