Finland to Cover the Line?

Finland +0.75 could be a good bet when they go up against Poland at -121. It means we split the Asian Handicap stake between +0.5 and +1.0, with our experts confident that the hosts can perform well.

Poland Triumphed in Last Game

Finland were defeated last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. Olympiastadion saw them beaten at home to Netherlands in the World Cup qualifier. The Eagle-owls ended up with just 34% possession and one shot on target.

Poland claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-0 World Cup qualifying win occurred against Malta at National Stadium, Warszawa. Michal Probierz's team had twelve shots on goal and recorded 57% possession, while Karol Swiderski found the net twice.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Finland	4	2	1	1	5	5	0	5:5	7
3	Poland	3	2	0	1	4	2	2	4:2	6

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Finland – Last 10 Competitive Games

Finland have 1 win, 8 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.6 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts. Jacob Friis' side have averaged 45.3% possession and 3.1 corners per match, conceding 2.1 goals and 5.0 corners from 6.4 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.

Top scorer Joel Pohjanpalo has found the net 2 times, with Kaan Kairinen, Oliver Antman, Arttu Hoskonen and Teemu Pukki getting 1 goals each. Benjamin Kaellman, Leo Walta and Joel Pohjanpalo are top assists makers with 1, while goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky has kept one clean sheet.

Poland – Last 10 Competitive Games

Poland have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.4 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.2 attempts. The White and Red have averaged 46.7% possession, 410.0 passes, 4.5 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts.

Robert Lewandowski is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Karol Swiderski, Piotr Zielinski, Sebastian Szymanski and Nicola Zalewski have 2. Robert Lewandowski has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Lukasz Skorupski has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Finland confirmed lineup (3-5-1-1): Lukas Hradecky (GK), Matti Peltola, Arttu Hoskonen, Jere Uronen, Robin Lod, Kaan Kairinen, Glen Kamara, Miro Tenho, Oliver Antman, Fredrik Jensen, Joel Pohjanpalo.

Poland confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Lukasz Skorupski (GK), Mateusz Skrzypczak, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Matty Cash, Sebastian Szymanski, Bartosz Slisz, Jakub Moder, Nicola Zalewski, Krzysztof Piatek, Karol Swiderski.

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Expert World Cup qualifying Analysis

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the football odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Finland vs Poland stats:

The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Poland in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Poland in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Poland in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Finland vs Poland Prediction

There’s a strong case for siding with underdogs Finland at +0.75. The Asian Handicap odds of -121 looks like a value play for this World Cup qualifying clash and the stats suggest that a return could be on the cards.

If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

Finland +0.75 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 54.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Our Pick

Finland Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -121 Bet Now

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Published 19:37, 08 June 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Finland

1 - 1 Poland logo

Poland

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +480 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Props

Piotr Zielinski Under 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Piotr Zielinski (Poland) hasn’t recorded a shot on goal in three straight league games on the road. There is value if you want to go under the Shots on Target line and this is now available at -147.

Latest Piotr Zielinski Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Joel Pohjanpalo to Score +410

Joel Pohjanpalo (Finland) has registered two goals in his past eight league games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +410.

Latest Joel Pohjanpalo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Corners Prediction

Poland Under 5.5 Corners -152

Poland have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in four consecutive away games, with Finland conceding under 5.5 corners in 8 of their previous 10 home matches. The number of Poland corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -152.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Finland

Total

8.10 3.10 5.00

Home

7.30 3.40 3.90

Away

8.70 4.00 4.70

Poland

Total

8.80 4.50 4.30

Home

9.90 6.40 3.50

Away

8.50 4.10 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Finland Corners

Poland Corners

Most Corners

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Finland vs Poland Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Finland +0.75 -121

Total Goals Under 2.5 -154

Shots On Target Piotr Zielinski Under 0.5 -147

You’re welcome to follow our same-game multi which has Finland with an Asian Handicap of +0.75, less than three goals in total as well as Piotr Zielinski (Poland) failing to record a shot on target.

We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.

Bet Boosts

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Finland vs Poland Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Poland Victory

Poland are the shortest price to win this World Cup qualifying clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 47% probability due to their +115 betting odds. For those wanting to back Finland, you will find +260 about this outsider.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Poland are -200 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Finland being priced up at +150 with the same money back guarantee.

The contest is forecasted to be fairly low-scoring and that is highlighted by Under 2.5 Goals available at the shortest odds. There’s literally nothing to split BTTS Yes and BTTS No and that’s highlighted as you can get -110 for each selection.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest World Cup qualifying match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Krzysztof Piątek Top of First Goalscorer List

Krzysztof Piątek is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +480 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +205.

Player Goals

Krzysztof Piątek (Poland)

Mateusz Bogusz (Poland)

Adam Buksa (Poland)

Teemu Pukki (Finland)

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Player Shots On Target

Krzysztof Piątek (Poland)

Adam Buksa (Poland)

Mateusz Bogusz (Poland)

Piotr Zielinski (Poland)

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Player Shots

Krzysztof Piątek (Poland)

Mateusz Bogusz (Poland)

Adam Buksa (Poland)

Oliver Antman (Finland)

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Last 5 Games

Finland

Poland

Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Finland Stats

Poland Stats

Full-Time Result

1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 1.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches