France vs Italy Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Oct 2026
France vs Italy Predictions
The Both Teams to Score market provides an opportunity to wager on BTTS Yes and we really like the -161 that’s available. We expect France and Italy to both find the net.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for France vs Italy, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
France vs Italy Preview
France host Italy at Stade de France, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 2 October.
France triumphed in their last game which was away from home in the Nations League. Belgium were beaten 1-0 at Koning Boudewijnstadion. Les Bleus recorded six shots on target and boasted 65% possession, with a late strike from Michael Olise proving the difference.
Italy won their previous game 4-1. This was a Nations League away victory at Bursa Buyuksehir Belediye Stadyumu against Turkey. Roberto Mancini's team had eight shots on goal and 47% possession, with Alessandro Bastoni, Davide Frattesi, Michael Kayode and Francesco Pio Esposito finding the net.
H2H: 3-1 Victory for France in Pair’s Last Battle
It was France who were victorious when they last faced Italy. At San Siro, a 3-1 away victory was recorded.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Italy |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
France have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 2.2 goals from 6.9 shots on goal and 16.8 attempts. Zinedine Zidane's side have averaged 57.7% possession, 566.3 passes and 6.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.0 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 3.0 corners.
Top scorer Kylian Mbappe has found the net 11 times, with Ousmane Dembele and Bradley Barcola getting 6 and 3 respectively. Michael Olise is the leading assists maker with 8, while goalie Mike Maignan has 6 clean sheets.
Italy have 7 victories and 3 defeats, with an average of 19.2 attempts, 6.9 shots on goal and 2.7 goals. Gli Azzurri average 56.4% possession, 539.9 passes, 6.9 corners in their favour and 4.0 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts.
Moise Kean is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Mateo Retegui is on 5 and Francesco Pio Esposito on 4. Federico Dimarco and Mateo Retegui have had 4 assists in the previous 10 games, while Gianluigi Donnarumma has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Main Match Prediction
We can’t pass up the chance to back BTTS Yes at -161, with both sides expected to find the net in this Nations League match. The Both Teams to Score market provides a great angle for a wager.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Nations League stats when making our football predictions.
The top betting apps make it a 61.7% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this bet.
One way of boosting your BTTS Yes pick is by going down the Bet Builder route. This involves trying to find other winning selections and getting a bigger price as a result.
Don’t miss the chance to claim free bets using our exclusive betting promo codes —check our bonus guide before placing your bets.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Italy
France are available to back at +700 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Player Prop Picks
Francesco Pio Esposito (Italy) has recorded one or more shots on goal in eight straight matches. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -110.
Bradley Barcola (France) has racked up three goals in his past seven matches on home soil. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +180 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 7.00 corners for France in their past 10 home matches, while the previous three Italy games have involved them conceding over 5.5 corners. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the France Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -119 that they go over.
France
Italy
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up different selections in the following same-game multi: BTTS Yes, France on the Full-Time Result merged with Francesco Pio Esposito (Italy) to have one or more shots on target.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
France vs Italy Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
According to the betting odds, France are major -250 favourites with the bookies to triumph and that means a 71% chance of winning this Nations League clash. If you want to wager on the underdog, Italy have been priced up at +575.
Some insurance is provided if you back France Asian Handicap -1.25 at -127. If they only beat Italy by a goal, you get half your stake back. A bigger margin of victory and it’s a full payout.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -161 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Nations League matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
Ousmane Dembélé is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +350 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +110.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
France Stats
Italy Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 1.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
France vs Italy Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the France vs Italy team news before you bet. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Nations League together with updated injury news.
Previous France Lineups
Previous Italy Lineups
France Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Zinedine Zidane
Italy Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Turkey | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Serbia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | England | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Norway | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Denmark | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
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