Greece vs Germany Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2026
Greece vs Germany Predictions
There’s a strong case for backing Greece +0.5 on the Asian Handicap in their meeting with Germany. Landing odds of -110 looks like great value and we simply need the hosts to avoid a defeat here.
Read on for our full Greece vs Germany betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Greece vs Germany Preview
Greece go head-to-head with Germany at Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 4 October.
Greece opened their Nations League campaign with a 2-1 victory away to Serbia before recording a 1-0 win against Germany. Last time out, they maintained their unbeaten start with a 2-2 home draw against the Netherlands at the Toumba Stadium. Greece had just 29% possession and four shots on target, with Fotis Ioannidis and Giorgos Masouras both finding the net.
Germany began their Nations League campaign with a 1-1 draw against the Netherlands before suffering a shock 1-0 home defeat to Greece. Jürgen Klopp's side finally secured their first win under the new head coach with a 2-0 home success against Serbia last time out, dominating with 73% possession and eight shots on target. Tom Bischof and Florian Wirtz scored the goals in Munich.
H2H: Greece Claimed Historic Win a Week Ago
Greece came out on top when these nations met a week ago, beating Germany 1-0 at the WWK Arena in their Nations League encounter. It was Greece's first-ever win over Germany, having failed to come out on top in the previous ten meetings between the countries.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Greece |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Germany |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 12.9 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. Greece have had 49.3% possession and 4.9 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 10.1 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.2 corners.
Top scorer Christos Tzolis has found the net 5 times, Konstantinos Karetsas 3, with Dimitrios Kourbelis and Anastasios Bakasetas both scoring 2. Vangelis Pavlidis has the most assists with 4, while goalies Konstantinos Tzolakis and Odysseas Vlachodimos collectively have 3 clean sheets.
Germany have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 17.4 attempts, 6.1 shots on goal and 2.6 goals. Die Mannschaft average 64.6% possession, 614.2 passes, 7.2 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts.
Nick Woltemade has scored 4, followed by Kai Havertz, Leroy Sane and Deniz Undav with 3 goals apiece. Florian Wirtz has had 6 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Greece confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Konstantinos Tzolakis (GK), Manolis Saliakas, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Konstantinos Koulierakis, Konstantinos Tsimikas, Giorgos Masouras, Dimitrios Kourbelis, Christos Zafeiris, Alexandros Kyziridis, Vangelis Pavlidis, Fotis Ioannidis.
Germany confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jonas Urbig (GK), Philipp Treu, Malick Thiaw, Waldemar Anton, David Raum, Lennart Karl, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Tom Bischof, Derry Scherhant, Florian Wirtz, Jonathan Burkardt.
Main Match Prediction
We can feel confident with our bet on Greece +0.5 at odds of -110. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this Nations League game and this pick has the stats to back up a positive outcome.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Nations League form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
Want to back Greece to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different legs can be combined to good effect.
Your next bet could start with a welcome bonus. Explore our expert guide to the newest sign-up and betting offers.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Germany
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +550. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Fotis Ioannidis (Greece) has totalled over 1.5 shots in three straight games. There is odds of -133 on offer for this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
Nick Woltemade (Germany) has managed four goals in his past five games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +180 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past four Germany matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 12.60 corners in the previous five Greece home games. The Total Corners line could be on the low side based on the stats and -105 is available to back.
Greece
Germany
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a same-game multi that includes Greece with the +0.5 Asian Handicap, no more than two goals to be registered as well as Fotis Ioannidis (Greece) to record Over 1.5 shots.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Greece vs Germany Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Full-Time Result odds of -141 suggest that Germany are likely victors and there’s a 58% probability that the favourites win this Nations League clash. At +335, Greece are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
If you fancy Germany to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of +118. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Greece at +330 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +150.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -189.
Hundreds of markets for every Nations League game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.
Nick Woltemade is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +480 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +160.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Greece Stats
Germany Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Greece vs Germany Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Greece vs Germany before making your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Nations League along with up-to-date injury news.
Greece Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Germany Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Greece Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Germany Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Greece Substitutes
- 1Odysseas Vlachodimos
- 2T. Tsapras
- 5Panagiotis Retsos
- 9Anastasios Douvikas
- 10Dimitrios Pelkas
- 11C. Kostoulas
- 13Christos Mandas
- 15Thanasis Androutsos
- 16Christos Mouzakitis
- 18Giannis Michailidis
- 19K. Karetsas
- 22G. Kyriakopoulos
Germany Substitutes
- 4Finn Jeltsch
- 6Yannik Engelhardt
- 7Said El Mala
- 11Nick Woltemade
- 12Finn Dahmen
- 14Mika Baur
- 16Ridle Baku
- 18M. Mittelstaedt
- 19Bambase Conte
- 20Felix Keidel
- 21Noah Atubolu
- 23Vitaly Janelt
Previous Greece Lineups
Previous Germany Lineups
Greece Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ivan Jovanovic
Germany Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
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