Portugal vs Norway Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2026
Portugal vs Norway Predictions
It’s great to get attractive odds of -156 for a home win when Portugal go up against Norway. We think that the hosts will have the upper hand and the Full-Time Result market is a way of getting the best value.
This Portugal vs Norway betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Portugal vs Norway Preview
Portugal welcome Norway to Estadio do Dragao in Porto, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 4 October.
Erling Haaland is expected to play for Norway, while Portugal will be without Cristiano Ronaldo, who abruptly left the team camp after being benched for the match against Denmark. Ronaldo's international future is now in serious doubt following a heated dispute with manager Jorge Jesus over his role in the squad.
Portugal opened their Nations League campaign with a 1-0 home victory over Wales before beating Norway 2-1 away. Last time out, Jorge Jesus' side maintained their perfect start with a 4-2 victory in Denmark, recording ten shots on target and having 46% possession. João Cancelo, Gonçalo Ramos, Vitinha and João Félix were all on the scoresheet.
Norway began their Nations League campaign with a 3-2 home victory over Denmark before suffering a 2-1 defeat against Portugal. Staale Solbakken's side were beaten by the same scoreline away to Wales last time out, despite taking the lead through Oscar Bobb. Norway had 52% possession and four shots on target but played virtually the entire second half with ten men following a red card just after the restart.
H2H: Portugal 2-1 Winners in Last Week's Meeting
Portugal came out on top when these nations met just a week ago, recording a 2-1 Nations League victory over Norway at the Ullevaal Stadion. The Portuguese have dominated the fixture, winning nine of the 12 all-time meetings between the countries.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 4 |  Norway |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6:8 | 3 |
Portugal have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.4 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts. The Navigators have averaged 58.0% possession and 5.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 11.4 attempts and 4.1 corners.
Goncalo Ramos and Joao Neves lead the way with 4 goals, while Joao Felix has 3. Bruno Fernandes is the leading assists maker on 5, with goalkeeper Diogo Costa keeping 3 clean sheets.
Norway have 6 victories and 4 defeats, with an average of 2.2 goals from 12.4 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. Staale Solbakken's team average 52.7% possession, 500.3 passes, 4.5 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while conceding 1.8 goals from 13.6 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.
Erling Haaland is top of the team’s scoring charts with 12, while Oscar Bobb and Antonio Nusa both have 2. Look no further than Martin Oedegaard for the top assist maker (7) in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Portugal confirmed lineup (4-1-3-2): Diogo Costa (GK), Joao Cancelo, Ruben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes, Joao Palhinha, Chico Conceicao, Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes, Joao Felix, Goncalo Ramos.
Norway confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Egil Selvik (GK), Fredrik Aursnes, Kristoffer Vassbakk Ajer, Leo Oestigard, David Moeller Wolfe, Martin Oedegaard, Sander Berge, Patrick Berg, Andreas Schjelderup, Erling Haaland, Antonio Nusa.
Main Match Prediction
We’re keeping things simple with our standout bet, with Portugal currently priced at -156. We think the Navigators can secure another victory against Norway, with the hosts looking a value play at these odds.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Nations League experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.
The best betting sites make it a 61% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Those that feel bullish when it comes to Portugal delivering a big win can find some big priced alternatives on the Asian Handicap. Choose your line and secure a larger potential return.
Unlock the best welcome bonuses and free bet offers before you wager—check our updated betting promo code guide today.
Correct Score Prediction
3
-
1
Norway
An exciting bet could be a 3-1 victory in favor of Portugal at odds of +750. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Erling Haaland (Norway) has had over 1.5 shots on goal in seven of his past nine matches. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of -105 currently on offer.
Joao Felix (Portugal) has scored at least one goal in three consecutive matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +180 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 5.20 corners for Norway in their past five games, while Portugal have let the opposition have a corner average of 4.80 in the last five matches. We’re happy to back the -154 when it comes to Norway covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.
Portugal
Norway
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are Portugal on the 1x2, BTTS Yes together with Erling Haaland (Norway) to record over 1.5 shots on target.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Portugal vs Norway Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the bookmakers affording them a 63% chance of winning, Portugal might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -167 when it comes to this Nations League encounter. If you’re searching for a different slant, Norway are available at +380.
Portugal winning by one goal means that the Asian Handicap -1 selection would get a full refund. However, you would get paid out at -109 if they manage to beat Norway by two or more.
There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -233.
It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Nations League game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.
Gonçalo Ramos is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +300, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Portugal Stats
Norway Stats
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Portugal vs Norway Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Portugal vs Norway team news beforehand. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Portugal Confirmed Lineup 4-1-3-2
Norway Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Portugal Confirmed Lineup 4-1-3-2
Norway Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Portugal Substitutes
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 4Tomas Araujo
- 5Nuno Tavares
- 7Rafael Leao
- 10Bernardo Silva
- 12Rui Silva
- 15Joao Neves
- 16Trincao
- 17Pedro Neto
- 18Fabio Silva
- 21Ruben Neves
- 22Samuel Soares
Norway Substitutes
- 1O. Haaskjold Nyland
- 2O. Luraas Bjoertuft
- 11J. Strand Larsen
- 12Sander Tangvik
- 14Fredrik Sjoevold
- 15S. Klingen Langaas
- 16M. Holmgren Pedersen
- 17Ole Blomberg
- 18Kristian Thorstvedt
- 19Thelo Aasgaard
- 22Oscar Bobb
- 23Erik Botheim
Previous Portugal Lineups
Previous Norway Lineups
Portugal Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jorge Jesus
Norway Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
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