Grêmio vs Fluminense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Jul 2026

Grêmio vs Fluminense Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Fluminense Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -149

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Fluminense have a strong chance against Grêmio and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -149 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

Continue reading for our complete Grêmio vs Fluminense betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Grêmio vs Fluminense Preview

Grêmio clash with Fluminense, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Sunday 26 July.

Grêmio have been beaten in consecutive Série A games. On the road, they recently lost 2-1 against Mirassol. Luis Castro's team boasted 55% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Carlos Vinicius getting the goal.

On Thursday night, Grêmio lost to 3-2 when visiting Bolivar in the Copa Sudamericana.

Fluminense played out a 1-1 draw against Red Bull Bragantino in their previous game, with this being at home. The Rio de Janeiro side had four shots on goal and enjoyed 67% possession, with Ignacio finding the net.

Fluminense Won Last H2H Encounter

Fluminense have three straight victories against Grêmio. Their last encounter saw Fluminense win by a 2-1 scoreline. The 10 previous H2H meetings have involved five Grêmio wins, one draw and four Fluminense victories.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Fluminense	19	9	5	5	29	24	5	29:24	32
16	Grêmio	19	5	6	8	21	25	-4	21:25	21

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. Grêmio have had 48.6% possession and 3.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.5 corners.

Carlos Vinicius is the top scorer with 3 goals, Gabriel Mec has 2, with Tete and Viery on 1. Cristian Pavon is the leading assists maker on 3.

Fluminense have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.3 goals from 12.5 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. The Big Flu average 60.2% possession, 5.8 corners in their favour and 3.6 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 11.1 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

John Kennedy has landed 6 goals, Jefferson Savarino 3, with Ignacio and two others scoring 1. Guga has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Cristian Pavón, Gustavo Martins, Walter Kannemann, Caio Paulista, Mathías Villasanti, Juan Ignacio Nardoni, Tetê, Martin Braithwaite, José Enamorado, Carlos Vinícius.

Fluminense predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Guga, Thiago Silva, Juan Pablo Freytes, Rene, Hercules, Martinelli, Jefferson Savarino, Luciano Acosta, Kevin Serna, Hulk.

Main Match Prediction

When Fluminense kick off this Série A match, we will wager them at -149 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Série A team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Fluminense in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Fluminense in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Fluminense in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 5 consecutive games against Fluminense.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 59.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your selection exceeds expectations.

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Fluminense Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -149 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 24, 23:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 0 - 1 Fluminense

There could be merit in backing Fluminense to win 1-0. Odds of +600 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kevin Serna Over 0.5 Shots On Target -115

Kevin Serna (Fluminense) can be wagered to have a minimum of one shot on goal at -115. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Kevin Serna Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

---

Jefferson Savarino to Score +320

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense) has netted three goals in his past nine Série A matches. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +320 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jefferson Savarino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Fluminense Over 4.5 Corners +102

Fluminense have been awarded an average of 5.80 corners in the past 10 matches, while the corner count against Grêmio has been more than 4.5 in the previous six games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure +102 that Fluminense go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Grêmio

Total

9.30 3.80 5.50

Home

9.30 5.30 4.00

Away

7.90 3.00 4.90

Fluminense

Total

9.40 5.80 3.60

Home

9.40 6.00 3.40

Away

10.00 4.70 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-149

Under 8.5

+104

Grêmio Corners

Over 4.5

-111

Under 4.5

-135

Fluminense Corners

Over 4.5

+104

Under 4.5

-156

Most Corners

1

-106

X

+575

2

+110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Grêmio vs Fluminense Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

This Série A encounter sees Grêmio available at +155 and Fluminense priced at +170 for the victory. If you want to back the game to finish level, the bookies have odds of +230 about the draw.

Grêmio can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -125. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Fluminense are -114.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. BTTS Yes is on offer at -139 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.

Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Série A game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+230

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+114

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-227

12

-313

X2

-208

Draw No Bet

1

-125

2

-114

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+120

2 Hcp +0.25

-149

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-127

Over 2.5

-102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

-100

Carlos Vinícius is priced at +370 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +150 to find the net anytime.

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+370

Anytime

+150

Givanildo Hulk (Fluminense)

First

+600

Anytime

+240

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+250

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+290

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+300

Rodrigo Castillo (Fluminense)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+800

Anytime

+320

Gabriel Mec (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+320

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+1000

Anytime

+390

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Yeferson Soteldo (Fluminense)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Nonato (Fluminense)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Givanildo Hulk (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Castillo (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Mec (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Yeferson Soteldo (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Nonato (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-

Givanildo Hulk (Fluminense)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Gabriel Mec (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Castillo (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Yeferson Soteldo (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Nonato (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

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Grêmio vs Fluminense Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Grêmio vs Fluminense team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.

Grêmio Team Page Fluminense Team Page

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