Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Jul 2026

Guadalajara vs Toluca Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Guadalajara To Win @ +104

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There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Guadalajara record a victory and they are priced at +104 to beat Toluca. We think that the Full-Time Result market offers bettors plenty of value.

Read our in-depth Guadalajara vs Toluca betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Guadalajara vs Toluca Preview

Guadalajara square off against Toluca at Guadalajara Stadium, with kick-off set for 21:07 on Saturday 18 July.

Guadalajara were defeated last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. Guadalajara Stadium saw them beaten at home to Cruz Azul. Gabriel Milito's team enjoyed 58% possession and managed six shots on target, with Omar Govea being the goalscorer.

Deportivo Toluca suffered a defeat in their previous Liga MX game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo against Pachuca. Los Diablos Rojos dominated possession with 64% of the ball and managed three shots on goal.

In the last outing, Toluca claimed a penalty shoot-out victory (1-1 AET) when hosting Tigres UANL in the Champions Cup.

Toluca 2-0 to the Good in Previous H2H

It has been three successive wins for Toluca when playing Guadalajara. In the last clash, home side Toluca claimed a 2-0 victory at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in four Toluca wins, four draws and two Guadalajara successes.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Guadalajara	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Toluca	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. Chivas have had 59.4% possession and 6.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.1 corners.

Santiago Sandoval, Bryan Gonzalez and Armando Gonzalez are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Ricardo Marin has 2. Bryan Gonzalez is the top assists maker on 2.

Deportivo Toluca have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 12.9 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal. Antonio Mohamed's side average 58.7% possession, 5.6 corners in their favour and 4.1 corners against, while conceding 1.5 goals from 9.9 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Nicolas Castro and Antonio Briseno have top scored with 2 goals, while Francisco Cordova is next on 1. Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Guadalajara predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Óscar Whalley (GK), Diego Campillo, Daniel Aguirre, Jonathan Pérez, Richard Ledezma, Omar Govea, Fernando González, Bryan González, Jordan Carrillo, Kevin Castañeda, Angel Baltazar Sepulveda.

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Diego Barbosa, Antonio Briseño, Federico Pereira, Edgar Iván López, Érick Gutiérrez, Franco Romero, Jesús Angulo, Víctor Guzmán, Pavel Uriel Pérez, Paulinho.

Main Match Prediction

It’s great to get attractive odds of +104 for a home win in this Liga MX encounter. We think that Guadalajara will have the upper hand and this could be the best way of getting value.

The Liga MX form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide expert football betting tips, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Guadalajara have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Guadalajara have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• Toluca have lost their last 4 games on the road.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 49% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There are ways to squeeze more juice from backing Chivas. The Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets are great alternatives and the same applies to Asian Handicap.

Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.

Guadalajara To Win @ +104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 17, 03:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Guadalajara 1 - 0 Toluca

An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Guadalajara at odds of +700. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jesus Ricardo Angulo Over 0.5 Shots On Target +110

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca) can be backed to record a minimum of one shot on goal at +110. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.

Latest Jesus Ricardo Angulo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

---

Jonathan Pérez To Score +260

Jonathan Pérez (Guadalajara) can be backed at +260 to find the net. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.

Latest Jonathan Pérez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Guadalajara Over 4.5 Corners -152

Guadalajara have had over 4.5 corners in six straight home matches. The Guadalajara Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -152.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Guadalajara

Total

9.70 6.60 3.10

Home

10.10 7.90 2.20

Away

7.10 3.80 3.30

Toluca

Total

9.70 5.60 4.10

Home

9.20 5.70 3.50

Away

9.80 6.70 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-135

Guadalajara Corners

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

-100

Toluca Corners

Over 3.5

-172

Under 3.5

+107

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+650

2

+145

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Guadalajara vs Toluca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of +104 suggest that Guadalajara are likely victors and there’s a 49% probability that the favourites win this Liga MX clash. Deportivo Toluca are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +225.

If Guadalajara only draw with Toluca, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -127 if they’re able to land a victory.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -192 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

Liga MX games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+104

X

+260

2

+225

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+128

2

+255

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-400

X2

-143

Draw No Bet

1

-204

2

+133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-127

2 Hcp +0.25

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+117

Over 2.5

-161

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-192

No

+128

Armando González can be backed to find the net anytime at +120, with +350 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Armando González (Guadalajara)

First

+350

Anytime

+120

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

First

+410

Anytime

+145

Ángel Sepúlveda (Guadalajara)

First

+525

Anytime

+180

Ricardo Marin (Guadalajara)

First

+575

Anytime

+210

Kevin Castañeda (Guadalajara)

First

+650

Anytime

+220

Jonathan Pérez (Guadalajara)

First

+700

Anytime

+260

Roberto Alvarado (Guadalajara)

First

+750

Anytime

+270

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+270

Efrain Alvarez (Guadalajara)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Helinho (Toluca)

First

+900

Anytime

+320

Jordan Carrillo (Guadalajara)

First

+900

Anytime

+340

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca)

First

+1050

Anytime

+350

Brian Gutierrez (Guadalajara)

First

+1000

Anytime

+350

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+360

Omar Govea (Guadalajara)

First

+1000

Anytime

+380

Bryan Gonzalez (Guadalajara)

First

+1150

Anytime

+400

Richard Ledezma (Guadalajara)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+1400

Anytime

+480

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+1400

Anytime

+500

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+1700

Anytime

+600

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+1900

Anytime

+650

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Gilberto Sepulveda (Guadalajara)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Ricardo Marin (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Kevin Castañeda (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Pérez (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Roberto Alvarado (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Armando González (Guadalajara)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Helinho (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Efrain Alvarez (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Jordan Carrillo (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Brian Gutierrez (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Omar Govea (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Bryan Gonzalez (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Richard Ledezma (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-

Ángel Sepúlveda (Guadalajara)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Gilberto Sepulveda (Guadalajara)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Liga MX matches only
Guadalajara have collected seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 0.50.

Toluca are on a four game losing streak on the road. Los Diablos Rojos have four defeats, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

In the last meeting at Guadalajara Stadium, Toluca defeated Guadalajara by a 3-0 scoreline. The past 9 H2H meetings at Guadalajara Stadium have resulted in four Guadalajara wins, three draws and two Toluca victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Guadalajara Home Stats		7-2-1	2.80	2.30	0.50	6	4	3	7
Toluca Away Stats		3-3-4	2.40	1.20	1.20	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Guadalajara vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Always review the Chivas vs Toluca team news before locking in your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Guadalajara Team Page Toluca Team Page

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