Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Feb 2026

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Manchester City vs Newcastle

Premier League clubs Manchester City and Newcastle battle it out at Etihad Stadium in the second leg of this EFL Cup semi-final tie, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 4 February. City won the first leg 2-0.

Our opinion is that Man City will prove too strong in all departments and we’ll therefore take the -132 that the Citizens beat Newcastle. This Full-Time Result bet looks like a value proposition.

Backing City for the win? Make sure you’ve got the promo code from BetMGM and our comprehensive site review in your corner ahead of making your move.

Manchester City faced Tottenham away when last in action. It was a 2-2 Premier League draw at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Pep Guardiola's side had three shots on target and boasted 61% possession, while Rayan Cherki and Antoine Semenyo scored one goal apiece.

Newcastle United lost on the road in their previous game. Liverpool won 4-1 at Anfield in the Premier League. The Tyneside team recorded 46% possession and totalled two shots on goal, with Anthony Gordon finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City took control of the tie in the first leg, claiming a 2-0 away win against Newcastle at St James' Park to put one foot in the final. City enjoyed 58% possession and edged the shots on target 4-3, with Antoine Semenyo and Rayan Cherki on the scoresheet.

The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in six City wins, two draws and two Newcastle victories.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	25	15	5	5	51	24	27	51:24	50
12	Newcastle	25	9	6	10	35	36	-1	35:36	33

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 14.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. City have had 62.9% possession and 5.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.7 goals from 8.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while earning 2.8 corners.

Rayan Cherki is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Antoine Semenyo, Erling Haaland and Tijjani Reijnders each have 3. Bernardo Silva is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalies Gianluigi Donnarumma and James Trafford collectively keeping 5 clean sheets.

Newcastle have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 13.7 attempts, 4.8 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. The Magpies average 56.2% possession, 7.1 corners in their favour and 4.6 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

Bruno Guimaraes has scored 3 goals, followed by Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa and Nick Woltemade on 2. Bruno Guimaraes, Nick Woltemade and Lewis Miley are top assists providers with 1, while Nick Pope has recorded 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): James Trafford (GK), Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Nathan Ake, Nico O'Reilly, Nico Gonzalez, Antoine Semenyo, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders, Rayan Ait Nouri, Omar Marmoush.

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Aaron Ramsdale (GK), Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Daniel Burn, Kieran Trippier, Jacob Ramsey, Sandro Tonali, Lewis Hall, Joseph Willock, Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade.

Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips

Tackle Manchester City vs Newcastle with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Man City look like a standout bet and we’re expecting them to triumph. There are odds of -132 that the home team win this EFL Cup semi-final and we’re confident that this is a value play.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest EFL Cup stats.

Key Manchester City vs Newcastle EFL Cup & league stats:

• City have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• City have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• Newcastle have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Newcastle have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Newcastle have lost their last 2 games.
• City have won 6 of their last 10 games against Newcastle.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 56.8% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

There are lots of ways to get with City beyond the match winner market. This includes backing them to be leading at half-time and full-time and on the Asian Handicap.

Make smarter wagers by browsing today’s best betting offers, complete with promos, free bets, and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ -132 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:08, 02 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Man City 2 - 0 Newcastle

We’re taking a chance on City to achieve a 2-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +850 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rayan Cherki Over 1.5 Shots -161

Rayan Cherki (City) has fired over 1.5 shots in three consecutive games on home soil. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you can land odds of -161 that this happens.

Latest Rayan Cherki Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+700

Shots

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

---

Antoine Semenyo to Score +160

Antoine Semenyo (City) has found the net in his past two games. We’re content to land the +160 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Antoine Semenyo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+150

First

+410

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -102

We’ve seen over 10.5 corners in six consecutive Newcastle games. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too low, go for odds of -102 that the teams go over.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Man City

Total

8.30 5.50 2.80

Home

10.10 7.00 3.10

Away

9.20 5.30 3.90

Newcastle

Total

11.70 7.10 4.60

Home

12.80 7.00 5.80

Away

11.30 6.00 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-137

Man City Corners

Over 5.5

-105

Under 5.5

-130

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-128

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+650

2

+145

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Manchester City vs Newcastle Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Manchester City are regarded as having a 54% chance of winning this EFL Cup semi-final in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -119. Newcastle United are the +290 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 bet means you need your selection to simply win. City are -120, although Newcastle are +0.5 at -103 and you win with the latter if things end in a draw.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -208.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to EFL Cup matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-119

X

+300

2

+290

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+150

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-417

X2

-108

Draw No Bet

1

-263

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-120

2 Hcp +0.5

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-192

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-208

No

+150

You will find Erling Haaland at +280 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get -120 that he finds the net at anytime.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-120

Anytime

+280

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+150

Anytime

+410

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Phil Foden (City)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Divine Mukasa (City)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+270

Anytime

+850

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+350

Anytime

+1100

Oscar Bobb (City)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Rodri (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Divine Mukasa (City)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Manchester City Stats

Newcastle Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 62.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 60.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Manchester City vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the City vs Newcastle team news beforehand. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups plus current injury reports.

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