Nacional vs AVS Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 May 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs AVS
Nacional take on AVS at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 2 May.
The best Asian Handicap bet could be Nacional -1 at -130, allowing you money back if the hosts win by one goal. A return will be banked if they beat AVS by two goals or more.
Nacional have won two on the spin, triumphing 2-0 in their previous game. This was on the road against Tondela at Estadio Joao Cardoso. The White and Black recorded just 38% possession and had six shots on target, with Jesus Ramirez and Brayan Medina (own goal) scoring one goal each.
AVS played Sporting CP at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio do CD Aves. The Vila das Aves side enjoyed just 25% possession and had four shots on goal, while Pedro Lima was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Nacional have not lost any of the past three games against AVS, with the last clash seeing a 2-2 draw played out at Estadio do CD Aves. The previous 3 H2H games have featured two draws and one Nacional victory.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 18 | AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 27:67 | 21 |
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.7 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. Nacional have had 45.8% possession, 337.4 passes and 4.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 7.0 corners.
Top goalscorer is Jesus Ramirez on 3 goals, while Paulinho Boia has bagged 2 and Miguel Baeza 1. Daniel, Jose Gomes and Leonardo Santos are top assists makers with 1, while goalkeeper Kaique Pereira has kept 3 clean sheets.
AVS have 1 victory, 3 defeats and 6 draws, averaging 11.4 attempts, 3.0 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. Joao Henriques' team average 36.0% possession, 267.0 passes, 4.2 corners in their favour and 6.9 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 5.4 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts.
Tomane has recorded 3 goals, Pedro Lima 2, with Diego Duarte and Angel Algobia both managing 1. Guilherme Neiva, Adriel Ramos and Nene are top assists providers with 1, while Adriel Ramos has recorded 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Nacional confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Nunez, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Filipe Soares, Daniel, Gabriel Veron, Jesus Ramirez, Paulinho Boia.
AVS confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Adriel Ramos (GK), Mateus Pivo, Cristian Devenish, Paulo Vitor, Daniel Rivas, Roni, Tiago Galletto, Pedro Lima, Babatunde Akinsola, Diego Duarte, Guilherme Neiva.
Nacional vs AVS Prediction & Betting Tips
Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Nacional vs AVS, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.
Match Prediction
There’s a case for backing Nacional at -1, especially when you consider the attractive odds of -130 on the table. We think that the hosts should have the upper hand in this Primeira Liga match.
Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Primeira Liga stats when making our football predictions.
Key Nacional vs AVS league stats:
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
There’s the option to move the line for your pick and this enables bettors to get larger prices. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.
Don’t bet without checking our complete guide to the latest betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re betting on Nacional to secure a 3-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +700 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.
Player Prop Picks
Matheus Dias (Nacional) is available to be among the goals at +350. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past five Nacional matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 11.10 corners in the previous ten AVS games. There’s a chance to go over the Total Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -133 available.
Nacional
AVS
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our same-game multi which has Nacional with the -1 Asian Handicap, Over 2.5 and Matheus Dias (Nacional) to score at any time.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Nacional vs AVS Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have Nacional as -204 favourites for this Primeira Liga clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 67% likely to win. AVS are the underdogs at +480 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.
It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +140. Alternatively, Nacional can be backed at -100 and AVS are on offer at +450.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. BTTS Yes is available at -128 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Primeira Liga game and take your pick.
Jesus Ramírez Díaz is priced at +230 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of -112 to find the net anytime.
Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Nacional have secured four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
AVS have not won in the past ten away matches. The Vila das Aves side have managed six losses and four draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 2.60.
Nacional overcame AVS 3-1 when the sides last met at Estadio da Madeira.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nacional Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
AVS Away Stats |
0-4-6 | 3.20 | 0.60 | 2.60 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Nacional League Stats
AVS League Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 3 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 7.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 6.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 6.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 6.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 36.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 38.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Nacional this season are Jesus Ramirez (16), Paulinho Boia (4), Ze Vitor (4)
- Top Assistors for Nacional this season are Jose Gomes (5), Liziero (4), Alan Nunez (2)
Nacional vs AVS Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Nacional vs AVS team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with up-to-date injury news.
Nacional Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
AVS Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Nacional Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
AVS Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Nacional Substitutes
- 2Joao Aurelio
- 6Matheus Dias
- 7Witi
- 19Lucas Joao
- 26Joel da Silva
- 28Liziero
- 33Chico Goncalves
- 50Kevyn
- 99Pablo Ruan
AVS Substitutes
- 5Guillem Molina
- 7Tomane
- 14Oscar Perea
- 18Nene
- 26Carlos Ponck
- 27Angel Algobia
- 33Aderllan Santos
- 88Pedro Trigueira
- 93Simao Bertelli
Previous Nacional Lineups
Previous AVS Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tiago Margarido
AVS Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33:6 | 45 |
| 2 | Sporting | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51:11 | 41 |
| 3 | Benfica | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41:13 | 39 |
| 4 | Famalicão | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27:12 | 31 |
| 5 | Braga | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28:17 | 30 |
| 7 | Vitória | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | 28 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 27 |
| 9 | Alverca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18:23 | 26 |
| 10 | Arouca | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:30 | 25 |
| 11 | Estoril | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29:26 | 23 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17:17 | 23 |
| 13 | Nacional | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Estrela | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18:26 | 15 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17:29 | 15 |
| 17 | Tondela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13:21 | 13 |
| 18 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15:27 | 12 |
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