Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Jul 2026

Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -135

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The best bet on this Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro game could involve a Total Goals selection. We think that Under 2.5 is crying out to be backed based on the available stats and the odds of -135 look value.

Read our complete Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro betting preview for the full analysis behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro Preview

Palmeiras clash with Atlético Mineiro, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Sunday 26 July.

Palmeiras have got the win in their last three games. Most recently, a 3-1 triumph occurred on the road when meeting Coritiba. The Big Green recorded six shots on target and had 49% possession, with Mauricio getting two goals and Ramon Sosa scoring the other.

Atlético Mineiro drew their previous game which was at home. The action ended 1-1 against Bahia. Eduardo Dominguez's men were 50% in the possession stakes and recorded four shots on goal, while Ruan found the net.

2-2 Draw in Previous H2H Clash

Palmeiras are unbeaten when it comes to the past five games against Atlético, with a 2-2 draw occurring in the last clash. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six Palmeiras victories and one Atlético win. There have also been three draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Palmeiras	19	13	5	1	33	14	19	33:14	44
13	Atlético MG	19	7	4	8	23	24	-1	23:24	25

View Full Table

6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 11.5 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. Palmeiras have had 51.7% possession and 6.6 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.5 goals from 12.9 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.1 corners.

Top scorer Jose Lopez has found the net 3 times, with Mauricio, Ramon Sosa and Paulinho getting 2 each. Ramon Sosa and Allan have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece.

Atlético have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 11.4 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. The Belo Horizonte side average 48.3% possession, 4.7 corners in their favour and 4.1 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts.

We’ve seen Alan Minda, Maycon Barberan and Mateo Cassierra score 2 goals each. Bernard has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Carlos Miguel (GK), Bruno Fuchs, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquín Piquerez, Andreas Pereira, Marlon Freitas, Allan, Mauricio, Jhon Arias, Paulinho.

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Natanael, Ruan Tressoldi, Lyanco, Renan Lodi, Maycon, Tomas Perez, Victor Hugo, Tomás Cuello, Mateo Cassierra, Bernard.

Main Match Prediction

The two sides could end up contesting a low-scoring Série A encounter, with Under 2.5 looking like a great pick. Let’s head to the betting sites and secure odds of -135 for this prediction.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Série A form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Palmeiras games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Atlético MG games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Atlético MG games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Atlético MG games.

The best betting apps make it a 57.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There’s an opportunity to add Under 2.5 Goals to a Bet Builder in the search for larger odds. Adding different selections will boost the price which means a bigger potential return.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Under 2.5 Goals @ -135 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 25, 00:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 1 - 1 Atlético

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +475 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andreas Pereira Over 0.5 Shots On Target +115

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras) can be wagered at +115 to record at least one shot on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Andreas Pereira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

---

Marlon Freitas to Score +700

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras) has managed two goals in his past four Série A matches on home soil. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +700 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Marlon Freitas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Palmeiras Under 6.5 Corners -149

In their past four matches, Palmeiras have not covered the 6.5 corners line, while the last nine Atlético Mineiro games have involved them conceding under 6.5 corners. We’re expecting Palmeiras to fall short of the mark, with odds of -149 on offer when it comes to this Team Corners selection.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Palmeiras

Total

11.70 6.60 5.10

Home

10.10 6.00 4.10

Away

13.50 5.70 7.80

Atlético

Total

8.80 4.70 4.10

Home

10.10 5.00 5.10

Away

9.40 5.00 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Palmeiras Corners

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-147

Atlético Corners

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-128

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+700

2

+270

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Palmeiras are available at -156 to come away with a triumph in this Série A clash, meaning a 61% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. The market implies that Atlético Mineiro are the most unlikely to win at +460.

Palmeiras -0.75 at -122 means you split your Asian Handicap stake between -0.5 and -1. You ideally want a win by two goals or more against Atlético, although a one-goal victory means a half-stake return and a refund with the other half.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. Both Teams to Score betting is highly popular and the No pick on the BTTS market is chalked up at -135.

The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Série A games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-156

X

+265

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+120

X

+123

2

+430

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-370

X2

+118

Draw No Bet

1

-476

2

+280

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-122

2 Hcp +0.75

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-135

Over 2.5

+105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-102

No

-135

Favourite José Manuel López is priced at +380 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +160.

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

First

+380

Anytime

+160

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+420

Anytime

+170

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+525

Anytime

+210

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

First

+525

Anytime

+220

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+800

Anytime

+340

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+380

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+1000

Anytime

+430

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+1050

Anytime

+430

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

First

+1050

Anytime

+440

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

First

+1050

Anytime

+450

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+1100

Anytime

+480

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Jefté da Silva Dias (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Jefté da Silva Dias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-238

Under 1.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

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Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Palmeiras vs Atlético team news before placing your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Palmeiras Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page

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