San Marino vs Finland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Sep 2026
San Marino vs Finland Predictions
We think San Marino can give a good account of themselves against Finland. Take the +2.5 line at odds of -123 that the underdogs avoid a three-goal margin of defeat which looks like a value pick on the Asian Handicap.
Dive into our San Marino vs Finland betting breakdown for the complete analysis of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
San Marino vs Finland Preview
San Marino welcome Finland to Stadio Olimpico San Marino, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Saturday 26 September.
San Marino lost away from home in their last game. Romania won 7-1 at Arena Nationala in the World Cup qualifier. La Serenissima recorded just 34% possession and had one shot on target, while Nicolas Giacopetti was the goalscorer.
Finland were beaten 1-0 in their previous game, being turned over in the World Cup qualifier at home to Malta at Olympiastadion. Jacob Friis' side had eight shots on goal and boasted 61% possession.
H2H: Finland 2-1 Victory in Previous Head-to-Head Meeting
It was Finland who came out on top when last playing San Marino. At Stadio Olimpico San Marino, a 2-1 Euro 2028 away win was recorded.
| Nations League C | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Finland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Marino |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
1 win, 8 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.6 goals from 4.2 attempts and 1.6 shots on goal. San Marino have had 34.4% possession and 2.4 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 4.1 goals from 15.2 attempts and 8.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.4 corners.
Nicola Nanni is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Nicolas Giacopetti, Samuele Zannoni, Lorenzo Lazzari and Alessandro Golinucci each have 1. The top assist makers are Matteo Valli Casadei, Nicko Sensoli and Andrea Contadini, all of whom have 1 on the board.
Finland have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.8 goals from 8.5 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 48.1% possession, 3.9 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 11.7 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.
Benjamin Kaellman has landed 3 goals, Joel Pohjanpalo 2, with Adam Markhiev and two others scoring 1. Oliver Antman is top assists provider with 2, while Lukas Hradecky has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
The Asian Handicap route looks attractive considering you can get San Marino +2.5 at odds of -123. We think the underdogs can keep the scoreline close in this Nations League encounter and it’s a value wager.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Nations League stats.
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 55.2% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.
Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
2
Finland
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Finland winning 2-0. Odds of +325 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Adrian Svanbäck (Finland) can be wagered at +123 to be among the goals. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Finland have had under 7.5 corners in ten straight away games, with San Marino conceding less than 7.5 corners in their past six games. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -147 that Finland come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.
San Marino
Finland
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder always adds excitement and the picks are San Marino with the +2.5 Asian Handicap, one or both teams drawing a blank accompanied by Adrian Svanbäck (Finland) to score at any time.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
San Marino vs Finland Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Finland are the massive -1250 favourites to triumph in this Nations League clash which suggests a 93% likelihood of landing the spoils according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. San Marino are the underdogs at +2800 which implies a low percentage prospect of winning.
Finland can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -270. However, San Marino are +1500 and the draw is +235 if you want to take a different option.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. If you think this points to a low-scoring or one-sided affair, then BTTS No could be an option at -370.
The best football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Nations League matches, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
Favourite Joel Pohjanpalo is priced at +260 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of -103.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
San Marino Stats
Finland Stats
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 4.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 3.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 34.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 33.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 home matches
San Marino vs Finland Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the San Marino vs Finland team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed UEFA Nations League lineups plus current injury reports.
Previous San Marino Lineups
Previous Finland Lineups
San Marino Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Roberto Cevoli
Finland Player Stats & Squad
UEFA Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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