Spain vs Croatia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Sep 2026
Spain vs Croatia Predictions
We can’t pass up Croatia +1.75 at odds of -104 against Spain. There is every chance that the scoreline will be close and our Asian Handicap money is divided between +1.5 and +2.0, allowing for a nice payout.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Spain vs Croatia, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Spain vs Croatia Preview
Spain welcome Croatia to Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 29 September.
Spain won their last game 3-2. This was a Nations League road win against England at Wembley. La Roja recorded five shots on target and had 51% possession, while Lamine Yamal, Alejandro Baena and Mikel Oyarzabal scored one goal apiece.
Croatia got a Nations League win in their previous game. It was on their travels where Czech Republic were beaten 2-1 at Fortuna Arena. Slaven Bilic's team enjoyed 56% possession and recorded five shots on goal, while Luka Modric and Marco Pasalic were both on target.
H2H: Teams’ Last Head-to-Head Saw 3-0 Spain Win
Spain boast an unbeaten record in the past three games with Croatia. In their last clash, Spain enjoyed a 3-0 Euro 2028 win at the Olympiastadion. The past 3 H2H matches have included two Spain wins along with a single draw.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Croatia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 17.6 attempts and 6.8 shots on goal. Spain have had 63.1% possession, 660.3 passes and 6.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.5 goals from 7.3 attempts and 2.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 2.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Mikel Oyarzabal has found the net 7 times, with Alejandro Baena, Lamine Yamal, Pedro Porro and Mikel Merino scoring 2 each. Dani Olmo and Marc Cucurella are the leading assists makers with 3, while goalie Unai Simon has kept 7 clean sheets.
Croatia have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 13.5 attempts, 5.9 shots on goal and 2.1 goals. The Chequered Ones average 59.2% possession, 6.3 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.0 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts.
Ivan Perisic and Nikola Vlasic have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Petar Musa on 2. Ivan Perisic and Josip Stanisic are top assists providers with 3, while Dominik Livakovic has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
Croatia +1.75 are an attractive bet when it comes to this Nations League showdown. We are expecting a bright performance at odds of -104, with the price making appeal for this Asian Handicap pick.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Nations League stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 51% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
There’s the option to move the line for your pick and this enables bettors to get larger prices. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.
Claim exclusive offers now—our guide features top betting promo codes, the latest sign-up bonuses, and free bets.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Croatia
A potentially entertaining bet is going for Spain to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +750, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.
Player Prop Picks
Lamine Yamal (Spain) has finished with over 1.5 shots on goal in four consecutive games on home soil. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Shots on Target line at odds of -106.
Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) has scored in five of his past eight matches on home soil. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of -100.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Croatia have been awarded an average of 6.30 corners in the past 10 games, while the corner count against Spain has been more than 2.5 in the last three matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -147 that Croatia go over the line.
Spain
Croatia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Croatia to cover the +1.75 Asian Handicap, both teams to score No and Croatia Over 2.5 corners.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Spain vs Croatia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an estimated 83% chance of winning, the bookies are taking few chances with their -500 betting odds about Spain triumphing in this Nations League clash. Croatia are the outsiders at +1150 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.
You can back Spain at -185 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Croatia are +800 and the draw is chalked up at +205.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. A different wager could be betting BTTS No where you can land -143 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.
The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Nations League game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.
Roberto Fernández is priced at +290 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -118 to find the net anytime.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Spain Stats
Croatia Stats
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 2.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 1.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 6.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 63.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 65.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
Spain vs Croatia Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Spain vs Croatia team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Nations League along with up-to-date injury news.
Previous Spain Lineups
Previous Croatia Lineups
Spain Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Luis de la Fuente
Croatia Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Turkey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Serbia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Croatia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | England | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Norway | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Denmark | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
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