Sporting vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Sporting vs Vitória

Sporting welcome Vitória to Estadio Jose Alvalade, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Monday 4 May.

Vitória +1.75 at -116 stand out when they go up against Sporting, with half our Asian Handicap money going on +1.5 and the other half placed at +2.0. The underdogs can deliver a solid performance.

In the last Sporting CP game, they played out a 2-2 draw at home to Tondela at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Rui Borges' team had five shots on target and boasted 64% possession, with Luis Suarez and Joao Silva (own goal) each scoring one goal.

Vitória de Guimarães have won their previous two Primeira Liga matches. The latest was a 2-0 home victory at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques against Rio Ave. The Conquerors enjoyed 56% possession and managed three shots on goal, while Samu and Tony Strata were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sporting have won the last two clashes against Vitória. The most recent win was 4-1 on the road at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques and this came after a 2-0 home win at Estadio Jose Alvalade. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen eight Sporting wins, one Vitória victory and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Sporting	31	22	7	2	77	22	55	77:22	73
8	Vitória	31	12	6	13	38	43	-5	38:43	42

View Full Table

Sporting have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 16.9 attempts and 6.3 shots on goal. The Lisbon club have averaged 62.8% possession, 566.2 passes and 7.1 corners per game, conceding 1.0 goals and 3.4 corners from 8.6 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Top goalscorer Luis Suarez has found the net 6 times, with Daniel Braganca and Pedro Goncalves scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Leading assistor is Trincao with 4, while goalkeeper Rui Silva has 4 clean sheets.

Vitória have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, averaging 12.5 attempts, 4.7 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. Gil Lameiras' side average 53.3% possession, 427.6 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

Samu and Gustavo Silva top the team’s scoring charts on 4 goals, with Tony Strata on 1. Goncalo Nogueira and Noah Saviolo have been top assists providers with 2, while Charles has kept 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sporting predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Georgios Vagiannidis, Eduardo Quaresma, Zeno Debast, Maximiliano Araújo, Hidemasa Morita, Daniel Bragança, Geny Catamo, Pedro Gonçalves Pote, Geovany Quenda, Luis Suarez.

Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Charles Marcelo (GK), Miguel Maga, Thiago Balieiro, Óscar Rivas, João Mendes, Beni Mukendi, Diogo Sousa, Oumar Camara, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Gustavo Silva.

Sporting vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete Sporting vs Vitória betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll side with Vitória at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap. The underdogs are expected to give a good account of themselves in this Primeira Liga clash and the odds of -116 look really attractive.

Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Primeira Liga insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.

Key Sporting vs Vitória league stats:

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Vitória in 4 consecutive games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Vitória in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Vitória in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Sporting in 4 consecutive games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Sporting in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Sporting in 11 of their last 20 games.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 53.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

In a mission to bag bigger odds, there’s the possibility to move the line. There are lots of choices when taking this option, so you can make the selection that you like best.

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Our Match Prediction

Vitória Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 2, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sporting 2 - 1 Vitória

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Sporting winning 2-1. Odds of +600 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Geny Catamo to Score +255

Geny Catamo (Sporting) has netted four goals in his past nine Primeira Liga home games. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +255 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Geny Catamo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+255

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Vitória Over 2.5 Corners -161

Vitória have had over 2.5 corners in seven consecutive matches, with Sporting conceding over 2.5 corners in the previous three home games. There are odds of -161 available when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we think Vitória can cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sporting

Total

10.50 7.10 3.40

Home

10.00 7.10 2.90

Away

9.70 6.50 3.20

Vitória

Total

9.00 3.90 5.10

Home

8.90 4.10 4.80

Away

7.90 4.10 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-104

Under 10.5

-139

Sporting Corners

Over 6.5

-141

Under 6.5

-102

Vitória Corners

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+112

Most Corners

1

-526

X

+900

2

+450

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Sporting vs Vitória Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

According to the betting odds, Sporting CP are major -435 favourites with the bookies to triumph and that means a 81% chance of winning this Primeira Liga clash. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +900 for Vitória de Guimarães.

You can back Sporting at -164 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Vitória are +650 and the draw is chalked up at +190.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

Hundreds of markets for every Primeira Liga game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-435

X

+480

2

+900

Half-Time Result

1

-164

X

+190

2

+650

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-1000

X2

+250

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+600

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-122

2 Hcp +1.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+163

Over 2.5

-244

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-115

There’s the chance to back Luis Javier Suárez at +190 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Luis Javier Suárez (Sporting)

First

-172

Anytime

+190

Pedro Goncalves (Sporting)

First

+133

Anytime

+380

Fotis Ioannidis (Sporting)

First

+170

Anytime

+480

Francisco Trincão (Sporting)

First

+188

Anytime

+525

Rafael Nel (Sporting)

First

+195

Anytime

+550

Geny Catamo (Sporting)

First

+255

Anytime

+700

Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos (Sporting)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+335

Anytime

+900

Geovany Quenda (Sporting)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Giorgi Kochorashvili (Sporting)

First

+390

Anytime

+1150

Ricardo Mangas (Sporting)

First

+440

Anytime

+1150

Morten Hjulmand (Sporting)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Joao Simoes (Sporting)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Nuno Santos (Sporting)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Hidemasa Morita (Sporting)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Zeno Debast (Sporting)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Gonçalo Inácio (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Ousmane Diomande (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Eduardo Quaresma (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Georgios Vagiannidis (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Iván Fresneda (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Sporting are winless in the last three games at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Rui Borges' team have collected seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Vitória have finished with five defeats, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

The past meeting at Estadio Jose Alvalade saw Sporting defeat Vitória 2-0. In the past 6 H2H games at Estadio Jose Alvalade, Sporting have won all of them.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Sporting Home Stats		7-1-2	3.00	2.10	0.90	8	2	5	5
Vitória Away Stats		3-2-5	2.60	1.00	1.60	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Sporting vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Sporting vs Vitória, check the team news first. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with up-to-date injury news.

Sporting CP Team Page Vitória de Guimarães Team Page

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