Vitória vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2026
Vitória vs Nacional Predictions
There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Vitória record a victory and they are priced at -159 to beat Nacional. We think that the Full-Time Result market offers bettors plenty of value.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Vitória vs Nacional, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Vitória vs Nacional Preview
Vitória take on Nacional at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 23 August.
Vitória de Guimarães have lost back-to-back Primeira Liga games. Away from home, they recently suffered a 3-2 defeat against Sporting CP at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The Conquerors recorded 44% possession and had three shots on target, while Samu and Alioune Ndoye scored one goal apiece.
Nacional won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-0 victory against Estoril Praia at Estadio da Madeira. The Madeira team enjoyed 59% possession and managed three shots on goal, with Ze Vitor and Leonardo Santos on the scoresheet.
Nacional Beat Vitória in Pair’s Last Meeting
Nacional had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At Estadio da Madeira, they recorded a 2-0 home victory over Vitória. The past 6 H2H meetings have included three victories for Vitória, two wins for Nacional and a single draw.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Nacional |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Vitória |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2:4 | 0 |
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 13.6 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. Vitória have had 55.5% possession, 435.6 passes and 4.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 8.7 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal, while earning 3.9 corners.
Samu and Gustavo Silva are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Alioune Ndoye has 1. Goncalo Nogueira is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Charles managing 3 clean sheets.
Nacional have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Joao Giao's side have averaged 49.5% possession, 342.2 passes, 4.9 corners taken and 6.8 corners against, while conceding 0.9 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts.
Jesus Ramirez is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, while Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Liziero and Miguel Baeza have 1. Leonardo Santos and Daniel are the top assist makers with 2 apiece, while Kaique Pereira has notched 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Oliwier Zych (GK), Miguel Maga, Thiago Balieiro, Óscar Rivas, João Mendes, Goncalo Nogueira, Beni Mukendi, Oumar Camara, Samu, Gustavo Silva, Alioune Ndoye.
Nacional predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Renato Marin (GK), Léo Santos, Matheus Dias, Zé Vítor, Wesley Gasolina, Liziero, Filipe Soares, Markus Jensen, Miguel Baeza, Daniel Júnior, Pablo Ruan.
Main Match Prediction
We’ll take Vitória at attractive betting odds of -159 considering that they could be dominant in this Primeira Liga game. This match winner wager provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Primeira Liga experts sometimes take a data-led approach.
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 61.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
If you’re looking for a wager at bigger odds, then Vitória on the Double Result market could be a way forward. You need them to lead at the halfway stage and then claim a win.
Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
3
-
0
Nacional
A 3-0 win in favor of Vitória is available at odds of +750. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Alioune Ndoye (Vitória) can be backed to find the net at +140. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Nacional in their past three away games, while the previous 5 Vitória home matches have seen them concede an average of 4.60 corners. We’re anticipating that there will be plenty of Nacional corners and that the Team Corners line will be covered, with odds of -149 on offer.
Vitória
Nacional
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our bet builder which has Vitória on the 1x2, three or more goals to be scored accompanied by Nacional to rack up over 3.5 corners.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Vitória vs Nacional Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The favourites have a 61% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Vitória de Guimarães chalked up at -159 to land a win in this Primeira Liga clash. The market implies that Nacional are the most unlikely to win at +375.
Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Vitória -0.75 at -125 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Nacional by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.
Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. If you think at least one side will keep a clean sheet, then Both Teams to Score No is -128.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Primeira Liga matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Alioune Ndoye can be backed to find the net anytime at +140. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +310.
Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Vitória have collected five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
Nacional have collected seven losses, two draws and one victory in the past 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
The past meeting at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques saw Vitória defeat Nacional 2-1. The previous 3 H2H meetings at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques have featured two Vitória victories and one draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Home Stats |
5-1-4 | 2.20 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
| Nacional Away Stats |
1-2-7 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 1.70 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Vitória League Stats
Nacional League Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 6.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vitória this season are Alioune Ndoye (1), Samu (1)
- Top Assistors for Vitória this season are Miguel Nogueira (1), Tony Strata (1)
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Vitória vs Nacional Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Vitória vs Nacional team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus current injury reports.
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous Nacional Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tiago Margarido
Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Marítimo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 6 | Sporting | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 10 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Viseu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 12 | Famalicão | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 13 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 14 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Vitória | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sporting | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 | Marítimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Viseu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Vitória | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:7 | 0 |
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