Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Oct 2026
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Predictions
There are several reasons to back Wellington on the Full-Time Result betting market, especially at value odds of -128. We think that the favourites will prove too strong for Central Coast.
Continue reading for our full Wellington vs Central Coast betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Preview
Wellington Phoenix clash with Central Coast Mariners at Hnry Stadium, with kick-off set for 22:00 on Saturday 24 October.
Wellington Phoenix won their last game 2-1. This was recorded at Hnry Stadium at home to Melbourne Victory. The Nix enjoyed just 38% possession and had four shots on target, with Corban Piper and Riley Bidois scoring one goal each.
Central Coast Mariners drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Polytec Stadium ended 2-2 against Newcastle Jets. John Hutchinson's side had 41% of possession and five shots on goal, while Ali Auglah and Oli Lavale were on the scoresheet.
H2H: Nix Came Out on Top in Last Head-to-Head Clash
Wellington have not lost to Coast in the past four meetings. In their last clash, Wellington banked a 3-1 home victory at Hnry Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five draws, three victories for Wellington and two wins for Coast.
| A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wellington |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Central Coast |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts. Wellington have had 45.4% possession and 7.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts, while being awarded 5.4 corners.
Corban Piper leads the way with 3 goals, Ifeanyi Eze has 2, with Riley Bidois and two others on 1. Matthew Sheridan, Nathan Walker and Tim Payne have racked up the most assists with 1 each.
Coast have 2 victories, 3 defeats and 5 draws, averaging 4.4 shots on goal, 8.1 attempts and 1.3 goals. The Gosford outfit average 44.8% possession, 3.0 corners awarded and 6.7 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 12.8 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal.
Ali Auglah has top scored with 4, while Nathanael Blair, Bailey Brandtman and Sabit James Ngor are next on 2. Nathanael Blair, Haine Eames and Lucas Mauragis have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
Wellington are priced at -128 to secure a victory and we think these odds look too big. We’re expecting the hosts to land a A-League win and a nice potential return could be on the cards.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of A-League data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.
According to the top bookies, our pick has a 56.2% chance of landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
There’s the chance to secure bigger odds by combining Wellington to win with BTTS No if you think that they’ll not only oblige with a victory but also keep a clean sheet during the ninety minutes.
Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-0 win in favor of Wellington can be backed at odds of +700. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Nathan Walker (Wellington) can be backed at -159 to finish with one or more shots on goal. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.
Corban Piper (Wellington) can be wagered to find the net at +150. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past seven matches, Wellington have covered the 5.5 corners line, with Central Coast conceding 8.20 corners on average in their last 5 games. We’re expecting plenty of Wellington corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -135 available.
Wellington
Central Coast
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you fancy a bet builder, then why not take Wellington to succeed, one or both teams drawing a blank merged with Nathan Walker (Wellington) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an approximate 56% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -128 betting odds for Wellington Phoenix triumphing in this A-League encounter. If you want to back the outsider, Central Coast Mariners are available at +290.
Taking Wellington -0.75 against Coast means a full Asian Handicap payout at -104 if they win by 2+ goals. The second prize is a half-stake payout and half-stake refund if they win by one.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -192 on the Both Teams to Score market.
The best football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to A-League matches.
Corban Piper is priced at +450 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +150 to find the net anytime.
Stats: Last 10 A-League matches only.
Wellington have landed three straight wins at Hnry Stadium. The Nix have recorded four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
Coast have recorded five defeats, four victories and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 2.00.
Wellington were 3-1 victors against Coast last time out at Hnry Stadium. Wellington have secured four wins, Coast boast a win and there have been three draws in the past 8 H2H meetings at Hnry Stadium.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wellington Phoenix Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 3.50 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
Central Coast Mariners Away Stats |
4-1-5 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- A-League: 21/12 2025 Wellington 3 Central Coast 1
- A-League: 02/11 2025 Central Coast 1 Wellington 1
- A-League: 25/01 2025 Wellington 0 Central Coast 0
- A-League: 10/11 2024 Central Coast 0 Wellington 3
- A-League: 06/04 2024 Central Coast 2 Wellington 1
- A-League: 06/02 2024 Wellington 0 Central Coast 0
- A-League: 24/02 2023 Central Coast 1 Wellington 1
- A-League: 22/01 2023 Wellington 2 Central Coast 1
- A-League: 16/10 2022 Wellington 2 Central Coast 2
- A-League: 17/04 2022 Wellington 0 Central Coast 4
Wellington Phoenix League Stats
Central Coast Mariners League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 12.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 6.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 6.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Wellington Phoenix this season are Corban Piper (1), Riley Bidois (1)
- Top Assistors for Wellington Phoenix this season are Matthew Sheridan (1), Nathan Walker (1)
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Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Lineups & Team News
Previous Wellington Phoenix Lineups
Previous Central Coast Mariners Lineups
Wellington Phoenix Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Chris Greenacre
Central Coast Mariners Player Stats & Squad
A-League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wellington | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Macarthur | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 5 | Central Coast | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Western Sydney | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 8 | Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Melb Victory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Melb City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wellington | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Macarthur | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Central Coast | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Western Sydney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Melb Victory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Melb City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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